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Posted on 11/8/22 at 12:32 pm to XWing atAliciousness
quote:
In this hypothetical, what happens? Georgia gets in as the No. 2-4 seed like last year, and LSU is left out? Or LSU gets in with 2 losses, and every other 1-loss SEC team is out? Or both get in?
Good question. I honestly believe the committee will not let two SEC teams in again. (I have been known to be wrong)
Complete chaos....if Ole Miss wins out, LSU beats Georgia and Tennessee wins out. (Assuming Georgia wins out)
Georgia 12-1
LSU-11-2 SEC Champions
Ole Miss 11-1
Tennessee 11-1
Posted on 11/8/22 at 12:35 pm to CISO
quote:
We'll beat TCU on Saturday
It's possible. Texas is a different animal with Ewers at QB.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 12:37 pm to XWing atAliciousness
quote:
In this hypothetical, what happens
Let’s assume TCU loses, which I expect they would.
LSU would be in, question is the game close, if so
Overrated State/Michigan winner
LSU
Pac-12 champ
Georgia
If it’s not close in an LSU win, loser of Michigan/Overrated State loser would probably jump Georgia if their game is a nailbiter
Posted on 11/8/22 at 12:37 pm to David Ricky
quote:
The good version of Texas showing up against TCU and Utah being an agent of chaos in the PAC 12 would open up VOLS path to the CFP like the parting of the Red Sea.
Definitely a possibility. The path is there, no doubt.
quote:Whoever loses the OSU/Michigan game needs to lose badly. They could pick Tennessee if the game is close, butt it would help with the decision if the game is lopsided...similar to ND/Clemson.
Also preferably need tOSU to beat Michigan because I do NOT want a scenario where the committee is choosing between a 1 loss VOLS and 1 loss tOSU imo
Posted on 11/8/22 at 12:39 pm to Phat Phil
Tenny ain’t Bama. No way no how. So dont count on getting brownie points from the selection committee for finishing second in your division.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 12:40 pm to FlatwoodsForester
quote:
This is making the big assumption that you don't lose to USC.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 12:41 pm to VolNavy98
Oregon vs UGA at a neutral site in Atlanta
Posted on 11/8/22 at 12:43 pm to DawgsLife
quote:Absolute chaos and I'd be so here for it
Georgia 12-1
LSU-11-2 SEC Champions
Ole Miss 11-1
Tennessee 11-1
I'm inclined to believe that Ole Miss would get the shite-end of the stick there.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 12:43 pm to clamdip
quote:
All 3 of those have serious tests left, but there are also 3 of them. Only 1 has to finish with 1-loss to hurt Tennessee's chances
I think all 3 finish with 2 losses. UCLA and USC will be one, ND could beat USC and the PAC has a championship game I am assuming it will be USC vs Oregon.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 12:43 pm to Phat Phil
The only way SEC gets two teams in this year, is if LSU wins the SEC. The second team let in then will be UGA.
That, based on the team's performance so far is unlikely, but that is why we play the game.
CFP is very cognizant of SEC fatigue, and will try as much as possible to pull in a PAC 10 or other team if they can.
That, based on the team's performance so far is unlikely, but that is why we play the game.
CFP is very cognizant of SEC fatigue, and will try as much as possible to pull in a PAC 10 or other team if they can.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 12:47 pm to DawgsLife
quote:Texas stands a good chance, albeit a 7.5 point spread favoring the horns is ludicrous.
Texas could beat TCU. I don't think Baylor will. It might be a stretch to say they are likely to lose one, though.
If TCU wins to move to 10-0, they still have to win @Baylor (TCU's biggest rival and lost to TCU last year, so there's a revenge factor there; also they're slowly coming along this season) and then home against Iowa State, which shouldn't be a problem.
If they go 12-0, then they have to play someone they've already beat in the title game, which would likely be K State or a 4-loss Texas or Baylor team (which would be hilarious).
History shows that beating a team in the postseason after beating them in the regular season is extremely tough.
It'd be a safer bet to assume TCU drops one of their next four between now and bowl season
Posted on 11/8/22 at 1:12 pm to XWing atAliciousness
When the year is over, Tennessee is likely to only have two wins against ranked teams, Bama and LSU.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 1:13 pm to Phat Phil
12-1 Pac champ is in, whether it's Oregon/USC/UCLA.
Why would a 12-1 TCU be eliminated?
I think Clemson is fricked now. Probably UNC too even though they only have 1 loss.
Why would a 12-1 TCU be eliminated?
I think Clemson is fricked now. Probably UNC too even though they only have 1 loss.
This post was edited on 11/8/22 at 1:15 pm
Posted on 11/8/22 at 1:14 pm to NickSwisher
quote:
1. Georgia 2. Ohio State 3. TCU 4. Oregon
4 best teams in the country.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 1:22 pm to XWing atAliciousness
quote:
I'm inclined to believe that Ole Miss would get the shite-end of the stick there.
I agree. they don't get the buzz for some reason.
But, they could win out if Alabama comes in down after their second loss.
Tennessee, and Georgia should win out. Georgia should beat LSU, but LSU has had our number lately, and thye are playing with a lot of confidence. It could be very interesting for sure!
Posted on 11/8/22 at 1:22 pm to VolNavy98
If Oregon wins out they are in over Tennessee who did not win their conference.
The UGA loss was over two full moons ago. They are a much better team today.
No they will not beat UGA in a rematch but neither will 10RC. It is kind of a moot point.
Even if 10RC wins out they will be left behind any other one loss conference champion.
Simple as that.
So as of now the PAC whatever, ACC and B1G will be ahead of them if they all have one loss champions.
The UGA loss was over two full moons ago. They are a much better team today.
No they will not beat UGA in a rematch but neither will 10RC. It is kind of a moot point.
Even if 10RC wins out they will be left behind any other one loss conference champion.
Simple as that.
So as of now the PAC whatever, ACC and B1G will be ahead of them if they all have one loss champions.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 1:24 pm to Godawgs4
A non conference champ has never been picked over a P5 champ with an equal or better record. It happened in 2016/2017/2021 because you had multiple P5 champs with at least 2 losses (and at least UGA played in their conference title game last year). If Vols really think they're 100% in if they win out well then the melt on here will be glorious.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 1:27 pm to XWing atAliciousness
quote:
It'd be a safer bet to assume TCU drops one of their next four between now and bowl season
That's a fair assessment. i do tend to put too much emphasis on a won/loss record and discount upsets. To me, this is what makes college football great. A lot of drama will be played out in a short amount of time.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 1:28 pm to Phat Phil
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