Jeb is a good politician with access to all the monies. As I've said before, I'm not thrilled he'll be more of the same in terms of crony-capitalism and hawkish foreign policy that only buys us trouble. I do think he'd be good at the job of being President though. Pragmatic enough in his views to get some compromise through congress and start to build a little trust between the left and right.

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He can most definitely win, but sadly the name "Bush" might hold him back.

The Bush name won't matter if he makes the general election. His biggest problem is surviving the GOP primary. Conservatives don't like him, think he's too liberal, and don't want more of the same (his last name certainly doesn't help this perception). He needs the base to be fractured in the primaries and Rubio to get choked out from funding. He's got the pedigree, political machine, and polish to thread this needle. The margin for error is small and not fully in his control, however.

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I don't think Rubio takes it this round, but maybe in 4 or 8 years.

I disagree, as I actually think he gets the nomination. He's got the youth and energy to be a nice counterpoint to Hillary. He's also the guy you always see pitching the most reasonable conservative proposals. Tax Reform, he's the pitchman. Immigration (his biggest weakness in the primaries sadly), he's got the most reasonable plan. My suspicion is that Bush can't get it done because of the current conservative environment and Rubio storms ahead to a win at a brokered convention.

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Paul would be a good VP option for a lot of candidates, I just think he will struggle to get the nomination.

Paul does nothing for you as a VP. What swing states does he get for you? He could help a Bush or Rubio to add some conservative support and possibly grab some of the youth vote, but there are more appealing options. I'm looking at Ohio Governor John Kasich (though he's a darkhorse for the nomination in his own right) as the VEEP. The GOP has to get Ohio, as I think Hillary will take a Virginia based VEEP. Kasich is perfect. Will bring some conservative credentials to a more moderate nominee and getting Ohio is key.

Paul has to win the nomination or he stays a Senator. It's a tough road. He's got to tie the libertarians in the party with some of the more traditional Tea Party types and get strong numbers with young republicans getting out to vote for him. Betting on the youth vote is dangerous. Trying to get more of the base on board is harder. There's a lot of candidates in the field trying to court that vote. Cruz being the biggest problem for him. Cruz is tapping into traditional conservative anger and has the fire they desire.

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The GOP's worst enemy is itself.

Yes it is. It's a party in a time of transition. The coalition of the religious conservatives and business interests isn't getting it done anymore on the national level. Young conservatives aren't interested in the social issues that drive the still sizable social conservative faction. You've got the Tea Party types (which is really just your conservative base) who are angry at what they feel as betrayal from the corporate interests of the "establishment".

The process is messy, but necessary for the future of the GOP and the conservative movement. The chaos brings fresh ideas, fresh perspectives, and a clearer vision. Eventually...

FWIW, the Democrats are a lost election cycle from looking at the same situation upcoming. The fractures are already starting to show. Progs aren't happy with Obama and aren't exactly thrilled with the more centrist Hillary. Obama build a broad coalition, but the support isn't very deep. It won't hold once the GOP gets its problems figured out.