Started By
Message
The computers pick South Carolina over Georgia.
Posted on 11/1/17 at 4:41 pm
Posted on 11/1/17 at 4:41 pm
Posted on 11/1/17 at 4:41 pm to Lonnie Utah
Well this is a day ruiner
Posted on 11/1/17 at 4:43 pm to Lonnie Utah
On a serious (non trolling) note, it's a very interesting analysis.
Basically, both guys at the end say their model in wrong in this case. But it does set up the scenario where SC could keep it close.
Basically, both guys at the end say their model in wrong in this case. But it does set up the scenario where SC could keep it close.
Posted on 11/1/17 at 4:44 pm to Lonnie Utah
Just like FoxSports giving Florida a 52% chance to beat us
Posted on 11/1/17 at 4:44 pm to Lonnie Utah
They're going rogue. I've seen this before.
Posted on 11/1/17 at 4:46 pm to Lonnie Utah
I used to think computers were shite. But they have figured out that Gus Malzahn is a moron who lost to Coach O. So I'll trust them
Posted on 11/1/17 at 4:47 pm to DirtyDawg
quote:
Just like FoxSports giving Florida a 52% chance to beat us
Except for Fl not showing any ability to score up to this point in the season, yes.
More interesting than the analysis, is the comments section. Most are predicting a massive blowout. If you watch the video, you'll understand why that isn't likely to happen. Both team have a propensity to shorten the game. In fact, that's both teams game plan. That strategy limits possessions for both teams and keeps the score low.
Posted on 11/1/17 at 4:49 pm to Lonnie Utah
Hang that shite on the bulletin board...
Posted on 11/1/17 at 4:49 pm to Lonnie Utah
print the fricking shirts
Posted on 11/1/17 at 4:50 pm to RTRinTampa
quote:
BS in. BS out.
That's why their model is 15-3 against the spread this year.
This post was edited on 11/1/17 at 4:51 pm
Posted on 11/1/17 at 4:52 pm to Lonnie Utah
quote:
Both team have a propensity to shorten the game. In fact, that's both teams game plan. That strategy limits possessions for both teams and keeps the score low.
Haven't watched enough SC this year to know, but will take your (and their) word for it. Assuming that is true, absolutely it could limit scoring opportunities. My only major concern in this game is that the Gamecocks have been particularly good in the turnover margin, particularly in SEC play. If this is in fact due to their style of play and not simply something that will regress to the mean, then I'd say that could certainly keep them in the game. It might also necessitate that we not shorten the game though as well. Ultimately, would rather not find out. :) Dawgs roll!
Posted on 11/1/17 at 4:52 pm to Lonnie Utah
Their model indicated the fewer the yards SC gains the more points they score. Seriously.
Their algorithm might have few flaws. I love their weekly YouTube predictions though, good stuff.
Their algorithm might have few flaws. I love their weekly YouTube predictions though, good stuff.
Posted on 11/1/17 at 5:05 pm to Lonnie Utah
I'd really like to know what fatal flaw in their model tossed out 35 pts for South Carolina.
35 pts would be tied for the 2nd most pts Carolina has scored all season (48 vs Arkansas).
35 pts would clearly be the most pts Georgia has given up all season (28 vs Missouri, 19 vs Notre Dame).
I assume the disconnect has something to do with all the non-offensive TDs Carolina had against NC State and Arkansas, as they have them scoring 35 pts on 4.10 YPP (which is bad).
35 pts would be tied for the 2nd most pts Carolina has scored all season (48 vs Arkansas).
35 pts would clearly be the most pts Georgia has given up all season (28 vs Missouri, 19 vs Notre Dame).
I assume the disconnect has something to do with all the non-offensive TDs Carolina had against NC State and Arkansas, as they have them scoring 35 pts on 4.10 YPP (which is bad).
Posted on 11/1/17 at 5:06 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Now I'm curious so I'm gonna run my (probably not as good generally) model and see what it spits out.
Posted on 11/1/17 at 5:10 pm to Lonnie Utah
"If I gave South Carolina less yardage, they would be predicted to score more points."
Funny how computers interpret data.
Funny how computers interpret data.
Posted on 11/1/17 at 5:16 pm to PortlyDawg
quote:
Their model indicated the fewer the yards SC gains the more points they score. Seriously.
Their algorithm might have few flaws. I love their weekly YouTube predictions though, good stuff.
Could potentially be calculating short fields/turnovers? Otherwise, yeah... probably flawed model.
Popular
Back to top
Follow SECRant for SEC Football News