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Cruz once again exceeds expectations
Posted on 4/6/16 at 8:59 am
Posted on 4/6/16 at 8:59 am
It seems to be a constant trend with each new primary: Ted Cruz exceeds expectations
The RCP Polling average yesterday showed the Wisconsin race to be a close contest, with Cruz leading by 4.7%. Cruz trounced Donald Trump, winning by more than 13% of the vote. Here is how each candidate out-performed their RCP polling average:
+9.1%: Cruz
+0.6%: Trump
-5.9%: Kasich
Kasich once again proved there is no point to him being in the race. In state after state, last minute deciders are voting for Cruz. It's becoming highly probable that Marco Rubio will still have more delegates than John Kasich when the Republican convention kicks off in June... despite Rubio dropping out in very early March. Kasich is an absolute joke.
Trump is about to move into a period of the race that will be very favorable to him: New York is next... followed by Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Rhode Island, and Pennsylvania a week later.
Trump will do very well in those states. But it was also conventional wisdom a month ago that he would do very well in Wisconsin. That didn't happen.
More and more people are realizing that a Trump nomination would be a disaster for the party. The chances of Trump getting to the convention with the necessary 1,237 delegates to win on the first ballot is starting to look unlikely.
The RCP Polling average yesterday showed the Wisconsin race to be a close contest, with Cruz leading by 4.7%. Cruz trounced Donald Trump, winning by more than 13% of the vote. Here is how each candidate out-performed their RCP polling average:
+9.1%: Cruz
+0.6%: Trump
-5.9%: Kasich
Kasich once again proved there is no point to him being in the race. In state after state, last minute deciders are voting for Cruz. It's becoming highly probable that Marco Rubio will still have more delegates than John Kasich when the Republican convention kicks off in June... despite Rubio dropping out in very early March. Kasich is an absolute joke.
Trump is about to move into a period of the race that will be very favorable to him: New York is next... followed by Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Rhode Island, and Pennsylvania a week later.
Trump will do very well in those states. But it was also conventional wisdom a month ago that he would do very well in Wisconsin. That didn't happen.
More and more people are realizing that a Trump nomination would be a disaster for the party. The chances of Trump getting to the convention with the necessary 1,237 delegates to win on the first ballot is starting to look unlikely.
8
Posted on 4/6/16 at 9:07 am to BHMKyle
quote:
Kasich once again proved there is no point to him being in the race.
i've really grown to hate that guy.
Posted on 4/6/16 at 9:17 am to BHMKyle
quote:
Trump will do very well in those states. But it was also conventional wisdom a month ago that he would do very well in Wisconsin. That didn't happen.
I don't understand why conventional wisdom would suggest Trump would do well there. Paul Ryan, Scott Walker, and the GOP establishment are heavily entrenched and motivated in Wisconsin. Couple that with local talk radio being at the forefront of the Never Trump movement, and this was a perfect storm of coalescing behind one candidate to beat Trump.
I don't think you'll see another state be as hostile to Trump as Wisconsin was for quite a while.
Still, this probably ensures a brokered convention, and Paul Ryan as the GOPe candidate to get rocked by HillDawg in November. Assuming she isn't in jail.
Posted on 4/6/16 at 9:31 am to BHMKyle
Trump curb stomps that ugly Canadian weasel Cruz and you neocons can't fricking stand it
Posted on 4/6/16 at 9:45 am to BHMKyle
The silent majority really doesn't like Trump... Shocking.
Posted on 4/6/16 at 9:49 am to BHMKyle
The race now swings to the East, however, where Cruz is a pariah even amongst neocons. Trump and Kasich should blow the doors off the Cruzmobile. Smarmy doesn't play in the Northeast.
Posted on 4/6/16 at 1:23 pm to BHMKyle
Kasich should have been the choice. Cruz is a religious weirdo and Trump an arrogant clown
Posted on 4/6/16 at 2:21 pm to BHMKyle
Did he not tell a lie or something? Dadgum titmouth liar!
Posted on 4/6/16 at 9:12 pm to BHMKyle
You mean he went a whole media cycle without lying?
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