Started By
Message
re: Odds of winning the west, in %?
Posted on 10/14/14 at 5:47 pm to NorthGwinnettTiger
Posted on 10/14/14 at 5:47 pm to NorthGwinnettTiger
By reasoning:
MSU is undefeated and has the fewest tough games remaining, that makes them a huge favorite.
Ole Miss is undefeated but still has more tough games left than MSU, that obviously makes them 2nd.
Auburn has a loss to a team above them (bad) and has a tough remaining schedule. Makes them a long shot.
Alabama has a loss to a team above them (bad) but has a manageable schedule, however they look the worst of the 4 contenders in terms of actual play, that makes them the biggest long shot.
MSU is undefeated and has the fewest tough games remaining, that makes them a huge favorite.
Ole Miss is undefeated but still has more tough games left than MSU, that obviously makes them 2nd.
Auburn has a loss to a team above them (bad) and has a tough remaining schedule. Makes them a long shot.
Alabama has a loss to a team above them (bad) but has a manageable schedule, however they look the worst of the 4 contenders in terms of actual play, that makes them the biggest long shot.
1
Posted on 10/14/14 at 5:48 pm to IAmReality
quote:
MSU is undefeated and has the fewest tough games remaining, that makes them a huge favorite.
Ole Miss is undefeated but still has more tough games left than MSU, that obviously makes them 2nd.
Auburn has a loss to a team above them (bad) and has a tough remaining schedule. Makes them a long shot.
Alabama has a loss to a team above them (bad) but has a manageable schedule, however they look the worst of the 4 contenders in terms of actual play, that makes them the biggest long shot.
Yep.
Posted on 10/14/14 at 5:53 pm to anc
quote:
According to ESPN FPI, Ole Miss has a 24% chance and MSU has a 23.1% chance of winning the conference. Auburn 5% Alabama 4.4% LSU 0.1% Texas A&M 0.1% Arkansas 0% In the East, Georgia has a 34.6% of winning, Florida 7.5%, Kentucky 0.6%, South Carolina 0.2%,
This involves math and logic. Ranters will not understand.
Posted on 10/14/14 at 6:00 pm to MSU5
FSU would obviously be in. OU has a loss and won't get in over a 1 loss SEC team.
ETA - That being said, if Baylor won out and ND only lost to FSU, the loser could be on the outside looking in because of the ND effect. Then you'd have FSU, UGA, Baylor and ND/SECW loser.
ETA - That being said, if Baylor won out and ND only lost to FSU, the loser could be on the outside looking in because of the ND effect. Then you'd have FSU, UGA, Baylor and ND/SECW loser.
This post was edited on 10/14/14 at 6:04 pm
Posted on 10/14/14 at 6:00 pm to IAmReality
Auburn 100
Posted on 10/14/14 at 6:01 pm to IAmReality
bama and auburn are still in it man. they have lost ONE game. a one game swing can happen real quick. state will probably have to run the table to win the west. not easy in the sec west. what is easy is getting all full of oneself and thinking you can show up and win. I've seen that happen quite often
Posted on 10/14/14 at 6:04 pm to LSU GrandDad
Alabama and Auburn's problem isn't Ole Miss and MSU losing, that will most likely happen. Their biggest problem is they will also probably lose again.
Posted on 10/14/14 at 6:07 pm to NorthGwinnettTiger
There's no conceivable way that a one loss SEC team doesn't make it to the playoff. Especially if it's the current #1 or #2 team..
Posted on 10/14/14 at 6:10 pm to GeauxPack81
quote:
Auburn will beat Ole Miss by double digits
That's adorable.
Posted on 10/14/14 at 6:16 pm to MSU5
I think you're underestimating the press and ND. It's the one team that can override the SEC tag. Any other team, no chance. Hope for ND to lose twice.
Posted on 10/14/14 at 6:25 pm to GeauxPack81
quote:
Auburn will beat Ole Miss by double digits.
Truest thing I've read all week
Posted on 10/14/14 at 6:27 pm to MSU5
quote:
MSU5
Keep in mind how the voters would look at it. ND lost to an undefeated team that won the previous MNC. MSU would have lost to an UGA team that dropped a game against Carolina, who will probably have 4 losses. Voters will weigh the losses more than the wins with ND.
Posted on 10/14/14 at 6:28 pm to IAmReality
My Opinion (I hope I'm wrong):
Ole Miss - 40%
MSU - 35%
Alabama - 15%
Auburn - 10%
Ole Miss - 40%
MSU - 35%
Alabama - 15%
Auburn - 10%
Posted on 10/14/14 at 6:53 pm to Pettifogger
I agree. I'm just going to enjoy football season while it's here and I happy as long as we are competitive. With this schedule we could have 3 losses and still be a scary good team.
Posted on 10/14/14 at 6:54 pm to IAmReality
MSU 40
OM 25
Bama 20
Aub 14
Others 1 total
OM 25
Bama 20
Aub 14
Others 1 total
Posted on 10/14/14 at 6:58 pm to Tigers of War
Can't believe you guys will have played #1 and #2 on the road by the end of the season.
This post was edited on 10/14/14 at 7:00 pm
Posted on 10/14/14 at 7:01 pm to MSU5
Miss - 30
MSST - 30
Bama - 20
Aubbie - 20
MSST - 30
Bama - 20
Aubbie - 20
Posted on 10/14/14 at 7:23 pm to Pettifogger
Nailed it.
Posted on 10/14/14 at 7:24 pm to Rabern57
Posted on 10/14/14 at 8:02 pm to MSU5
quote:
I seriousky don't think any team in the SECw has above a 40% chance of winning out.
this
Page 2 of 2
Popular
Back to top
Follow SECRant for SEC Football News