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re: FiveThirtyEight's Projected First Round Winners

Posted on 3/12/18 at 4:41 pm to
Posted by StopRobot
Mobile, AL
Member since May 2013
15391 posts
Posted on 3/12/18 at 4:41 pm to
quote:

I’m sorry, but 538 was extremely far off. Yes, it was about 70% to 30% as was mentioned elsewhere in this thread, but that was just the chance given for trump to get 275. The % chance 538 gave for trump to break 300 (you know, what actually happened) was something like 7-8% to 92%. The revisionist history to defend silver being totally wrong so his followers can save face is sad and I’m sure people will still say he is “right” for having non-zero odds at 8%.


The amount of stupidity in this is astounding. It was a 5% chance that App State beat Michigan. Because App State beat Michigan does not change the statistics. Arkansas had a 5% chance of converting 4th and 25. Because they converted it that doesnt change the statistics
Posted by StopRobot
Mobile, AL
Member since May 2013
15391 posts
Posted on 3/12/18 at 4:43 pm to
quote:

None of them pled guilty to “collusion” or anything of the sort. It’s all Micky Mouse charges like “making false statements to the FBI.”


Gates pled guilty to fraud as well as lying to the FBI. He was a top Trump adviser
Posted by jryanw
Bham, AL
Member since Dec 2013
4612 posts
Posted on 3/12/18 at 5:59 pm to
Since you hate this President so much what do you plan to do with the tax break he got you? This is the reason he won. The Dems, and Republican for that matter, have both been telling the middle class(the biggest class) for years that we need to just suck it up and understand what the poor and rich need. Finally a candidate came along and said F that. Why should the middle class be trampled on all the time?Vote for me and I'll put money back in your pockets by giving you tax breaks, giving money back to your company that will then have to give you a bonus or a raise to keep you, and exposing the lies that both sides have being telling you for years to help prevent them from stealing your money when my term is done. He has kept his word. He's accomplished more of what he promised I his first year than the past 4 jokers did in their entire terms.

What you libtards and some anti trump conservative don't seem to understand is that his supporters know he's flawed and we don't care. Morality has very little to do with a person being good at running a company or a country. How many CEOs do you know of who's employees love them?You guys and your media outlets love to try and paint trump firing staffers as a bad thing. We love it! If your not doing your job then gtfo. Why should those in politics be held to a lesser standard than im held to in my job? As "public servents" they should be held to a higher standard. Clinton was yalls trump and now yall are crying about things you laughed off when he was the potus.
All liberals are young, dumb, lazy, or all of the above. To young to care about the govt stealing working peoples money, too dumb to realize that they are tugging on your heart strings about a social issue that they don't give an actual damn about so that the can steal your money and not do any actual work, or to lazy to want to get off your arse and work hard so you want to be spoon fed just enough to get by.
This post was edited on 3/12/18 at 6:03 pm
Posted by Tigerman97
Member since Jun 2014
10354 posts
Posted on 3/12/18 at 7:51 pm to
quote:

Morality has very little to do with a person being good at running a company or a country. How many CEOs do you know of who's employees love them?


Being good at running a country or company does have a lot to do with being good at it. His history and current performance indicate he doesn't run things well.

quote:

All liberals are young, dumb, lazy, or all of the above.


I am a conservative and anti-Hillary person who recognized what Trump was...kept quiet to give him shot in his first year and unfortunately have been proven correct about him as a person and a leader. He, himself, may not have worked wittingly with Russia but being to dumb to realize the treasonous actions his staff at the least engaged in isn't exactly the best defense. My guess is like Nixon it won't be the crime but the cover up that finally cost him.

I do agree with some in this post and to your sentiment. For a portion of this country it doesn't matter. That however is a sad reflection of that portion of this country. #becausewelivehere
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6--Brazos River Backwater
Member since Sep 2015
26149 posts
Posted on 3/12/18 at 8:04 pm to
I think Auburn bites the dust early vs the College of Charleston (Chanticleers?).
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