Host Watch Thread

Let's drill down on this and really get a grip on where things stand.

5 SEC teams have won 16 games and therefore have locked in hosting spots: Georgia, TAMU, Texas, Auburn, Alabama.

3 SEC teams have won 15 games and are thus in a better position than us: Miss State, Arkansas, Florida.

1 SEC team has won 14 games: Ole Miss.

Conventional wisdom says we win 2/3 this weekend and get to 16 and we host. But it may not be that easy.

There's 9 teams listed above and we get no more than 8 host sites. So let's assume someone is out. It has to be someone from the group of State, Arkansas, and Florida. So if one of them gets swept, then they're out. But if they each win at least one game (very likely) then there could be 9 teams with 16 wins.

In that case we get in over Arkansas based on RPI (theoretically) assuming they only win one this weekend.

Also, if Tennessee sweeps Oklahoma there could be 10 teams with 16 wins.

But the thing about the 3 teams one game ahead of us: They are all favored in their series:

Florida over LSU
Arkansas over Kentucky
Miss State pick em TAMU

So if FL, AR, State all will 2 of 3 games, then there are 8 SEC teams with 17 wins and Ole Miss as the odd 9th team with 16 wins. In which case we don't host.

So in summary:

Sweep Alabama and we are guaranteed a spot

Win 2/3 from Alabama and Arkansas wins 0 or 1 game this weekend and we should be good.

But if Arkansas, State, and FL all win 2 games then we are probably not hosting.