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re: Conference Finish Calculator

Posted on 10/21/24 at 11:23 pm to
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
17774 posts
Posted on 10/21/24 at 11:23 pm to
quote:

Right - so very advantageous to get the extra week of rest and be hosting

in theory, yes, but sometimes a long layoff can also get a team out of sync.. it will be interesting to see the stats after about 5 years.. then again, it will probably change to 14 or 16 or something else..
Posted by 49 to nada
In aggy and gooner heads, rent free
Member since Sep 2023
4896 posts
Posted on 10/21/24 at 11:24 pm to
quote:

yeah i’m not sure I want to play in the SEC CG.. I kind of want to win out and finish 11-1 but watch Atlanta from home

Give me that 5th or 6th seed.

5 vs 12 Boise
Winner plays BYU or Iowa State

6 vs 11 Notre Dame or Penn State
Winner plays Miami or Clemson

or something like that..

There are advantages both ways I suppose.

Hopefully we can win out.
Going to the CCG and winning has more advantage than sitting at home in 3rd place, but you have GOT to win that thing otherwise you simply go to the playoffs with no bye week to heal and regroup.
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
17774 posts
Posted on 10/21/24 at 11:27 pm to
that’s the point tho..

you have to beat a Top 10 team in the CG.. then beat another top 10 team in the quarterfinals

the 5 seed may not face a Top 10 team until the semifinals

then again, maybe the B1G and SEC runner ups get the 5 and 6 seed most years.. will be interesting
This post was edited on 10/21/24 at 11:29 pm
Posted by AGGIES
Member since Jul 2021
8603 posts
Posted on 10/21/24 at 11:38 pm to
The off week during conf champ weekend serves as a BYE and disadvantages the conf champ game participant
This post was edited on 10/21/24 at 11:39 pm
Posted by Basura Blanco
Member since Dec 2011
10759 posts
Posted on 10/21/24 at 11:52 pm to
quote:

but you have GOT to win that thing otherwise you simply go to the playoffs with no bye week to heal and regroup.


Yep. The only scenario in which losing the SEC championship game isn't a huge disadvantage is if you only dropped to 5th. In that CFP scenario, you would play a CFP game at home against a G5 team (likely Boise), gain some momentum, and then likely play Iowa St at a neutral site in the quarters.

Of course, missing the SEC game, finishing 5th and having the same CFP scenario is about as ideal as it gets.
Posted by RTRnFlorida
Member since Mar 2024
1306 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 6:36 am to
At least Auburn is still last. I’ll take it
Posted by Jobu93
Cypress TX
Member since Sep 2011
20355 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 6:39 am to
Thanks for posting.

The tie breakers are going to oiss some fan bases off. And that’s just within the conference.

There will be a log jam of teams with identical records for those final few playoff spots. That gnashing of teeth by multiple fan bases will be on easy display.
Posted by Jobu93
Cypress TX
Member since Sep 2011
20355 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 6:42 am to
I think the trade off to the week of rest with a top 4 seed is offset with the extra game- but the home field advantage.

The college game has so much emotion to it and I think that home field advantage jolt of energy may be being overlooked.

Win and advance with a level of confidence that the bye teams don’t have as they haven’t been playoff tested yet.
Posted by kajunman
Member since Dec 2015
5706 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 6:50 am to
I'll be SHOCKED if LSU makes the playoffs.
Posted by Jobu93
Cypress TX
Member since Sep 2011
20355 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 6:52 am to
I think the winner of this A&M/LSU game makes one of the 4 spots the SEC will hopefully get.

By way of controlling their own destiny. Still have to win the other games.
This post was edited on 10/22/24 at 6:53 am
Posted by bigDgator
Dallas, TX
Member since Oct 2008
46785 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 7:34 am to
quote:

I will gladly take the 5th or 6th seed


I can understand the Texas fans saying this. They have been here for about 5 seconds, but a Georgia fan not wanting to win the SEC championship?

Really Gruven?
Posted by FootballFrenzy
Chief of the Grammar Police
Member since Oct 2023
6314 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 7:36 am to
The winner of LSU/A&M's odds should skyrocket.

I'd be interested to know, if we beat LSU, would we be a lock assuming Texas drops a second SEC game but beats us.
Posted by King
Deep in the backwoods
Member since Sep 2008
18561 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 7:40 am to
We seem to have broken it

Edit: It seems to be working again
This post was edited on 10/22/24 at 7:43 am
Posted by King
Deep in the backwoods
Member since Sep 2008
18561 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 7:56 am to
SEC Standings

1. LSU (7 - 1) Above Georgia and Texas based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5).
2. Georgia (7 - 1) With Texas, below LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4531). Above Texas based on head-to-head record (1-0).
3. Texas (7 - 1) With Georgia, below LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4375). Below Georgia based on head-to-head record (0-1).
4. Alabama (6 - 2) Above Tennessee and Texas A&M based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4844).
5. Texas A&M (6 - 2) With Tennessee, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4063). Above Tennessee based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (3-0).
6. Tennessee (6 - 2) With Texas A&M, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4375). Below Texas A&M based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (2-1).
7. Ole Miss (5 - 3)
8. Arkansas (4 - 4) Above Vandy based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (3-2).
9. Vandy (4 - 4) Below Arkansas based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (1-4).
10. S Carolina (3 - 5)
11. Florida (2 - 6) Above Kentucky, Missouri, and Oklahoma based on conference opponent win percentage (0.6406).
12. Oklahoma (2 - 6) With Kentucky and Missouri, below Florida based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5625). Above Kentucky and Missouri based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5625).
13. Missouri (2 - 6) With Kentucky and Oklahoma, below Florida based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4063). With Kentucky, below Oklahoma based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4063). Above Kentucky based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (2-1).
14. Kentucky (2 - 6) With Missouri and Oklahoma, below Florida based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5313). With Missouri, below Oklahoma based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5313). Below Missouri based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (1-2).
15. Miss St (1 - 7)
16. Auburn (0 - 8)
Posted by BhamTigah
Lurker since Jan 2003
Member since Jan 2007
16144 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 8:02 am to
A loss in the SEC championship could easily keep a team out of the playoffs if there are that many teams that close.

How bad would that suck?
Posted by Stuckinthe90s
Dallas, TX
Member since Apr 2013
2681 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 8:05 am to
quote:

Every game actually matters when there is a tie.. it’s honestly crazy.. A 4 way tie of A&M, Texas, Georgia and LSU yields some wild results based on games way at the bottom..


I think what this really shows is that the SEC really does need to add a 9th SEC opponent. I know we say we don’t need one because how hard the conference already is, but I think after a few years of this people will start getting upset when teams are consistently denied a chance at the conference championship simply because of their schedule.
Posted by n64ra
Member since Jul 2024
1511 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 8:06 am to
I recall a similar Big 12 calculator last season - probably same guy. It had some errors. Less the guy's fault and more hard to interpret tie breaker rules. The guy fixed it quickly, so hopefully this is right.
Posted by Loganville Vols
Loganville Georgia
Member since Feb 2021
1160 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 8:07 am to
Alabama above Tennessee can’t see that. Since Tennessee beat Alabama.
Posted by n64ra
Member since Jul 2024
1511 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 8:10 am to
Selected all the outcomes I expected and toggled the LSU/Texas A&M game. It LSU wins, the top two are UGA and LSU. If aggy wins, the top two are UGA and Texas. I'm still not rooting for Texas A&M.
Posted by AGGIES
Member since Jul 2021
8603 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 8:10 am to
Seems like the same guy with an ISU email address
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