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re: Can someone explain how Georgia is favored to beat bama.

Posted on 1/3/22 at 1:39 pm to
Posted by DannyBateman
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
1459 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

It’s a new year….just sayin 2022 for the win


Well now you're just trying to use logic, you know better than that .....
Posted by VoxDawg
Glory, Glory
Member since Sep 2012
60055 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 1:39 pm to
Bama played its best game of the year in the SECCG, despite being consistently inconsistent throughout the season.

Simultaneously, the Dawgs played their worst in the SECCG despite their regular season dominance.

Neither performance in the SECCG were representative of either teams' skill level.
Posted by GoT1de
Alabama
Member since Aug 2009
5041 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 1:41 pm to
Because more money will be wagered on Georgia scoring more points in the game.
If more money gets wagered on Alabama, the line will drop.
This is the way it works.
/explanation.
Posted by bamameister
Right here, right now
Member since May 2016
14224 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

Bama played its best game of the year in the SECCG, despite being consistently inconsistent throughout the season.

Simultaneously, the Dawgs played their worst in the SECCG despite their regular season dominance.

Neither performance in the SECCG were representative of either teams' skill level.




Sounds great. You should make that part of your "dear Lord prayer" tonight when you lay down.
Posted by paulb52
Member since Dec 2019
3662 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 1:43 pm to
Georgia ranked #1 most of season and not easy to beat same team twice. Motivation on their side. Methinks point spread will drop some closer to EVEN by game time.
Posted by DawgsLife
Member since Jun 2013
58915 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

Genuinely curious and pulling for the dawgs but I just don't see it. What am I missing?



They want people to place bets? Who wouldn't bet on Alabama to at least cover?
Posted by ChromaticTide
Member since Dec 2021
892 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 1:45 pm to
People are stupid
Posted by DawgsLife
Member since Jun 2013
58915 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

Alabama simply cannot beat UGA as second time.



I'll bet you $100 Alabama wins. Straight up. No points.

If you win and Georgia does win the game I think it was worth the $100. If Alabama wins, I'll at least get $100 out of the deal.

ETA
After thinking about it, I would be good going as high as $300.
This post was edited on 1/3/22 at 1:47 pm
Posted by DawgsLife
Member since Jun 2013
58915 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

UGA has the best defense ever and Bama won't be able to score on them.


Posted by BrotherDawg84
Member since Dec 2020
3103 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 1:52 pm to
quote:

Genuinely curious and pulling for the dawgs but I just don't see it. What am I missing?


I think most of CFB America is wondering the same.
Posted by dash-right-93-berlin
Midway KY
Member since Jan 2006
988 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 1:54 pm to
Three Words: Good Rat Poison
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42606 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

I'll bet you $100 Alabama wins. Straight up. No points.

If you win and Georgia does win the game I think it was worth the $100. If Alabama wins, I'll at least get $100 out of the deal.

ETA
After thinking about it, I would be good going as high as $300.

I'll take your word that you would pay, but I don't bet, so I will have to decline the offer.
Posted by DawgsLife
Member since Jun 2013
58915 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

I'll take your word that you would pay, but I don't bet, so I will have to decline the offer.




I am not a betting man, either. But I would consider this buying peace of mind. If I had to pay out I would feel like I lost absolutely nothing.
Posted by llfshoals
Member since Nov 2010
15452 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 2:09 pm to
Georgia is more talented at most positions. This was supposed to be a down year for us with our la k of experience at key positions.

But guys have stepped up. Still inconsistent, but when it clicks we can beat anyone.

We’ll certainly take the yummy rat poison right now though
Posted by GhostOfFreedom
Member since Jan 2021
11714 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 2:09 pm to
The safe bet is Bama based on history. The bold bet is UGA.

UGA 45, Bama 13
Posted by Rex Feral
Athens
Member since Jan 2014
11351 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 2:17 pm to
quote:

They obviously need to get a starting point for the line and they just don't pull it out of their arse


Of course, but then it's adjusted based on who is betting what. The line has more to do with what Vegas thinks of the public than what they think of the teams.
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24930 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 2:20 pm to
quote:

Can someone explain how Georgia is favored to beat bama.
Genuinely curious and pulling for the dawgs but I just don't see it. What am I missing?


Alabama has been inconsistent this year. Georgia has been dominant except for one game. Of course that one game was against Bama so it's a big data point. However, looking at all of the season data points it's understandable Georgia would be favored.

Also the loss of Metchie and some other Bama injuries could be factored in a bit.

I'm glad Alabama is the underdog again.
Posted by Crimson1st
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2010
20233 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 2:24 pm to
quote:

Sounds like they're banking on the inconsistent Alabama showing up, which is the safer bet based on the sample of the 2021 season.


The thing is, I think Bama played inconsistent due to their already having their heads in this part of the season. I don’t think we will see a lackadaisical performance in this case. I suspect if we were going to see one it would have been against Cincy. I will say, all things considered, that the one big thing in the game is the Metchie injury. I think that’s the most currently impactful item at this point.
Posted by TigerScorpion
Mississippi
Member since Aug 2018
580 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 2:36 pm to
They would have won the first round, had they not already been guaranteed a spot in the playoff. Money talks and the SEC got two teams in, again. Georgia is the better team.
Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
38378 posts
Posted on 1/3/22 at 2:53 pm to
quote:

Georgia is more talented at most positions.


Agree, but my point before the first game still holds true, Alabama is more talented at the “game wrecker” positions.

QB
WR
Edge
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