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re: A&M -7.5 is free money

Posted on 9/23/15 at 3:10 pm to
Posted by Agforlife
Somewhere in the Brazos Valley
Member since Nov 2012
20102 posts
Posted on 9/23/15 at 3:10 pm to
Bet the piggies we suck
Posted by Roger Klarvin
DFW
Member since Nov 2012
46505 posts
Posted on 9/23/15 at 3:12 pm to
quote:

Where was most of the money for Arkansas-Tech? Arkansas was a 12 point favorite IIRC.

Arkansas' strengths on offense align well with some of our weaknesses on D. I still have questions about the interior of our line. I wouldn't call it a nightmare matchup however. I don't see a QB or WRs who can exploit our weaknesses at corner.


I think we can safely say pur interior line is better than Tech's and Toledo's.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73338 posts
Posted on 9/23/15 at 3:12 pm to
Its clear Vegas knows the Aggies are a joke like usual

Vegas also knows Fat Bert is going to pound the rock down Chavis throat since thats the weakness

Threads like this make wise guys chuckle
Posted by Roger Klarvin
DFW
Member since Nov 2012
46505 posts
Posted on 9/23/15 at 3:13 pm to
Wise guys laid all the early money on A&M -3

Oops
Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
60121 posts
Posted on 9/23/15 at 3:16 pm to
No doubt. I am expecting them to come out with much more fire vs us than in those two games. And they ran the ball well on Tech and just didn't really try against Toledo
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73338 posts
Posted on 9/23/15 at 3:17 pm to
keep telling ur self that
Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
60121 posts
Posted on 9/23/15 at 3:19 pm to
I remember your comments about how ASU +3 was easy money
Posted by Bob Ag
Austin
Member since Aug 2011
3008 posts
Posted on 9/23/15 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

Arkansas matches up with A&M pretty well. It's basically a nightmare matchup for A&M.


This is...well...ridiculous.

Arkansas does not match up with us well, at all.
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 9/23/15 at 3:36 pm to
quote:

Second, it ignores that A&M is objectively superior to Texas Tech across the board in both talent and production and Texas Tech won by 11 on the road with a similar style of play.


How can you objectively measure this?
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73338 posts
Posted on 9/23/15 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

I remember your comments about how ASU +3 was easy money



I never said Arky was easy money

I just said Vegas knows your team is a fraud
Posted by Roger Klarvin
DFW
Member since Nov 2012
46505 posts
Posted on 9/23/15 at 3:39 pm to
quote:


How can you objectively measure this?


Recruiting rankings, results of recent seasons, statistics, number of players valued by NFL scouts, quality wins, quality of coaching, etc.

When one program is superior relative to another in EVERY category to such a degree that it is essentially inarguable, I feel safe calling that program superior at that moment in time.
Posted by Arkiebarkie
Fayetteville,Ar
Member since Jan 2013
756 posts
Posted on 9/23/15 at 3:40 pm to

Arkansas has not played a complete game all year. I'm wondering about our defense. They don't match up well with Aggie passing game. We don't put any pressure on a QB. I love the Hogs, but...this could get real ugly!
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 9/23/15 at 3:48 pm to
quote:

Recruiting rankings


So why did Toledo beat Arkansas then?

Why did Jacksonville State come to overtime with Top 10 recruiting class Auburn?

How did Texas's great recruiting classes under Mack Brown do the last few years of his tenure?


quote:

results of recent seasons


Auburn went 3-9 in 2012 and played for the natty in 2013. TCU went 4-8 in 2013 and went 12-1 last year destroying a Top 5 recruiting team Ole Miss

quote:

statistics


3 games in is a small sample size.

quote:

number of players valued by NFL scouts


Didn't Louisville send the most to the NFL last year? And they went 8-5.

quote:

quality wins


Neither team has a Top 25 win at this point. Arizona State and Arkansas are similar. Sam Houston and Ball State are similar. Nevada and UTEP are similar.

quote:

quality of coaching


I'll say A&M's coaching is better.
Posted by TigerCruise
Virginia Beach, VA
Member since Oct 2013
11898 posts
Posted on 9/23/15 at 3:49 pm to
Posted by LSU82BILL
Fort Lauderdale, FL
Member since Sep 2006
10312 posts
Posted on 9/23/15 at 4:01 pm to
I remember Aggy fans thinking that A&M +15 against Bama was easy money last year

Then 59-0 happened.
Posted by Jagd Tiger
The Kinder, Gentler Jagd
Member since Mar 2014
18139 posts
Posted on 9/23/15 at 4:02 pm to
quote:


I think Vegas is thinking that Arkansas has to get their shite together at some point. And Bert allegedly knows how to run the ball. And our weakest spot is the running game.


hard to run up the score when the other team is grinding clock with a run game eh..

it could go either way really.
Posted by Katy Tiger
Houston area
Member since Sep 2004
8032 posts
Posted on 9/23/15 at 4:03 pm to
I will be shocked if Ark keeps it that close.
Posted by Roger Klarvin
DFW
Member since Nov 2012
46505 posts
Posted on 9/23/15 at 4:16 pm to
You missed the part about one team being better in EVERY category.
Posted by ColeCoushCoush
Member since Aug 2014
497 posts
Posted on 9/24/15 at 2:47 pm to
quote:

I wish I had tracked everyone of these "free money" threads since I started here. Success rate has to be in the teens.


If the success rate is in the teens, then you should start betting the opposite.
Posted by WDE24
Member since Oct 2010
54132 posts
Posted on 9/27/15 at 8:30 am to
quote:

If the success rate is in the teens, then you should start betting the opposite.
Agreed.
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