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KenPom Big 12/SEC Challenge Preview

Posted on 1/24/19 at 6:41 pm
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40949 posts
Posted on 1/24/19 at 6:41 pm
Iowa State @ Ole Miss +1 (12:00 PM ESPN)
Florida @ TCU -4 (12:00 PM ESPN2)
Alabama @ Baylor -4 (12:00 PM ESPNU)
Kansas State @ Texas A&M +4 (2:00 PM ESPN)
Texas @ Georgia +5 (2:00 PM ESPN2)
South Carolina @ Oklahoma State -5 (2:00 PM ESPNU)
West Virginia @ Tennessee -17 (4:00 PM ESPN)
Vanderbilt @ Oklahoma -12 (4:00 PM ESPN2)
Kansas @ Kentucky -4 (6:00 PM ESPN)
Arkansas @ Texas Tech -11 (6:00 PM ESPN2)

Chances of Winning Challenge
Big 12: 59%
SEC: 41%
Posted by GeorgeWest
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2013
13071 posts
Posted on 1/24/19 at 6:43 pm to
Gonna need some upsets for SEC to come out ahead like last season. No Auburn, State, or LSU hurts SEC chances, imo.
Posted by vosams
Green Hills
Member since Sep 2014
446 posts
Posted on 1/24/19 at 6:49 pm to
quote:


Iowa State @ Ole Miss +1
Florida @ TCU -4
Alabama @ Baylor -4
Kansas State @ Texas A&M +4
Texas @ Georgia +5
South Carolina @ Oklahoma State -5
West Virginia @ Tennessee -17
Vanderbilt @ Oklahoma -12
Kansas @ Kentucky -4
Arkansas @ Texas Tech -11
Posted by CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
79994 posts
Posted on 1/24/19 at 6:50 pm to
quote:

Kansas State @ Texas A&M +4 (2:00 PM ESPN)


Previous spreads at Reed.

Texas Southern at A&M (-13): TSU won by 15
Arkansas at A&M (-3): Arkansas won by 2
Auburn at A&M (+14): Auburn won by 19
Missouri at A&M (-4): Missouri won by 23

If Kansas State is favored by 4 at Reed, then the aforementioned data says they will win by between 16-20 points.
Posted by TheTexasTiger7
Dallas - Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2018
9387 posts
Posted on 1/24/19 at 6:51 pm to
Kansas won’t beat Kentucky on the road. They have been playing really bad lately. They are overrated. A lot of their games were narrow wins against shite teams.
Posted by Glorious
Mobile
Member since Aug 2014
24465 posts
Posted on 1/24/19 at 7:00 pm to
Honestly, with Auburn, LSU, and MSU not playing, going 5-5 is a huge victory
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
69899 posts
Posted on 1/24/19 at 7:14 pm to
quote:

West Virginia @ Tennessee -17 (4:00 PM ESPN)



WTF?

Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
62742 posts
Posted on 1/24/19 at 7:16 pm to
Am I looking at this correctly? Big 12 favored 8 of 10 games?
Posted by ExtraSpecial
Music City
Member since Dec 2018
2128 posts
Posted on 1/24/19 at 7:17 pm to
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
17410 posts
Posted on 1/24/19 at 7:20 pm to
quote:

Big 12 favored 8 of 10 games?


If OP posted lines correctly, yes.
Posted by mistaken4193
Member since Jan 2017
25505 posts
Posted on 1/24/19 at 7:25 pm to
UT is the only SEC team im 100% sure will win.
Posted by TT9
Global warming
Member since Sep 2008
82952 posts
Posted on 1/24/19 at 7:26 pm to
quote:

UT is the only SEC team im 100% sure will win.


agree
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40949 posts
Posted on 1/24/19 at 9:22 pm to


Here are all the projected scores. Tennessee/WVU now at 18.

Sub 80 KenPom team coming in to TBA, shouldn't be too surprising. My guess is Vegas opens at 15.5 or so.
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28540 posts
Posted on 1/24/19 at 9:30 pm to
quote:

WTF?


What is suprising by that? They did get a good win against Kansas at home this past weekend but they are the worst team in the Big 12 currently.
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
69899 posts
Posted on 1/25/19 at 4:53 am to
Still, it's Huggins, I don't forsee a cakewalk. Would be nice tho, these last 2 games have been butt clenchers and I don't think I can take too many more of these against inferior teams.
Posted by rich4pres
Knoxville
Member since Dec 2016
9761 posts
Posted on 1/25/19 at 5:04 am to
The way Tennessee has been playing in the last week makes me think the West Virginia game is far from a sure thing. Even though we are winning we are in a slump. Also, I think West Virginia is better than their record indicates.
Posted by Oklahomey
Bucksnort, TN
Member since Mar 2013
4999 posts
Posted on 1/25/19 at 5:17 am to
OU/Vandy is a toss up. Sooners went 11-1 in non-conference with some decent wins, but have struggled since XII play has started. Hell, they had to come back from 19 down to beat the Pokes the other night, and OSU just has 9 on the roster.
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
69899 posts
Posted on 1/25/19 at 5:45 am to
Admiral has not been himself the last 2 games. Rumor is he's had the flu. Hope that's all it is and he gets back to normal, we'll need his A game in the back half of the season.
Posted by BigOrangeVols
Knoxville
Member since Jul 2015
3067 posts
Posted on 1/25/19 at 6:58 am to
I'd take VOLS on the moneyline but I don't think I'd take us on a -18 spread.
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
69899 posts
Posted on 1/25/19 at 7:12 am to
quote:

OU/Vandy is a toss up. Sooners went 11-1 in non-conference with some decent wins, but have struggled since XII play has started. Hell, they had to come back from 19 down to beat the Pokes the other night, and OSU just has 9 on the roster.


Vandy plays like they did against us, they could beat Oklahoma. If they play like they have against everyone else, Oklahoma by 20
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