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College Football Rankings - SoG+ ---- Rankings, Week 4 score projections (updated 9-17)

Posted on 9/16/24 at 11:35 am
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 11:35 am
Had a decent week in week 3

vs spread : 25-27
vs total : 34-18
overall : 59-45

Post-Week 3 Rankings (17.5% preseason, 82.5% current season data)









Week 4 Score Projections

This post was edited on 9/17/24 at 1:24 pm
Posted by pankReb
Defending National Champs Fan
Member since Mar 2009
72574 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 11:36 am to
I was about to post a joke about UL being #18 to rile up the LSU fan base until I saw LSU at #24.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 11:37 am to
quote:

I was about to post a joke about UL being #18 to rile up the LSU fan base until I saw LSU at #24.


They are one of the few teams that has only played 1 FBS game so they are kind of an outlier at this point. Their preseason numbers were pretty good (top 40 I think), but I'd guess they'll fall back to #30-40 in the coming weeks (even if they play well).
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
28479 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 11:40 am to
I went 7-7 in my predictions as set forth in your thray last week.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 11:40 am to
quote:

I went 7-7 in my predictions as set forth in your thray last week.


The early dataless games are the wild west.
Posted by pankReb
Defending National Champs Fan
Member since Mar 2009
72574 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 11:41 am to
i've done very well this year other than the few degen bets I've made late at night while shitfaced. I really thought MSU would cover against ASU.

protip....ALWAYS bet on OM to cover early season cupcake games.
This post was edited on 9/16/24 at 11:42 am
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
19727 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 11:42 am to
LSU is favored by 23.5 against UCLA

I expect Florida to beat State pretty bad.
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
28479 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 11:42 am to
I nailed Toledo and OU. I completely whiffed on other games tho. The way she goes.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 11:43 am to
quote:


LSU is favored by 23.5 against UCLA


Yea, I think UCLA is much worse than calculated here, it's just going to take a while for it to catch up. Not sure they can take advantage of LSU's defensive issues, and their defense is pretty bad too.

quote:

I expect Florida to beat State pretty bad.


Florida is bad, and they've looked bad. But they've also played a Top 10ish team and a Top 30ish team.

State has been equally as bad against a MAC (granted good MAC) team and a 6-6 at best BXII team.

If Florida still cares I'd expect they are better than State.
This post was edited on 9/16/24 at 11:45 am
Posted by pankReb
Defending National Champs Fan
Member since Mar 2009
72574 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 11:44 am to
quote:

I nailed Toledo and OU. I completely whiffed on other games tho. The way she goes.


I was sad my Toledo bet didn't go through. I didn't think about the fact that I was in a different state while at the WF game and didn't realize there would be an extra step.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 11:46 am to
quote:

I was sad my Toledo bet didn't go through. I didn't think about the fact that I was in a different state while at the WF game and didn't realize there would be an extra step.


Yea I definitely thought the Toledo/State game was going to be a toss up (so a clear bet on Toledo situation).

I cannot say I anticipated it being 35-3 in the 3rd quarter
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 11:57 am to
Non-SEC

Clemson 31 - NC State 15

Michigan 31 - USC 25 (don't trust this one at all)

Oklahoma State 27 - Utah 25

FSU 25 - Cal 20

Miami 39 - USF 22

Michigan St 23 - Boston College 22

Kansas State 29 - BYU 23
Posted by narddogg81
Vancouver
Member since Jan 2012
22015 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

81. NC State
better not let the Tennessee fans see that. they are adamant that NC State is a legit team
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 12:01 pm to
It's pretty clear at this point that NC State isn't very good. However, Tennessee beat their brains in, which still counts for something.
Posted by ApisMellifera
SWLA
Member since Apr 2023
733 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 12:13 pm to
Do you still have that website up where you can view the whole spreadsheet?

I always liked going on there and playing with numbers seeing if there are any correlations between your projections vs outcomes.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

Do you still have that website up where you can view the whole spreadsheet?

I always liked going on there and playing with numbers seeing if there are any correlations between your projections vs outcomes.



No that kind of became a pain and didn't feel like anyone really used it (glad to hear you did). I might go in and upload the sheets at some point for stuff like that, though.
Posted by Serraneaux
South of 30a
Member since Mar 2014
22366 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 12:19 pm to
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BASKETBALL
SOFTBALL
BASEBALL
FOOTBALL

#EVERYTHINGSCHOOL
Posted by Quicksilver
Poker Room
Member since Jan 2013
12791 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

LSU is favored by 23.5 against UCLA


UCLA is terrible. That's probably about right. That is a school that no longer cares.
Posted by madmaxvol
Infinity + 1 Posts
Member since Oct 2011
21968 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

81. NC State


quote:

better not let the Tennessee fans see that. they are adamant that NC State is a legit team




Exactly...they are only 3 spots above South Florida.
Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
33653 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 12:30 pm to
If LSU only beats UCLA by 6 we have serious problems
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