re: College Fball Playoff Bubble Teams + At Large - Resume/Performance Metrics

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Sooo…Indiana is out?

No. Because the facts are easily ignored.

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They've got 1 loss and they've absolutely pounded every average/bad team they've played (as opposed to others with poor schedules like Miami). I think it's pretty reasonable for them to be in a 12 team playoff given the teams vying for at large bids. Winning all your games against middle of the road/bad teams (and doing it with machine like precision) is actually something that should be rewarded this season, IMHO, given the way the season has played out for almost everyone.

They should probably be a #9-10 seed and go on the road, but they should be in.

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They should probably be a #9-10 seed and go on the road, but they should be in.

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I'm curious how a team like indiana and their current resume would be viewed against a UGA that loses the SECCG. We'd have 3 losses but every one of them a great, "quality" loss. We'd have 4 high quality wins. Toughest SOS in america. Received 3rd loss in a confernece championshipo game that only a ahndful of teams nationally even got to play in.

I wonder if that would be enough to be ranked above a 1-loss big 10 team that went 0-1 in games against teams that resemble something above a D2 squad.

1. Oregon
2. Georgia
3. Arizona State
4. Boise State
5. Notre Dame
6. Ohio State
7. Texas
8. Penn State
9. Tennessee
10. Indiana
11. Alabama
12. Clemson

My guess as of right now based on that information. Miami is definitely done and SMU is out if they lose. It’s down to Bama and Ole Miss for the final at-large.

Looks like South Carolina is in

It’s possible Boise is ahead of Arizona State there, I didn’t put too much thought into that question. But I do think Clemson beats SMU.

If SMU does win then you basically just rearrange 3, 4, 12.

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It’s possible Boise is ahead of Arizona State there, I didn’t put too much thought into that question. But I do think Clemson beats SMU.

If SMU does win then you basically just rearrange 3, 4, 12.

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Yep, I agree with you. If Clemson, Boise and ASU win then Boise and ASU are clearly going to get 2 of the 4 byes.

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I think SMU's resume and the fact that they haven't played a Top 15 level team lowers the "how bad was the loss" factor in the ACCCG to around 2 TDs, but I agree that they should not be punished for being given an extra game basically on the road vs a Top 20/25 team. If they lose 21-17 or something they should be in. If they lose 34-14 then when coupled with a pretty empty resume then I think they lose that benefit.

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wouldn’t you have to put BYU above SMU at that point? They’d both have 2 losses but BYU would have head to head

you should add another row... record/winning percentage.
Indiana would be first, then SMU (assuming the lose the ACCCG... otherwise they wouldn't factor into this), then Miami/Tennessee/OSU, then UGA (assuming they lose SECCG, otherwise they wouldn't factor into this), then Bama/Ole Miss/SC.

Then maybe add a rank row for the average categories (and for the record row as well).

So it would look like this: Top 3 for each category.

Record: 1. Indiana. 2. SMU 3. Tie (Tennessee/Miami/OSU)
Average performance: 1 - OSU. 2. tie (OM/Bama) 4. UGA 5. Tennessee
Average resume: 1 - OSU. 2. UGA 3. Bama 4. Indiana 5. Tennessee
Average Best Wins: 1- UGA 2. Bama 3. SC 4.Tennessee 5. Ole Miss
Average Best losses: 1 - Indiana 2. UGA 3. SC 4. OSU 5. Tennessee

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wouldn’t you have to put BYU above SMU at that point? They’d both have 2 losses but BYU would have head to head

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Of course, the committee would point to the extra Championship Game but, it's a good point.

BYU would have almost the same resume as SMU -- the worse loss but with a TOP25 win AT SMU.

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Yea, that's a good point. Which is why it will really matter if they treat the conference title game as just another game or weigh a loss less heavily. A 13 game SMU schedule with a loss to Clemson and BYU and their wins, just on the face of it, is probably pretty much equal to BYU's 12 game schedule (losses to Kansas and ASU but wins over 8-4 KSU and Baylor). And BYU beat SMU in Dallas. Who knows what they'd do in that situation. Not even sure they know. Just throw some shite against a wall and then say some random phrases on TV after is my guess.

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It’ll make for good viewing but I don’t think the conference championship model as it stands is very tenable. I’d much rather be in Tennessee’s position than Georgia or Texas who are about to go to war this weekend.