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Why Drew Lock will win the Heisman in 2018
Posted on 8/13/18 at 12:54 am
Posted on 8/13/18 at 12:54 am
Unlike last season, the hype train is officially rolling going into 2018.
Drew grabbed the bull by the horns last season on his way to easily breaking the SEC's single-season passing TD record with 44 TDs.
He will likely become only the 3rd SEC QB to throw for 100+ passing TDs in his career, in a conference where defense is king. Going into this year, his sights are squarely set on Aaron Murray's record of 121 (Drew is at 71 currently... reach that, and the award is his).
His 62 completions of 20+ yards last year is the 3rd highest mark in the SEC since 2010. Only Swag Kelly and Johnny Football have had higher marks in that span. That big play ability will place him on your College Gameday Final highlight reel week in and week out, merely adding gasoline to his Heisman campaign.
For those that still aren't convinced, thinking he's a system guy or something silly like that: During his 2017 season, Lock threw a TD on 10.5% of his pass attempts. Cam Newton is the only SEC QB to have a higher single season rate since 2010 (10.7%). Across the nation, Baker Mayfield (twice), Russell Wilson, and Jake Browning are the only P5 QBs to have higher rates.
As we all know, the Heisman is in many ways a team accomplishment. Well, in 2017 Lock was sacked on only 2.6% of his dropbacks. This is the 3rd best rate in a single season among SEC QBs since '10 (in 2016, he was sacked on only 2.9%, both are top-5 in SEC). A testament to the Missouri Tiger's excellent offensive line play. Well, Missouri's O-line returns 93.8% of its starts from a season ago. Only 3 SEC schools return more for 2018.
More to come...
Drew grabbed the bull by the horns last season on his way to easily breaking the SEC's single-season passing TD record with 44 TDs.
He will likely become only the 3rd SEC QB to throw for 100+ passing TDs in his career, in a conference where defense is king. Going into this year, his sights are squarely set on Aaron Murray's record of 121 (Drew is at 71 currently... reach that, and the award is his).
His 62 completions of 20+ yards last year is the 3rd highest mark in the SEC since 2010. Only Swag Kelly and Johnny Football have had higher marks in that span. That big play ability will place him on your College Gameday Final highlight reel week in and week out, merely adding gasoline to his Heisman campaign.
For those that still aren't convinced, thinking he's a system guy or something silly like that: During his 2017 season, Lock threw a TD on 10.5% of his pass attempts. Cam Newton is the only SEC QB to have a higher single season rate since 2010 (10.7%). Across the nation, Baker Mayfield (twice), Russell Wilson, and Jake Browning are the only P5 QBs to have higher rates.
As we all know, the Heisman is in many ways a team accomplishment. Well, in 2017 Lock was sacked on only 2.6% of his dropbacks. This is the 3rd best rate in a single season among SEC QBs since '10 (in 2016, he was sacked on only 2.9%, both are top-5 in SEC). A testament to the Missouri Tiger's excellent offensive line play. Well, Missouri's O-line returns 93.8% of its starts from a season ago. Only 3 SEC schools return more for 2018.
More to come...
This post was edited on 8/13/18 at 12:58 am
Posted on 8/13/18 at 1:04 am to Sean Bean
I understand why many on this site point to his below average stats against ranked opponents. I get it. He hasn’t been good against most ranked opponents he’s played against.
But then people forget that Mizzou recruits like garbage and has Barry Odom as head coach. Kid is throwing to 3 star WRs that only got offered by Rutgers and his defense is littered with fringe 3 stars who wouldn’t make the squad at Baylor. Joking aside, his supporting cast on both sides of the ball is trash yet he’s shown he’s an elite player.
He’s a great talent that many trash without taking into consideration the players he’s working with.
But then people forget that Mizzou recruits like garbage and has Barry Odom as head coach. Kid is throwing to 3 star WRs that only got offered by Rutgers and his defense is littered with fringe 3 stars who wouldn’t make the squad at Baylor. Joking aside, his supporting cast on both sides of the ball is trash yet he’s shown he’s an elite player.
He’s a great talent that many trash without taking into consideration the players he’s working with.
This post was edited on 8/13/18 at 1:07 am
Posted on 8/13/18 at 1:11 am to Mr. Elvert
Nope. Clucker Maty Mauk made most A&M fans resort to cuckoldery after the Mizzou beatdown in 2014. A&M hasn’t recovered since, and I doubt they will within the next few years after watching Lock get taken in 1st round in the draft. Sad really.
Posted on 8/13/18 at 1:15 am to ZOU
quote:
He hasn’t been good against most ranked opponents he’s played against.
If we look at the same stats from the OP but extrapolate SEC stats ONLY... here is what we get:
**all stats are since 2010 and in SEC play**
Pass TDs in SEC play in 2017: 25 (most by any SEC QB since '10)
Completions of 20+ yds in SEC play in 2017: 35 (6th best since '10)
TD Rate: 9.9% of pass attempts went for a TD (best in SEC since '10)
Sack Rate: 2.7% (5th best among SEC schools since '10)
I know its not ranked opponents, but still solid right?
This post was edited on 8/13/18 at 1:17 am
Posted on 8/13/18 at 1:50 am to Sean Bean
You don't win the Heisman on an 8 win team any more. Show me where there are ten wins or more on their schedule.
Posted on 8/13/18 at 2:29 am to Sean Bean
and I will win the lottery
Posted on 8/13/18 at 2:39 am to cajuntiger1010
Posted on 8/13/18 at 2:42 am to koreandawg
I'm seeing best case scenario 8 wins on their schedule. Defense is Big 12 level weak, no SEC caliber rushing attack, and they lost their biggest deep threat for Lock.
Posted on 8/13/18 at 4:59 am to Sean Bean
1. Mizzou won't be good enough for him to win the Heisman.
2. Mizzou might not be good enough for him to win 1st team All-SEC honors, with Tua, Stidham, Fitz and Fromm.
2. Mizzou might not be good enough for him to win 1st team All-SEC honors, with Tua, Stidham, Fitz and Fromm.
Posted on 8/13/18 at 5:33 am to Sean Bean
Lock is a very good QB. But Mizzou will not be good enough for him to win the Heisman.
Also, holy hell what a cupcake division the East has been for years.
Also, holy hell what a cupcake division the East has been for years.
Posted on 8/13/18 at 5:48 am to Sean Bean
quote:
You don't win the Heisman on an 8 win team any more
Posted on 8/13/18 at 5:49 am to Sean Bean
He isn't Paul Hornung, a 6-6 team isn't going to win a heisman just because the QB was their only weapon.
Posted on 8/13/18 at 6:21 am to Sean Bean
Lock is gonna be the 1st overall pick but he’s not going to win the heisman. Missouri isn’t going to win enough.
Posted on 8/13/18 at 6:28 am to coozie
quote:
Also, holy hell what a cupcake division the East has been for years.
While this is technically true I could not help but notice that when we played Miss St last year you looked a lot like a cupcake yourself.
31-3 is not exactly a nail biting game.
Posted on 8/13/18 at 6:44 am to Sean Bean
Reasons he won’t win the Heisman:
1.) Derek Dooley
1.) Derek Dooley
Posted on 8/13/18 at 7:21 am to koreandawg
quote:
You don't win the Heisman on an 8 win team any more.
While this is messed up, it is the truth.
Posted on 8/13/18 at 7:27 am to Sean Bean
Derek Dooley is his OC.
Won’t happen baw
Won’t happen baw
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