| Favorite team: | USA |
| Location: | Dillon, CO |
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| Number of Posts: | 36566 |
| Registered on: | 1/3/2008 |
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Copper opens Sunday. I suspect Breck is on the same timetable
re: 2026-2027 Ski Thread (The Rebound)
Posted by Duke on 11/5/26 at 10:05 am to fargobison
Tahoe gonna feast this year.
re: 2026-2027 Ski Thread (The Rebound)
Posted by Duke on 11/4/26 at 5:51 pm to RonFNSwanson
Weather not playing nice. Copper Mnt opening getting pushed back. Too warm to make enough snow.
quote:
Driving home in dark at 515 is much better
Unironically yes.
re: 2026-2027 Ski Thread (The Rebound)
Posted by Duke on 10/29/26 at 7:57 pm to RonFNSwanson
It's starting to get really interesting on the modeling out 10+ days. It gets amplified as hell. Might be some of the SSW fall out working it's way down.
None of em agree on the timing, but eventually they bring a big arse trough into the west by mid-month. Cautiously optimistic...
re: 2026-2027 Ski Thread (The Rebound)
Posted by Duke on 10/28/26 at 11:06 am to NotoriousFSU
And the Colorado season opens in an hour, with Abasin spinning a chair at 11.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by Duke on 10/10/26 at 9:59 am to LivingstonLaw
quote:
Where was the wind sheer?
Did you not see it collapse as it came ashore. Didnt save folks from the wind, bc it was too late. Recon fix went from 959 to 971 in one pass.
Your question is why did the storm hold up so well vs the shear?
Answer is enhanced outflow and thus convective ability due to position relative to the upper level jet.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by Duke on 10/10/26 at 9:10 am to trussthetruzz
quote:
Yeah, this wasn't really a Cat 3
Was a 2 at landfall.
And remember, these wind speeds are for over open water. You almost never see that category on land (but youll often see gusts to that category).
Escambia Co got rocked last night. Im sure its similar to Ivan in trees down inland. Just not the catastrophe on Pensacola Beach that Ivan brought.
quote:
Wonder if Jay got a tornado or mesovortex or something
I think this was just wind action as the core collapsed. Lots of lightning (convection) on that side, allowing the high winds aloft to come down.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by Duke on 10/9/26 at 8:33 pm to OysterPoBoy
quote:
When it’s all said and done they probably downgrade it to a TS and you people will owe me an apology
we got a 105 mph gust.
a man is only as good as his word
quote:
One of the quickest offshore collapses of a major hurricane I have ever seen.
Not unexpected here.
quote:
Watching landfall, making white russians with milk, and relaxing on a Friday night
Ah, you too are a man of culture.
quote:
I wonder if the worst will end up on the west side, given how the core has collapsed
Just suggested the same to some friends.
Been watching. We're in the endgame now.
Impressive how much the divergence kept it steady vs the shear and dryness but its certainly looking like its starting to get some pulls of the dry air now.
Impressive how much the divergence kept it steady vs the shear and dryness but its certainly looking like its starting to get some pulls of the dry air now.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by Duke on 10/9/26 at 3:24 pm to LegendInMyMind
The governor of *checks notes* Florida, acting like he cant nail spanish is hilarious. Especially that mfer, he aint dumb.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by Duke on 10/9/26 at 3:21 pm to CatfishJohn
I have the command of spanish a 4 year old. native speaker does, and this name is easy to read and say?
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by Duke on 10/9/26 at 3:08 pm to Tigahs24Seven
quote:
Does anybody have the latest chart from google
Who cares? We can nowcast it.
Right entrance to a jet. Not the first time recently weve seen storms hold strong vs dry air and shear in a good pocket of divergence.
No back west. The only people who need worry about the path are those wobbles save or frick.
Impressive flight level winds. Upper divergence continues to support enough convection to fight the shear off. At least to this point
Impressive flight level winds. Upper divergence continues to support enough convection to fight the shear off. At least to this point
shear vs right entrance. October on the Gulf Coast.
quote:
Back to my earlier question, any chance this gets to a Cat 4? It's already a 3 and still a bit to go before landfall. Is the sheer doing anything to it?
IMO its about at its peak. The UL is really starting to dig in on it.
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