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re: For those getting excited about A&M's defense

Posted on 11/12/25 at 10:24 am to
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
61210 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 10:24 am to
USC was whipping Bama soundly before the miracle comeback and USC turnover

I hope Elko is taking them very seriously
Posted by AGGIES
Member since Jul 2021
10385 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 10:29 am to
Not bothered by facts at all. I don’t know how SP+ is calculated. Would a team like Kennesaw State or Indiana State receive favorable treatment from this calculation?

I’m curious though - what are the offensive stats for the teams Ohio State and Indiana have faced.

Do you see much difference?
Posted by Lonnie Utah
Utah!
Member since Jul 2012
31585 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 10:37 am to
quote:

Is Sellers not playing well?


Sellers is playing OK. Our O-line is TERRIBLE.
Posted by AGGIES
Member since Jul 2021
10385 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 10:39 am to
Sellers is a scary dude for A&M fans, so nobody is taking his skillset lightly. He played like Superman vs A&M last year.

And I’m sure the A&M defense wants redemption against a human highlight reel.
Posted by Hugh McElroy
Member since Sep 2013
19253 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 10:59 am to
quote:

It makes sense to you that sacks on pass plays would inflate a rushing defense ranking? Ok.


Taylon Green dropped backed to pass, then scrambled for like 1,000 yards against? Should those count as rushing yards?
This post was edited on 11/12/25 at 11:00 am
Posted by Gings5
Member since Jul 2016
10596 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:04 am to
It's Bill Connelly's system.

"What is SP+? In a single sentence, it's a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency that I originally created at Football Outsiders in 2008. SP+ is intended to be predictive and forward-facing. It is not a résumé ranking, so it does not automatically give credit for big wins or particularly brave scheduling -- no good predictive system does. It is simply a measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football. If you're lucky or unimpressive in a win, your rating will probably fall. If you're strong and unlucky in a loss, it will probably rise."

Indiana:

ODU - 54
Kennesaw State - 108
Indiana State - N/A
Illinois - 15 (gave up 10)
Iowa - 52
Oregon - 12 (gave up 20)
Michigan State - 66
UCLA - 70
Maryland - 76
Penn State - 24 (gave up 24)

Ohio State:

Texas - 44
Grambling State - N/A
Ohio - 88
Washington - 26 (gave up 6)
Minnesota - 84
Illinois - 15 (gave up 16)
Wisconsin - 119
Penn State - 24 (gave up 14)
Purdue - 83

SP+ defenses:
A&M - 18
Indiana - 4
Ohio State - 1

Neutral site spreads:
OSU -8 vs. A&M
Indiana -4 vs. A&M
This post was edited on 11/12/25 at 11:12 am
Posted by TXBQAG02
Member since Nov 2024
92 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:07 am to
quote:

This is misleading because it includes lost yardage from sacks.


Then simply tell the QB to get rid of the ball. Problem solved. Next question…
Posted by AGGIES
Member since Jul 2021
10385 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:13 am to
Yeah, quite a discrepancy between 1, 4 and 18. Which is weird given you posted the following:

quote:

Offenses they’ve faced according to SP+: UTSA - 45 Utah State - 51 ND - 6 (gave up 40) Auburn - 62 Miss St. - 36 Florida - 72 Arky - 7 (gave up 42) LSU - 63 Mizzou - 28




Posted by DBird
Member since Nov 2023
812 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:19 am to
Spreadsheet Ag does something like this every week. I wonder if his outcomes would be different if he used SP+.
Posted by Houag80
Member since Jul 2019
17397 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:21 am to
Ok, thanks for the loser post.
Posted by MIZ58
KCMO
Member since Dec 2015
1654 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:28 am to
A&M is the most complete team in the conference and Elko coached circles around Drink and co. They are light years ahead of MIZ as a program.
Posted by Houag80
Member since Jul 2019
17397 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:34 am to
I don't know if I would go that far. MIZ is a good team, with a good coach battling significant injuries to key personnel.
Elko is strategic in how he attacks perceived weaknesses....as is Drink. Drink was missing a QB, a TE and I being a kicker. The kicker wouldn't have made much difference but the other two would.
The OP'S post is a non starter and embarrassing for the OP, not the team.
Posted by MIZ58
KCMO
Member since Dec 2015
1654 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:43 am to
That turnover at end of the half was a dagger, we all knew deep down Mizzou didnt have a come back in them. Elko cemented this with the fake punt (great call) and abusing us in one of our best areas (run defense) in the second half. Coaching clinic, but works because Elk has the horses to impose his will.
Posted by Houag80
Member since Jul 2019
17397 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:47 am to
From what I've read he sat on that fake punt call for about 6-7 weeks. Shocked the hell out of me since he tends to be conservative on everything except blitz packages. And, it was brilliant. Hell, Brooks was 25 yards down field b4 anyone knew what was happening.
Posted by MizzouTrue
Member since Jun 2016
4774 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:49 am to
Mizzou is still the #1 rush offense in the SEC so it’s not like we were punchless kittens

Hope Zollers is better this week, we are going to need him
Posted by Tiger97
Member since Feb 2015
635 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:51 am to
You have not watched MU's Off Coord run our season off a cliff the last 4-5 weeks. He is the embarassment, not the post.

I was simply responding to some of the talking heads coming out with "What makes A&M's defense so special" and "A&M has the offense and defense to challenge for the crown".

I should have been more clear. They may be right. But they should not be making those declarations about this last game. An ACC or middling Big 10 defense would have looked good against that sad offensive coaching effort.
Posted by Houag80
Member since Jul 2019
17397 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:54 am to
Understood.
Posted by RelentlessAnalysis
Member since Oct 2025
511 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

#5 Rushing Defense 123 YPG
quote:

This is misleading because it includes lost yardage from sacks.

Sacks are yet another indicator of a solid defense.

But it would be interesting to see a ranking of run defense, net of sack yardage and/or scramble yardage.
This post was edited on 11/12/25 at 1:08 pm
Posted by Aggie in TN
Franklin TN
Member since Jun 2022
2759 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 1:16 pm to
Only on third downs.
Posted by PuertoRicanBlaze
Book Board Admin
Member since Apr 2024
6566 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 2:06 pm to
Their defense will look stellar in the nail biting loss to Bama in a few weeks.
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