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re: Major tornado outbreak expected tomorrow

Posted on 3/1/12 at 12:05 pm to
Posted by rolltide06
Member since Jun 2011
1533 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

i hope it destroys BD lol jk


Stay classy bro...

Posted by ACT
Member since Sep 2010
1121 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

Dixie Alley


Dixie Alley also has the highest frequency of killer tornadoes.

Alabama has More recorded F(EF)5's than any other state.
This post was edited on 3/1/12 at 12:09 pm
Posted by Ball Gravy
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2008
2985 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 12:12 pm to
Govt Tide... 1899 was an amazing outbreak.

Go look back at my 4 analog years that had a La Nina transition into an El Nino...

2009, 1989, 1983, 1975... we weren't measuring ocean temps in the 1800s, but one expert says 1899 was a La Nina to El Nino year based on measured precip, soil samples and temperature recordings
Posted by mizzoukills
Member since Aug 2011
40686 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 12:15 pm to
...but look at the southwest region of Missouri around Joplin, Springfield, and Branson. 57. This region is known as the I-44 Corridor. Tornadoes wreak havoc in this area each year...sometimes all year long. They can come at any time. And storms barrel their way up I-44 towards St. Louis.

Anyone in Missouri will tell you that we have the weirdest weather. It can be freezing one day and 70 degrees the following with tornadoes in December or January. We never know what to expect.

Southwest Missouri always expects nasty weather each year.
Posted by Govt Tide
Member since Nov 2009
9113 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

Dixie Alley also has the highest frequency of killer tornadoes. Image Link


Also has the most tornado deaths by state since 1975. This only goes through 2007 and doesn't include the Super Outbreak the year before (April 1974) either so the numbers from 1974 until today and much higher. Alabama now has the highest number of tornado deaths since 1975 by a comfortable margin. Missouri, Tennessee, and Mississippi also have much higher numbers since the last year of that study in 2007.

LINK

Posted by PJinAtl
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2007
12747 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

They said this morning the main threat for the bad stuff is tomorrow night into Saturday morning. Has that changed?
Seems like there is some disagreement among the sources. NWS (weather.gov) seems to say there is only a slight chance of severe weather in the Birmingham or north georgia locations.

Local noon news weather here in Atlanta said NW Georgia through Atlanta would be under the gun from 11pm - 5am Friday into Saturday.

The OP showed a high probability in the Birmingham area and another post showed the concentration of greatest danger in Kentucky.

Somewhat strange to see so many different (at least from my POV) opinions 24-36 hours out from the event.
Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
99022 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 12:24 pm to
I'm pretty much smack dab in the middle of the danger/purple zone.

We're pretty used to it here though. Always tornados in the spring (if it's warm enough) and in the summer.

Posted by Govt Tide
Member since Nov 2009
9113 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 12:26 pm to
Your area is considered part of the traditional tornado alley btw. You do get big temp swings there but I don't think you guys have to worry about tornadoes as much in December and January as the Deep South does. The only tornado I've ever seen in person was an F2 tornado in Jan 1997 in Tuscaloosa when I was a student at Bama. This was only a week or so after we had a pretty good sleet/ice storm.

I also remember waking up to a dusting of snow the morning after the Dec 16th, 2000 F4 tornado that hit Tuscaloosa. It was in the mid 70s the day before and was in the low 20s with a dusting of snow and a screaming north wind the following morning.
Posted by mizzoukills
Member since Aug 2011
40686 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 12:27 pm to
Since the last year of the study in 2007, Missouri can add over 150 fatalities from Joplin's tornado last year.

Can you imagine if Joplin's tornado hit Springfield, a metropolitan area with a 400,000 plus population?

EDIT: Govt Tide,

I'm not trying to get into a shite match on who lives in the more dangerous area. I was just sharing some thoughts about the SW MO region's annual tornado threat. Also, SW MO's tornado alley is referred to as the "I-44 Corridor" and it's recognized by that name by The Weather Channel as a unique tornado alley. To lump the I-44 Corridor Tornado Alley into the traditional tornado alley (Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma) isn't 100 percent accurate.

Is this thread really turning into a "my area is far more dangerous than your area" thread?
This post was edited on 3/1/12 at 12:49 pm
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
90599 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 12:30 pm to
I'm not sure if they really know what to expect tomorrow.. everyone is saying different things and they keep changing the forecast. All I know is it's too damn warm in Starkville for it not to get severe.
Posted by Govt Tide
Member since Nov 2009
9113 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

Somewhat strange to see so many different (at least from my POV) opinions 24-36 hours out from the event.


If you look at the graphic posted by the OP the red and purple/pink area is for a moderate risk which is a very serious threat. The yellow area surrounding it is a slight risk which often produces some severe weather. I've seen posters on the thread I linked earlier suggest that Kentucky, Southern Indiana, and SW Ohio may be upgraded to a high risk. You typically only see a high risk issued once every 2 or 3 years.
Posted by Ball Gravy
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2008
2985 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 12:32 pm to
I've always wondered about F4/F5 tornadoes hitting large cities. We had a small one in Houston recently that blew out some windows on the West side.

Dallas has always been the case study for a F5 running right over downtown. They said if that happened, debris (glass/metal) could land in Shreveport, OKC, Waco, Abilene and College Station. That's a huge debris field.

For us in Houston, our nightmare scenario would be a Cat 5 Hurricane hitting Freeport moving due North at 15 mph or more. That would demolish Houston proper.
Posted by The Spleen
Member since Dec 2010
38865 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 12:36 pm to
That 97 F2 in Tuscaloosa blew down the greatest pecan tree I've ever known. Between the Sheraton and the conference center. Blew it right into the pool at the Sheraton.

Man that thing bore some delicious pecans.
Posted by wdeinttown
Tuscaloosa
Member since Dec 2011
2976 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 12:40 pm to
Excellent. I get to drive from Tuscaloosa to Boaz tomorrow.
Posted by tiger perry
Member since Dec 2009
25668 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 12:47 pm to
Hope no one here lives in a trailer park. Those things seemed to get demolished in any type of bad weather anywhere.
Posted by wdeinttown
Tuscaloosa
Member since Dec 2011
2976 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 1:03 pm to
What exactly do the numbers on the lower map indicate?
Posted by memphisplaya
Member since Jan 2009
85800 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 1:10 pm to
Posted by MaroonNation
StarkVegas, Mississippi, Bitch!
Member since Nov 2010
21950 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 1:18 pm to
quote:

Alabama and Mississippi are known by NWS as "Dixie Alley."





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A track running from just southwest of Florence, MS to the northeast through Brandon , MS has so many tornado paths that it is where the NWS elected to construct their huge domed doppler radar. It is visible from I20 heading east just past the downtown Brandon exit.
Posted by Porky
Member since Aug 2008
19103 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 1:19 pm to
I always felt like it wasn't a very good sign to see one or more pelicans flying by, heading north, with really serious expressions on their faces.
This post was edited on 3/1/12 at 1:32 pm
Posted by wdeinttown
Tuscaloosa
Member since Dec 2011
2976 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 1:22 pm to
"F5/EF5 Tornadoes in the United States 1950 - present" isn't exactly clear. I'm assuming it is mapping out the order in which the tornadoes occurred. But the title isn't exactly clear.
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