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At this point, the only SEC teams that control their own destiny are the one-loss teams.

Posted on 10/22/26 at 3:28 pm
Posted by David Fellows
Chicago but Georgia on my mind
Member since Mar 2024
1756 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 3:28 pm
Georgia, Ole Miss, Tennessee and Kentucky. Any of those that win out will make the playoffs.

The rest, the two-loss and worse teams, will have to hope 10-2 is good enough. And for a lot of them, it won't be. There will just be too many teams with two losses.
This post was edited on 10/22/26 at 3:29 pm
Posted by Cheese Grits
Wherever I lay my hat is my home
Member since Apr 2012
64783 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 3:29 pm to
quote:

Georgia, Ole Miss, Tennessee and Kentucky. Any of those that win out will make the playoffs.


One of these is not like the others.
Posted by David Fellows
Chicago but Georgia on my mind
Member since Mar 2024
1756 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 3:31 pm to
I don't know what that means, but any of these that win out will make the playoffs.
Posted by NorthTxLSU
Dallas to Austin to Houston
Member since Nov 2018
15472 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 3:32 pm to
Better hope y'all win out then cause that Auburn loss at home will be the worst quality of them all
Posted by David Fellows
Chicago but Georgia on my mind
Member since Mar 2024
1756 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 3:33 pm to
quote:

Better hope y'all win out then cause that Auburn loss at home will be the worst quality of them all


If we drop another one, we could very well be one of the two loss teams who get left out.
Posted by Walnut
Houston, TX
Member since Nov 2014
4112 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 3:38 pm to
Ordered by most likely to take a 3rd loss via playing another two loss team:
LSU (3x 2-loss teams remaining on schedule)
Alabama (2x 2-loss teams remaining on schedule)
Auburn (2x 2-loss teams remaining on schedule)
Missouri (2x 2-loss teams remaining on schedule)
Texas (2x 2-loss teams remaining on schedule)
Florida (1x 2-loss team remaining on schedule)

SEC standings only, used AI to check it, no I will not fact check. We are all fricked
Posted by Cheese Grits
Wherever I lay my hat is my home
Member since Apr 2012
64783 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 3:41 pm to


quote:

I don't know what that means


Georgia = most probable

Kentucky = most humorous

Mississippi = WaOM

Tennessee = "Life Champions" this century till TAMU and Utx joined to challenge them

Last Century = Fhulmer Cup

This Century = Life Champions Cup
Posted by Topwater Trout
Red Stick
Member since Oct 2010
70316 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 3:42 pm to
quote:

will have to hope 10-2 is good enough. And for a lot of them, it won't be


how many 10-2 teams can we possibly have?
Posted by David Fellows
Chicago but Georgia on my mind
Member since Mar 2024
1756 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 3:46 pm to
quote:

Cheese Grits


You're not making sense. I am simply pointing out that the four current one loss teams are the only ones which truly control their own destiny.

Posted by Pastor Mike
Florida
Member since Dec 2020
7776 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 3:47 pm to
quote:

At this point, the only SEC teams that control their own destiny are the one-loss teams.

Brilliant analysis
Posted by David Fellows
Chicago but Georgia on my mind
Member since Mar 2024
1756 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 3:48 pm to
I've heard at least a dozen gumps this week saying that Alabama still controls its own destiny.

So it needed to be said apparently.
Posted by geauxcoco
Greenville, SC
Member since Apr 2007
13569 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 4:10 pm to
All of these schools are going to probably get at least one more loss each, trying to pick who’s gonna win SEC/make playoffs right now is honestly just ridiculous
Posted by reggierayreb
Member since Nov 2012
20028 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

Mississippi = WaOM


Posted by Cheese Grits
Wherever I lay my hat is my home
Member since Apr 2012
64783 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 5:22 pm to
quote:

You're not making sense.


It makes perfect sense if you are old and have been following the SEC so long you are getting Social Security checks.
Posted by Cheese Grits
Wherever I lay my hat is my home
Member since Apr 2012
64783 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 5:23 pm to


WaOM brings me no joy, I assure you. Just been around long enough not to get my hopes up till the game has gone FINAL.

Posted by WildcatsFan76
Member since Sep 2021
457 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 5:28 pm to
quote:

At this point, the only SEC teams that control their own destiny are the one-loss teams.


In.
Posted by RollingwiththeTide
Member since Oct 2020
7815 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 5:29 pm to
Most if not all of the teams you just listed will probably drop at least one more game. Some could even drop 2.
Posted by 3down10
Member since Sep 2014
42405 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 5:34 pm to
quote:

Ordered by most likely to take a 3rd loss via playing another two loss team:
LSU (3x 2-loss teams remaining on schedule)
Alabama (2x 2-loss teams remaining on schedule)
Auburn (2x 2-loss teams remaining on schedule)
Missouri (2x 2-loss teams remaining on schedule)
Texas (2x 2-loss teams remaining on schedule)
Florida (1x 2-loss team remaining on schedule)

SEC standings only, used AI to check it, no I will not fact check. We are all fricked


These are the odds I get for making the playoffs, using F+ metric for power score.

It has LSU lower than Alabama because of the 3x vs 2x 2 loss teams(more likelihood of losing again basically)



But then it predicts LSU in the playoffs if you look at it in terms of who is favored to win the games, rather than odds of winning/losing them. AKA, gun to it's head.



Personally think a few teams like Utah and UCLA are way over-rated, but they have favorable schedules. 3 Big12 teams is retarded.


This post was edited on 10/22/26 at 5:39 pm
Posted by koreandawg
South Korea
Member since Sep 2015
15313 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 5:37 pm to
Is Kentucky not like the others or is Georgia not like the others?
Posted by Shocco
Member since Nov 2015
3505 posts
Posted on 10/22/26 at 5:42 pm to
Deboer will choke away another game at some point.
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