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re: Alabama Recruiting

Posted on 6/19/24 at 6:42 am to
Posted by SoFla Tideroller
South Florida
Member since Apr 2010
35786 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 6:42 am to
quote:

The goalpost moving around here is quite humorous. When DeBoer was hired, many here said he couldn’t recruit. Period. Now he is showing ability to recruit well and the narrative is that Alabama is just recruiting itself and he and his staff have nothing to do with it. What will the narrative be if he continues to recruit well and has success on the field?


I can't wait for the "Rats from a sinking ship!" crowd after players left in the portal to switch over to the "He's winning with Saban's players!" group.
Posted by Nitro Express
Gulf Coast
Member since Jul 2018
17101 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 7:07 am to
quote:

You know you truly don’t have a top 5 coach. Look at all the rankings from 2023 and you’ll see DeBust ranked 20-25+. He has one season with a national title appearance and jumps to top 5? No way. Bama signs him? Then the media makes that jump


You know he is. That's why you LSU baws try so hard to convince everyone otherwise.
Posted by Draco Malfoy
Member since Mar 2024
1893 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 7:17 am to
No… he hasn’t done anything to warrant top 5. A 37-9 HC record is good but not top 5 worthy. He recruited worse than both his predecessors at Washington. He won like 7-8 games last year by a TD or less so easily could have finished 8/5 with a senior laden team that he didn’t recruit lol
Posted by Crimsonians
Member since Nov 2019
1927 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 7:23 am to
You say Bama doesn't have any 5 star players on On3, but how many 5 stars do they usually end up giving out? Now go look at some on Bamas list again.
This post was edited on 6/19/24 at 7:34 am
Posted by Crimsonians
Member since Nov 2019
1927 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 7:25 am to
And be ready for all the bitching when Keelon becomes a 5 star.
Posted by Nitro Express
Gulf Coast
Member since Jul 2018
17101 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 7:31 am to
quote:

He won


You're right, he did. Keep spinning, bud.
Posted by Draco Malfoy
Member since Mar 2024
1893 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 7:34 am to
Not spinning at all. You had way better options yet you hired a guy with four years of FBS HC experience. If you told Bama fans a year ago who their HC and two coordinators would be today, most would hysterically laugh at you or jump off a bridge. Or both
Posted by TouchdownTony
Central Alabama
Member since Apr 2016
10283 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 7:36 am to
quote:

I heard today, according to On3, Bama football doesn’t have a 5 star committed in the 25 class. This is difficult for me to believe.

Any truth to it?



Good morning Matt Moscona. Bama has the number 3 class per 247. What was Bama's class ranked this time last year? 47th or something? Bama is just fine.
Posted by Lucado
Member since Nov 2023
3497 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 7:43 am to
quote:

quote:
still trails them in the rankings?



I'm gonna need a link for that dog


LSU's class is currently ranked #2 in On3's composite rankings.

LINK
Posted by Nitro Express
Gulf Coast
Member since Jul 2018
17101 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 8:17 am to
Those goal post are going to keep moving, pal.
Posted by bamameister
Right here, right now
Member since May 2016
16598 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 8:23 am to
quote:

Richt's last 5 seasons at UGA, UGA was 6th, 8th, 12th, 9th and 7th. That's very good. But Bama under Saban those same 5 years was 1st, 1st, 1st, 1st and 1st.

That's the difference between a very good recruiter and an elite one. Over time you'll see a drop off in talent because of it.

That being said, Deboer is an EXCELLENT coach. I wouldn't be surprised if he wins a couple of titles with Bama. But he's simply not the recruiter Saban, Ryan Day or Kirby Smart are.


In 2016, Kirby Smart's first year as HC at Georgia 24/7 had them at 6th, behind BAMA, LSU and Ole Miss. On3 had them at 11th, behind BAMA, LSU, Barn, and Ole Miss and Rivals had them at 9th behind BAMA, LSU, Barn, and Ole Miss.

Coach DeBoer is in his first cycle as well. You have totally left out the transfer portal and these days that's stupid. And no one has played a down of Senior football yet. Rankings are about to change dramatically.
Posted by BLG
Georgia
Member since Mar 2018
7510 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 8:37 am to
Every year about this time some rival fans proclaim that Alabama isn't recruiting well, though in fact Alabama is recruiting better at this point this year than any year in my memory. When they close strong, as is always the case, some committments may be "encouraged" to seek other opportunites. It's an unfortunate situation but not uncommon these days.

I don't remember the last time LSU finished higher in recruiting than Alabama did, and probably won't this year either.
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
33238 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 8:42 am to
I absolutely love how this board's "gotcha" for Alabama recruiting is ONLY being in the top 5.
Posted by DawginSC
Member since Aug 2022
7341 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 8:44 am to
quote:

In 2016, Kirby Smart's first year as HC at Georgia 24/7 had them at 6th, behind BAMA, LSU and Ole Miss. On3 had them at 11th, behind BAMA, LSU, Barn, and Ole Miss and Rivals had them at 9th behind BAMA, LSU, Barn, and Ole Miss.

Coach DeBoer is in his first cycle as well. You have totally left out the transfer portal and these days that's stupid. And no one has played a down of Senior football yet. Rankings are about to change dramatically.


2016 was Kirby's transition year. Unlike Deboer, he didn't get hired after early signing day where Saban actually signed the majority of the class. While coaches who replace a coach fired before ESD have a harder time today then compared to when Smart was hired, Deboer had a great situation as Saban retired AFTER ESD. Saban already signed most of Bama's 2024 class before he resigned.

Kirby's first full class was the 2017 recruiting class which compares to this year's class for Deboer. UGA finished 3rd. The only two ahead of him were Saban and Day who are also acknowledged as elite recruiters.

UGA was #1 in 2018, #2 in 2019, #1 in 2020, #4 in 2021 (only 20 recruits), #3 in 2022, #2 in 2023 and #1 in 2024.

He's effectively been top 3 every year in recruiting he was there the full time (mostly behind Saban and/or Day when not 1st).

Kirby was #3, #1, #2, #1,#4, #3, #2, #1 in 247's rankings in the full years of recruiting he had at UGA. Saban was #1, #5, #1, #2, #1, #2, #1, #2 under Saban under the same time frame. Both of those are examples of elite recruiting.

Transfer portal recruiting is not measured well. It doesn't adjust players' "value" well when they transfer to account for what they've proven in CFB before transferring. UGA and Bama in past years have been underestimated as a lot of times players "transfer up" when going to UGA or Bama after having success at lesser schools and "transfer down" when leaving after failing at UGA or Bama.

Once we have a good measure of the actual talent transferring, I'd make the effort to include it. But we don't have that yet.

Posted by DawginSC
Member since Aug 2022
7341 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 8:49 am to
quote:

I absolutely love how this board's "gotcha" for Alabama recruiting is ONLY being in the top 5.


For most teams averaging 5th every year in recruiting would be exceptional.

But for Bama it means they'll be less talented as time passes because under Saban they were rarely in a position other than 1st or 2nd.

The difference between being in the 5-10 range in recruiting compared to being in the 1-3 range in recruiting is the difference between UGA under Mark Richt and Kirby Smart.

The number may not look like it's vastly different, but it has a big impact on performance. Having more talent on the field than nearly every opponent you play gives you a fudge factor on the field that is VERY helpful. I speak from experience as a UGA fan. Smart's teams don't have fewer off games than Richt's teams did... they can just weather the off games a lot easier because UGA has had a talent edge over every team they've faced the past few seasons other than Alabama and OSU.



Posted by RT1941
Member since May 2007
31205 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 8:52 am to
quote:

I can't wait for the "Rats from a sinking ship!" crowd after players left in the portal to switch over to the "He's winning with Saban's players!" group.
They can join the old crowds of "Saban's over-signing", "Medical red-shirts", "Gray-shirts", "Unfair cross division rivals", and "No holding penalties called", "Refs are paid" crowds of the old days.
Posted by bamameister
Right here, right now
Member since May 2016
16598 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 9:04 am to
quote:

Smart's teams don't have fewer off games than Richt's teams did... they can just weather the off games a lot easier because UGA has had a talent edge over every team they've faced the past few seasons other than Alabama and OSU.


That explains the 2 SEC championships Kirby has won in 8 years. Doing less with more. I would suggest Kirby got fat residing in the East division and didn't have those annual trips to Baton Rouge and Tuscaloosa to weigh his record down. He still doesn't know what College Station looks like. Anointing Kirby as the next Coach Saban is about to blow up in your face Nostradamus.
Posted by jchamil
Member since Nov 2009
18059 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 9:07 am to
quote:

It won't happen this upcoming season or even the season after. But as Saban's elite classes move on and Deboer's very good classes come in, it will happen over time. You're looking at having a similar level of talent to LSU, Texas, A&M and OU rather than an edge in talent on all of them. And you're likely looking at having a bit less talent than UGA rather than the same amount (and UGA had only gotten to the same level as Bama in talent in the last 3 seasons or so, before that you had an edge over EVERY SEC team in talent)


You keep completely discounting that Deboer might actually do well on the field which will help his recruiting. It's his first year, Saban's first class at Bama was ranked 10th. Deboer is going to do a shitload better recruiting at Bama tan he did at Washington
Posted by jchamil
Member since Nov 2009
18059 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 9:09 am to
quote:

He has one season with a national title appearance and jumps to top 5? No way. Bama signs him?


Deboer went 11-2 the year before making the title game
Posted by DawginSC
Member since Aug 2022
7341 posts
Posted on 6/19/24 at 9:18 am to
quote:

That explains the 2 SEC championships Kirby has won in 8 years. Doing less with more. I would suggest Kirby got fat residing in the East division and didn't have those annual trips to Baton Rouge and Tuscaloosa to weigh his record down. He still doesn't know what College Station looks like. Anointing Kirby as the next Coach Saban is about to blow up in your face Nostradamus.


Talent is the biggest part of college football coaching. Both acquisition and development. Always has been, always will be.

As Terry Bowden said, "You can have the X's and the O's. I'll take the Jimmies and the Joes."

Kirby Smart knows this. He learned it from Nick Saban. Recruiting drives success in college football.

And 2 national titles in 8 seasons isn't doing less with more. It's the same number of national titles Saban had in the last 8 seasons. And Saban is the GOAT.

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