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re: Does Alabama have a feasible path to the CFP?
Posted on 11/24/24 at 4:30 pm to Phillytiger9
Posted on 11/24/24 at 4:30 pm to Phillytiger9
Probably. But this team needs to be sitting on their arse during the playoffs, don’t want to watch us get destroyed again.
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Posted on 11/24/24 at 4:31 pm to Draco Malfoy
quote:
Is that true if Mizzou and South Carolina drop next week?
The OP asked if there is a feasible path. Of course, if 2 of our better wins lose next week, that path gets more narrow. Right now Bama has around a 38% chance of making the CFP. Vegas has us as the 9th best odds to win the entire national title. We would need a lot to go our way, which is why we are discussing potential paths, not everything that could keep it from happening, since as of right now, we are out.
Posted on 11/24/24 at 4:36 pm to A12 Oxcart
quote:
Even under that scenario, Bama still has two of the worst losses of any contender.
Not really. Ole Miss has worse losses.
UK (1-7) and UF (4-4) vs OU (2-5) and Vandy. (3-4) And one of Ole Miss's losses was at home.
SC has better losses... but they also lost head to head to Bama.
Posted on 11/24/24 at 4:43 pm to DawginSC
quote:
SC has better losses... but they also lost head to head to Bama.
Committee ranked LSU behind South Carolina two weeks ago despite having the same record. LSU beat them on the road too.
If South Carolina upsets Clemson at Clemson they’ll be in over Bama and rightfully so
Posted on 11/24/24 at 5:20 pm to theballguy
quote:
Damn, Alabama really touched you guys.
Yeah I’d say so. You’ve only absolutely destroyed our hopes every year since 2007 since 2019. It feels good the dynasty is over
Posted on 11/24/24 at 8:50 pm to DalenSA
quote:Ooof, someone lied to you my boy. The closest he’d get to one is visiting the Heisman House on tv.
Can’t be true. Was told he was Heisman material
Posted on 11/24/24 at 8:52 pm to Phillytiger9
They will need to move up 2 spots in the polls. Certainly feasible if they can beat Auburn and some more chaos unfolds.
Posted on 11/24/24 at 9:27 pm to Phillytiger9
What happens if beats UT and Texas beats Aggie? Would only UGA and Texas make playoff?
I highly doubt that. What 5-3 SEC team with 3 losses do they choose?
I highly doubt that. What 5-3 SEC team with 3 losses do they choose?
Posted on 11/24/24 at 9:36 pm to BZ504
Bama can definitely get in but you can’t assume they will near Auburn although it is at home and Auburn terrible on the road
Posted on 11/24/24 at 9:59 pm to A12 Oxcart
quote:
Bama still has two of the worst losses of any contender.
Ole Miss lost at home to 4-7 Kentucky and on the road at 6-5 Florida.
Alabama lost on the road to Vanderbilt and Oklahoma who are both 6-5.
The Kentucky loss is the worst of those.
Tennessee lost to 6-5 Arkansas.
A&M lost at 5-6 Auburn and at home to Notre Dame.
Speaking of Notre Dame, they lost at home to Northern Illinois, by far a worse loss than any of those listed above.
There are a LOT of playoff contenders who have a loss against an unranked team. And there are several who have zero ranked wins.
This new playoff format is just going to result in more pissed off fans than the old 4 team format.
Posted on 11/25/24 at 9:17 am to MillerLiteTime
quote:
2000 is the worst I can recall. Defending SEC champs and preseason #3 went 3-8 with losses to Southern Miss and UCF.
Somehow I knew we shouldn't have been ranked like that before the season began. Probably just .... DuBose.
Nonetheless, truly a season in hell. I've been way too emotional about my disdain for DeBoer. He's a good coach much better than Dubose was but I don't see him getting Alabama beyond 9-3 every season. Not all his fault. SEC is just a grind. These coaches coming into it have no idea.
Posted on 11/25/24 at 9:18 am to captdalton
quote:
This new playoff format is just going to result in more pissed off fans than the old 4 team format.
How did they not see this coming?
One good thing though is that you can't read into anything regarding playoff committee rankings until after conference championship games. Add the TP/NIL to it, there's way more parity now.
Posted on 11/25/24 at 9:47 am to Phillytiger9
They have a path yes. Some prediction models show anywhere from 38% to 58%. Who knows at this point. We probably win game 1 and lose game 2. Just a guess.
Posted on 11/25/24 at 9:52 am to Phillytiger9
3 loss? Surely your not suggesting we'll beat Auburn at home. Not
Playing like we did in Oklahoma
At least. I expect another barn burner to the end just like last year.
Possibly end up 8-4. Or worse
If we lose a bowl game.
Playing like we did in Oklahoma
At least. I expect another barn burner to the end just like last year.
Possibly end up 8-4. Or worse
If we lose a bowl game.
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