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re: Does LSU not have the money to fire BK?

Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:01 pm to
Posted by RTRnFlorida
Member since Mar 2024
2028 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:01 pm to
The 7 day notice is something I saw too, but make no mistake, there is language regarding the notice. No attorney accepts deals that are one sided. There are always wiggle room to “not pay”. And we don’t really know when he was “fired” except what ESPN said. It’s hard to know when the AD walked in and said, you’re done.

I do agree with you though, LSU regardless of the outcome is cooked, and this will not bode well for them.
Posted by SidewalkTiger
Midwest, USA
Member since Dec 2019
65577 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:02 pm to
Just give him $35 million and be done with it.
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
19293 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:03 pm to
SidewalkTiger said this is normal with all coaching changes.
Posted by SidewalkTiger
Midwest, USA
Member since Dec 2019
65577 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:05 pm to
quote:

SidewalkTiger said this is normal with all coaching changes.


Negotiations are normal, this isn't negotiations anymore.

They need to just offer him a decent lump sum of $32-35 million. If they can't afford that, just pay the man his money over the 6 years.
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
19293 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:12 pm to
quote:

They need to just offer him a decent lump sum of $32-35 million. If they can't afford that, just pay the man his money over the 6 years.


The current value today of $54 million paid equally over the next 6 years at an annual 8% interest rate is $42 million. At 5% interest it is $46 million. Why would he accept $32-35 million?
Posted by SidewalkTiger
Midwest, USA
Member since Dec 2019
65577 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:14 pm to
quote:

Why would he accept $32-35 million?


$35 million invested now with a return of 10% gives him $62mil in 6 years vs the $54mil he'd have otherwise.
Posted by BamaBravesPackers
Member since Nov 2021
7050 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:24 pm to
quote:

The current value today of $54 million paid equally over the next 6 years at an annual 8% interest rate is $42 million. At 5% interest it is $46 million. Why would he accept $32-35 million?


No one is taking a PV assuming 8% discount rate while the Fed is cutting rates towards ~3.5%. His 54mm is guaranteed, so the discount rate needs to be a lot closer to the risk free rate than a high investment return rate. The 46mm is a much more reasonable estimate depending on how much he cares about the offsetting clause going away.

Edit: think the clown on Locked on LSU said BK offered 43mm settlement, but not sure whether that is true or not.
This post was edited on 11/11/25 at 9:27 pm
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
61161 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:26 pm to
Chicken strip man is giving it to them
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
19293 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 9:46 pm to
He has a contract with a guarantee of $54 million.

It looks like a 10 year treasury note closed at 4.081% today. That is as close to zero risk investment as there is.

$35 million invested today at 4.081% interest will be worth $44 million in 6 years.

Do you have a zero risk investment with a guaranteed 10% annual return?

Why do you think Brian Kelly will take $35 million?

Posted by ColoradoElkHerd
USA
Member since May 2014
4097 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 10:04 pm to
quote:

Why do you think Brian Kelly will take $35 million?


He won't unless he has had a lobotomy or has a terminal disease.
Posted by Murph4HOF
A-T-L-A-N-T-A (that's where I stay)
Member since Sep 2019
17357 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 10:07 pm to
quote:

They pledged to cover the buyout then sobered up the next day and realized what they did. It’s the only explanation.
"Hell Scottie, you actually fired that Yankee? I was just playin'. That was the Elijah Craig talkin'."
Posted by Murph4HOF
A-T-L-A-N-T-A (that's where I stay)
Member since Sep 2019
17357 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 10:13 pm to
quote:

It’s hard to know when the AD walked in and said, you’re done.
Check out Exhibit 2 and 3 in BK's filing.
Posted by Spaniard
Pine Belt
Member since Apr 2011
1108 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 10:24 pm to
Is this whole thing just a classic Louisiana hustle ?
Dat yanka not leaving this state with all that money. We make it go to court some of our friends available to represent him .
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
19293 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 10:30 pm to
quote:

Edit: think the clown on Locked on LSU said BK offered 43mm settlement, but not sure whether that is true or not.


If Brian Kelly offered to settle with LSU for a $43 million dollar lump sum and LSU turned it down hoping for $32-35 million… we saw sidewalk math.
Posted by SidewalkTiger
Midwest, USA
Member since Dec 2019
65577 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 10:39 pm to
quote:

He has a contract with a guarantee of $54 million.

It looks like a 10 year treasury note closed at 4.081% today. That is as close to zero risk investment as there is.

$35 million invested today at 4.081% interest will be worth $44 million in 6 years.

Do you have a zero risk investment with a guaranteed 10% annual return?

Why do you think Brian Kelly will take $35 million?


Just depends how scared he is of the market.

Also depends on if he wants to work again.
Posted by BigScoreboard
Member since May 2021
1761 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 11:43 pm to
They used to tell us how poor Tennessee was. We wasted a lot of money on former coaches, but we were never poor. Looks like somebody might be tho.
Posted by Buttermilk Pancakes
Philadelphia
Member since Jul 2013
2322 posts
Posted on 11/11/25 at 11:59 pm to
LSU is poor! They got No money!
Posted by SECCaptain
Member since Jun 2025
1133 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 1:09 am to
Woodward is about to up get sued into the ground by LSU for gross negligence over the way he fired Kelly
Posted by ColoradoElkHerd
USA
Member since May 2014
4097 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 1:18 am to
quote:

Woodward is about to up get sued into the ground by LSU for gross negligence over the way he fired Kelly


Nah, He can say the Governor told him to. The Governor was already talking about the next football Coach.
Posted by SECCaptain
Member since Jun 2025
1133 posts
Posted on 11/12/25 at 1:58 am to
Might want to check your math there buddy

Discount rate should be 1.08^-6 x principal(should really be 360 day calendar for compounds, but I’m too lazy)

Assuming 8% over inflation for 6 years, $54 million has a present day value of $34 million and change

5% would be $40.3 million

But finding a 5% net risk free rate is impossible, much less 8%

3.5%, which is actually reasonable and historically close to average factoring for recessions would be $43.93 million, which is what was offered
This post was edited on 11/12/25 at 8:07 am
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