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KenPom SEC Tournament Odds (Game Spreads and Overall Chances of Advancing and Winning)
Posted on 3/5/22 at 10:52 pm
Posted on 3/5/22 at 10:52 pm
Wednesday
13 Ole Miss (-3) vs. 12 Missouri
14 Georgia vs. 11 Vanderbilt (-9)
Thursday
9 Florida (-1) vs. 8 Texas A&M
12 Missouri vs. 5 LSU (-12) / 13 Ole Miss vs. 5 LSU (-9)
10 Mississippi State (-4) vs. 7 South Carolina
11 Vanderbilt vs. 6 Alabama (-5) / 14 Georgia vs. 6 Alabama (-15)
Friday
8 Texas A&M vs. 1 Auburn (-9) / 9 Florida vs. 1 Auburn (-8)
5 LSU (-1) vs. 4 Arkansas / 12 Missouri vs. 4 Arkansas (-12) / 13 Ole Miss vs. 4 Arkansas (-9)
7 South Carolina vs. 2 Tennessee (-11) / 10 Mississippi State vs. 2 Tennessee (-7)
6 Alabama vs. 3 Kentucky (-7) / 11 Vanderbilt vs. 3 Kentucky (-11) / 14 Georgia vs. 3 Kentucky (-21)
Chances of Reaching Semis
Tennessee 81.8%
Auburn 80.2%
Kentucky 77.6%
Arkansas 52.2%
LSU 45.4%
Alabama 18.3%
Mississippi State 13%
Florida 10%
Texas A&M 9.8%
South Carolina 5.2%
Vanderbilt 4%
Ole Miss 2%
Missouri 0.5%
Georgia 0.1%
Chances of Reaching Finals
Auburn 52.2%
Kentucky 45.8%
Tennessee 42.9%
Arkansas 21.2%
LSU 19.8%
Alabama 6.4%
Texas A&M 3.2%
Florida 3.2%
Mississippi State 3.1%
Vanderbilt 0.9%
South Carolina 0.8%
Ole Miss 0.3%
Missouri 0.1%
Georgia <0.05%
Chances of Winning
Auburn 27.6%
Kentucky 27.3%
Tennessee 24.3%
Arkansas 7.9%
LSU 7.9%
Alabama 2.2%
Mississippi State 0.9%
Florida 0.8%
Texas A&M 0.7%
South Carolina 0.2%
Vanderbilt 0.2%
Missouri <0.05%
Ole Miss <0.05%
Georgia <0.05%
13 Ole Miss (-3) vs. 12 Missouri
14 Georgia vs. 11 Vanderbilt (-9)
Thursday
9 Florida (-1) vs. 8 Texas A&M
12 Missouri vs. 5 LSU (-12) / 13 Ole Miss vs. 5 LSU (-9)
10 Mississippi State (-4) vs. 7 South Carolina
11 Vanderbilt vs. 6 Alabama (-5) / 14 Georgia vs. 6 Alabama (-15)
Friday
8 Texas A&M vs. 1 Auburn (-9) / 9 Florida vs. 1 Auburn (-8)
5 LSU (-1) vs. 4 Arkansas / 12 Missouri vs. 4 Arkansas (-12) / 13 Ole Miss vs. 4 Arkansas (-9)
7 South Carolina vs. 2 Tennessee (-11) / 10 Mississippi State vs. 2 Tennessee (-7)
6 Alabama vs. 3 Kentucky (-7) / 11 Vanderbilt vs. 3 Kentucky (-11) / 14 Georgia vs. 3 Kentucky (-21)
Chances of Reaching Semis
Tennessee 81.8%
Auburn 80.2%
Kentucky 77.6%
Arkansas 52.2%
LSU 45.4%
Alabama 18.3%
Mississippi State 13%
Florida 10%
Texas A&M 9.8%
South Carolina 5.2%
Vanderbilt 4%
Ole Miss 2%
Missouri 0.5%
Georgia 0.1%
Chances of Reaching Finals
Auburn 52.2%
Kentucky 45.8%
Tennessee 42.9%
Arkansas 21.2%
LSU 19.8%
Alabama 6.4%
Texas A&M 3.2%
Florida 3.2%
Mississippi State 3.1%
Vanderbilt 0.9%
South Carolina 0.8%
Ole Miss 0.3%
Missouri 0.1%
Georgia <0.05%
Chances of Winning
Auburn 27.6%
Kentucky 27.3%
Tennessee 24.3%
Arkansas 7.9%
LSU 7.9%
Alabama 2.2%
Mississippi State 0.9%
Florida 0.8%
Texas A&M 0.7%
South Carolina 0.2%
Vanderbilt 0.2%
Missouri <0.05%
Ole Miss <0.05%
Georgia <0.05%
8
Posted on 3/5/22 at 10:55 pm to volfan30
quote:
Ole Miss <0.05%
Posted on 3/5/22 at 11:10 pm to volfan30
quote:
Chances of Reaching Semis
Arkansas 52.2%
LSU 45.4%
quote:
Chances of Reaching Finals
Arkansas 21.2%
LSU 19.8%
quote:
Chances of Winning
Arkansas 7.9%
LSU 7.9%
Interesting... Arky was 13-5 in conference, LSU 9-9. Arky swept LSU (yes, 2 very close games). And yet, they're basically given the same chance to advance.
Posted on 3/5/22 at 11:15 pm to Scoob
If you’ve kept an eye on Ken Pom all season it’s not surprising at all.
Posted on 3/5/22 at 11:33 pm to piggilicious
Yeah LSU is actually higher than Arkansas at KenPom. Should be an excellent QF game either way.
This post was edited on 3/5/22 at 11:34 pm
Posted on 3/5/22 at 11:36 pm to volfan30
quote:
Missouri <0.05%
Ole Miss <0.05%
Georgia <0.05%
Damn y’all
Posted on 3/5/22 at 11:47 pm to volfan30
quote:
Auburn 27.6%
Kentucky 27.3%
Tennessee 24.3%
Big 3
Posted on 3/6/22 at 2:51 am to volfan30
quote:
Chances of Winning Auburn 27.6% Kentucky 27.3% Tennessee 24.3% Arkansas 7.9% LSU 7.9%
Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Backups Ha Ha Ha Ha Getting ready for NCAA Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha!
Posted on 3/6/22 at 4:33 am to Aight is Enough
KenPom had Arkansas losing the vast majority of its final games. I'm not too worried about their predictions.
Posted on 3/6/22 at 6:52 am to Scoob
quote:
Interesting... Arky was 13-5 in conference, LSU 9-9. Arky swept LSU (yes, 2 very close games). And yet, they're basically given the same chance to advance.
At that point, they’re looking at the coaching.
Posted on 3/6/22 at 7:25 am to OccamsStubble
No surprise you have stubble with that dull razor you’re using. I can’t think of a worse take on KenPom and in game coaching than what you just spouted. 
Posted on 3/6/22 at 7:26 am to volfan30
Those are some wild stats .
Posted on 3/6/22 at 7:26 am to volfan30
quote:KenPomMike is not happy
Chances of Winning Auburn 27.6% Kentucky 27.3%
Posted on 3/6/22 at 8:18 am to WDE24
Posted on 3/6/22 at 10:04 am to volfan30
Depends on how many fake charges the black Asian can draw.
Posted on 3/6/22 at 10:12 am to volfan30
So you’re saying there’s a chance?
Posted on 3/6/22 at 12:47 pm to Scoob
quote:
Arky swept LSU
I seriously doubt we would be able to beat you 3 times this season. I hope we win, but I won't be shocked if LSU beats us.
Hopefully we have Toney back so we can be at full strength.
Posted on 3/6/22 at 1:26 pm to Maytheporkbewithyou
Another obvious reason why Arkansas is only at 10% to win the tournament is because we play LSU in the Quarters. If chalk advances, nobody would have a harder road to win it all.
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