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re: FiveThirtyEight's Projected First Round Winners
Posted on 3/12/18 at 9:21 am to PearlJam
Posted on 3/12/18 at 9:21 am to PearlJam
quote:
People seem to think if a team with an 80 percent chance of winning loses, then the math is bad. Could just be the 1 in 5 scenario happened.
Americans are bad at math and logic.
3
Posted on 3/12/18 at 9:27 am to BHMKyle
quote:
39.62%- Arkansas
Frickkk, Butler is a tough 1st round game.
Posted on 3/12/18 at 9:30 am to The Spleen
quote:
Americans are bad at math and logic.
Not true. Just a vocal minority.
Posted on 3/12/18 at 9:32 am to The Spleen
quote:
Americans are bad at math and logic.
You should watch common core videos
Posted on 3/12/18 at 10:36 am to Tigerman97
quote:
They hadn't factored in Russia in the algorithm.
Lol what exactly do you think the Russians did? No one can ever answer this question with detail.
Posted on 3/12/18 at 10:37 am to The Spleen
quote:
Americans are bad at math and logic
We dumb.....odds n math n stuff is the devil.
Posted on 3/12/18 at 10:38 am to StopRobot
quote:
Same website got every state right in the 2012 election
OoOoOoH an incumbent election with a charismatic sitting pres
This post was edited on 3/12/18 at 11:55 am
Posted on 3/12/18 at 10:38 am to RandySavage
quote:
Arkansas are yall gonna do anything or did I really screw up putting you in my Elite 8?
I'm a homer and I'm not going to have us going to the elite 8 on mine.
Posted on 3/12/18 at 10:43 am to BHMKyle
They should have these on bottom of the screen the during a game. Would be incredibly interesting.
Posted on 3/12/18 at 10:47 am to flyAU
ESPN was doing something similar with the BPI chance to win during the sec tournament.
Posted on 3/12/18 at 11:47 am to Sev09
quote:
Lol what exactly do you think the Russians did? No one can ever answer this question with detail.
1. They hacked the email of John Podesta, Hillary Clinton and the DNC server
2. They created fake Facebook/Twitter accounts to spread disinformation
3. They worked with the Trump campaign at the very least in an attempt to given them op research on Clinton but the full extent is not know.,
Posted on 3/12/18 at 11:52 am to biggsc
Every news site predicted Hillary would win. Odds don't mean inevitabilities.
Posted on 3/12/18 at 11:58 am to StopRobot
quote:
They hacked the email of John Podesta, Hillary Clinton and the DNC server
Did they? Also, this happened very early on, so 538’s polling sample surely included this.
quote:
They created fake Facebook/Twitter accounts to spread disinformation
Did they? What, like 200 accounts?
That’s what turned the rust belt!! quote:
They worked with the Trump campaign at the very least in an attempt to given them op research on Clinton but the full extent is not know.,
Did they???
That sounds pretty serious. I can’t wait to see the charges this lengthy Mueller investigation turns up!
Posted on 3/12/18 at 12:00 pm to StopRobot
quote:
1. They hacked the email of John Podesta, Hillary Clinton and the DNC server 2. They created fake Facebook/Twitter accounts to spread disinformation
So, they did the same things as the Clinton campaign?
Hacked e-mails, spreading of false info. I bet they would have given Putin the questions to a televised debate beforehand.
quote:
3. They worked with the Trump campaign at the very least in an attempt to given them op research on Clinton but the full extent is not know.,
Posted on 3/12/18 at 12:17 pm to Vecchio Cane
Confine this to the lunacy that is Politcal Talk board. Surprised they all haven't turned into gay frogs at this point.
Posted on 3/12/18 at 12:31 pm to GenesChin
quote:
They were one of the only ones who said it wasn't in the bag for Hilary and wrote a piece on it too
Not quite. They still gave Hill a 71.4 chance of winning while they gave Trump a 28.6% chance. The piece they wrote about Trump's chances was written AFTER the election.
I do agree that they did give Trump a greater chance than most polling sites.
Posted on 3/12/18 at 12:34 pm to biggsc
quote:
Same website that projected Hillary to win.
I don’t believe in polls, percentages or algorithms on basketball games
Interesting question...if Hillary and Trump were to play 1 on 1 in basketball, what would the point spread be?
Posted on 3/12/18 at 12:59 pm to Sev09
quote:
Did they? Also, this happened very early on, so 538’s polling sample surely included this.
Did they? What, like 200 accounts? That’s what turned the rust belt!!
Did they??? That sounds pretty serious. I can’t wait to see the charges this lengthy Mueller investigation turns up!
Yes they did all of those things. You asked specifically what the Russian intelligence agencies did and I listed three things.
Posted on 3/12/18 at 1:07 pm to StopRobot
quote:
1. They hacked the email of John Podesta, Hillary Clinton and the DNC server
Thank you Russia for exposing the Clinton Dnc criminals.
Posted on 3/12/18 at 1:10 pm to Sev09
quote:
Did they??? That sounds pretty serious. I can’t wait to see the charges this lengthy Mueller investigation turns up!
You do realize 5 wealthy Americans have already been indicted for this all of which worked with Trump's campaign. Of those 5, 4 of them pled guilty and are now cooperating. This is in the United States...when was the last time a guilty rich man pled guilty. Answer: wealthy people don't plead guilty unless they have no other option in this country.
As for 538...I'd have to look it up but every state they missed on save one was within the margin of error in their polling. I believe that was Michigan. They got the overall numbers right concerning population vote. They just missed the old white dude democrat frustration vote.
It is obvious Russia interfered in the election. It is obvious Trump's campaign worked with them. It isn't known if Trump knew.
As of today we don't know if Trump's campaign worked with Russia cause they are idiots and didn't realize they were committing an act of treason or they did it because they are traitors.
Based on what we know despite Russian interference the balance of the election was decided by old white male democrats in the rust belt...a place there is no evidence Russia targeted (except Ohio). So it is unlikely it affected the outcome, but it still doesn't excuse treason.
This post was edited on 3/12/18 at 1:13 pm
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