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re: Do yall believe there will be football this year?
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:09 pm to 3down10
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:09 pm to 3down10
If you are interested at looking at graphs........
check this one out
make sure you take notice at the "closed cases" world wide.
check this one out
make sure you take notice at the "closed cases" world wide.
1
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:10 pm to MrAUTigers
quote:
I have not heard a single person say there would be a million deaths.
I have heard 200K thrown around though.........but even that number is a long way from a million.
ETA the graph you linked showed around 200K.......not a million.
Again, your stupidity never ceases to amaze me.
The coronavirus could kill millions of Americans: ‘Do the math,’ immunization specialist says
The Latest: WHO director warns ‘millions could die’
Could the new coronavirus really kill 50 million people worldwide?
2.2m Americans could die without social distancing, Trump told, as US death toll surpasses 9/11 attacks
'Terrifying' New Research Warns 2.2 Million Could Die From Coronavirus in US Without Drastic Action
2.2 Million People in the U.S. Could Die If Coronavirus Goes Unchecked
Being stupid is awesome.
This post was edited on 4/9/20 at 12:11 pm
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:11 pm to 3down10
The graph you linked showed a best guess at 200K. 
ETA I noticed your link disappeared.
ETA I noticed your link disappeared.
This post was edited on 4/9/20 at 12:13 pm
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:12 pm to 3down10
quote:
What isn't real are the numbers being used to scare people and cause panic.
The numbers were real. They're called projections, and those projections are only as good as the data inputs put into the projection models. The large numbers they used were the upper limits of the projections, and were on the assumption no mitigating actions were taken. Almost every outlet I read reported it that way. The actual results have almost all been within the range the models have predicted, and as more reliable data has become available and more and more people are following social distancing guidelines, the projected numbers have gone down.
It's amazing this still has to be explained to people, because I've read it all in the big bad biased media the same people that don't understand it lambaste as being dishonest.
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:14 pm to 3down10
You should stud the difference in the definitions of "would" and "could." There's a huge difference.
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:15 pm to Peter167
I would have originally said 100% yes. That was before I realized just how big of pussies these university presidents are, however. Even if this shite flattens out before July, it's possible too many university presidents fear a second wave in the fall and end up calling off their school's football seasons as a result.
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:16 pm to The Spleen
quote:
The numbers were real.
No they weren't. They were numbers on a spreadsheet that amounted to guesses. They were never going to amount to anything close to the original projections of 2.2 million. Those numbers were merely designed to scare us into hiding because, in truth, they had no idea what this virus was going to do. Now that they have a better handle on what it is, they are revising their models while acting like they knew this would happen.
This post was edited on 4/9/20 at 12:17 pm
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:17 pm to 3down10
quote:
Total projected deaths for the virus in the US is now down to only 60k. It was 80k a few days ago. They also moved the expected peak up by 5 days in most areas.
Could this possibly be from the safety measures that have been taken? People are still going to the grocery stores etc but no restaurant's are open, most churches are not meeting, not school, or sporting events etc.
Also I will bite on your other responses. Who is lieing and why? In my mind the big cities proves the virus is way more contagious than the flu.
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:18 pm to Interweb Cowboy
I believe all of the models originally accounted for “mitigation steps (ie social distancing)” in the original projections.
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:18 pm to MrAUTigers
quote:
The graph you linked showed a best guess at 200K.
ETA I noticed your link disappeared.
I'm not sure what you are talking about, I haven't removed any links. Have no reason to, I've been saying the same things for more than a month now.
If you are talking about this link, it only projects 60k deaths for the US. It was 80k about a week ago, but they've lowered the projections day before yesterday.
COVID-19 Projections
Alabama still has about 11 days until predicted peak.
COVID-19 Projections for Alabama
Predicts 634 deaths for the state. Hope that holds true.
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:19 pm to Peter167
quote:
Do yall believe there will be football this year?
Are you not aware of current events and public health protocols?
No, there will not be football. We're all going to die very soon. Hide under your bed until that time.
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:19 pm to 3down10
Since we are making up numbers and passing them off as legit stats, the death rate for the flu is 25%
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:19 pm to RollTide1987
quote:
No they weren't. They were numbers on a spreadsheet that amounted to guesses. They were never going to amount to anything close to the original projections of 2.2 million.
Jesus Christ on a cracker some of you are too damn obtuse to reason with. THE NUMBERS WERE WHAT THEIR MODELS SPIT OUT AT THEM! THEY WERE NOT MADE UP! AND THE HUGE NUMBERS YOU KEEP REFERENCING WERE BASED ON THE ASSUMPTION THAT NO MITIGATING ACTIONS WERE TAKEN!
ALL OF THIS HAS BEEN EXPLAINED COUNTLESS TIMES IN SEVERAL OUTLETS.
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:22 pm to The Spleen
quote:
The numbers were real. They're called projections, and those projections are only as good as the data inputs put into the projection models. The large numbers they used were the upper limits of the projections, and were on the assumption no mitigating actions were taken. Almost every outlet I read reported it that way. The actual results have almost all been within the range the models have predicted, and as more reliable data has become available and more and more people are following social distancing guidelines, the projected numbers have gone down.
It's amazing this still has to be explained to people, because I've read it all in the big bad biased media the same people that don't understand it lambaste as being dishonest.
Sure, it's just pure coincidence that I was pointing this stuff out over a month ago. Got called an idiot repeatedly and STILL getting called an idiot by people who don't want to accept it.
The data was always there, they ignored it. I did not ignore it.
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:24 pm to 3down10
You are the only human alive who can decipher the black magic art of numbers.
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:25 pm to The Spleen
quote:
Jesus Christ on a cracker some of you are too damn obtuse to reason with. THE NUMBERS WERE WHAT THEIR MODELS SPIT OUT AT THEM! THEY WERE NOT MADE UP! AND THE HUGE NUMBERS YOU KEEP REFERENCING WERE BASED ON THE ASSUMPTION THAT NO MITIGATING ACTIONS WERE TAKEN!
ALL OF THIS HAS BEEN EXPLAINED COUNTLESS TIMES IN SEVERAL OUTLETS.
But it doesn't matter what the model says WHEN YOU IGNORE 80% OF THE CASES AND ONLY COUNT CONFIRMED.
And don't tell me the data wasn't there, because I was able to use it and put out more accurate numbers.
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:26 pm to Rip Torn
quote:
Since we are making up numbers and passing them off as legit stats, the death rate for the flu is 25%
The death rate for the flu is 0.1%
The death rate for the coronavirus is between 0.2% and 0.5%. Will be easier to get a number after they start testing for antibodies.
This post was edited on 4/9/20 at 12:27 pm
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:30 pm to Rip Torn
quote:
You are the only human alive who can decipher the black magic art of numbers.
No, plenty of other people have done the same thing.
I'm not alone.
But they've been called names and drowned out by the panic crowd. Doubt you ever see them on the media, and we all know only people in the media are "experts" with opinions that matter.
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:37 pm to 3down10
quote:
The death rate for the coronavirus is between 0.2% and 0.5%.
somebody didn't look at my link. note: "closed cases"
Posted on 4/9/20 at 12:38 pm to 3down10
Can you provide the models and number you used that you used weeks ago to predict all these claims.
Also since these models are complex when trying to extract the data, can you provide the spreadsheet that shows your predictions?
Also does your model account for all the covid-19 deaths that have not been reported since they died at home and not a hospital
And maybe let every world leader, scientist, business owner, and economist that you knew the real number all along and that they should hire you asap
Also since these models are complex when trying to extract the data, can you provide the spreadsheet that shows your predictions?
Also does your model account for all the covid-19 deaths that have not been reported since they died at home and not a hospital
And maybe let every world leader, scientist, business owner, and economist that you knew the real number all along and that they should hire you asap
This post was edited on 4/9/20 at 12:42 pm
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