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Why I think A&M will win tomorrow.

Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:02 pm
Posted by Grovewater
Member since Jul 2015
249 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:02 pm
Saban has consistently had a massive Achilles heel at Bama, spread offenses. When the game is slowed down, and Alabama can just out talent everybody, they win almost every time. When you spread them out, go fast to keep them from rotating personnel, the talent gap becomes less of an issue. Bama's defensive line amazing, but they're also heavy(average of 315 lb) when you go quickly, that advantage can be almost completely negated after a few series. Additionally, makes it more difficult to adjust Defensive play calling.
The biggest reason why I think A&M gets this one, is that while Bama's LB corp is 2nd to none, the secondary is pretty weak. And I would argue that TAMU is just as good if not better at the pure passing game than Ole Miss. The combination of Kyle Allen with those massive Aggie receivers up against that Bama secondary is a mismatch.

A&M will score, and Myles Garrett will get his against Cam Robinson(who has struggled this year). The question is whether Bama's offense will be able to keep up, and I don't have faith in Jake Coker or Derek Henry.

A&M is a match up nightmare for Alabama, because they're a fast paced spread offense with a good quarterback and massive receivers. Which in addition to playing on the road just screams "upset", if you can call it that.
This post was edited on 10/16/15 at 8:03 pm
Posted by MrGrind
Member since Oct 2015
513 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:03 pm to
You thought ol miss would beat UF. Analysis fail.
Posted by transcend
Austin, TX
Member since Aug 2013
4166 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:04 pm to
But will Bama fumble 1456 times again?
Posted by PorkRoast
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2015
6047 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:04 pm to
Until proven otherwise, I'll take a pissed off Bama team that has a chip on their shoulder.
Posted by higgs_boson
State College, PA
Member since Sep 2014
22456 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:05 pm to
This will definitely be their first serious test to the secondary since Ole Miss.
Posted by geauxturbo
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2007
4192 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:06 pm to
I'm by no means a fan of Bama and I hope the insufferable aggies win. But, no one is a match-up "nightmare" for Bama. Please show me the last time they lost by 4+ touchdowns.
Posted by greenbastard
Parts Unkown
Member since Feb 2014
2740 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:07 pm to
I guess this means Bama will win.
Posted by Glorious
Mobile
Member since Aug 2014
24586 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:07 pm to
The spread offense thing is way overblown. They score more on mostly everybody. Nobody ever talks about how Saban scores more against spread teams. Of course the team that runs more plays scores more often. The D gave up 28 against AU in 2013, 29 vs. A&M 2012, 20ish vs. West Virginia last year, and 0 vs A&M last year
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
109561 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:09 pm to
I doubt it will happen, but I'm rooting for A&M. Takes a lot of heat off of us on Bama winning the West, plus it will assure that Gameday comes to Oxford next week (considering we don't shite the bed vs Memphis).
Posted by Kashmir
Member since Dec 2014
7839 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:11 pm to
you may be right. you may be crazy.

the biggest reason bama wins is because they have to.
Posted by Minkah Magic
Member since Oct 2015
560 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:14 pm to
quote:

massive achilles heel


quote:

against spread offenses and hurry up bullshite offenses that aren't man enough to come right at you like real football was meant to be


quote:

but yet....59-0


Doesn't compute.
Posted by mightysooner
Phoenix, AZ
Member since Jun 2015
1252 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:23 pm to
ATM is finna get Georgia'd
Posted by beauchristopher
new orleans
Member since Jan 2008
66462 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:24 pm to
59-0
Posted by BhamDore
Nashville
Member since Aug 2009
6295 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:25 pm to
Alabama has the second best secondary in the SEC.
Posted by jtran1988
Corndog U
Member since Oct 2008
5321 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:30 pm to
Theres more to defense than just the pass rush. Bama is going to run it down Myles Garrett's throat. IMO a managed time of possession game can beat A&M (barring any freak turnovers and super lucky-plays). If Bama really wants to contest A&M's offense, they are going to have to scrap that 3-4 lineup and go with a 3-2-5 or 4-2-5 defense.
Posted by digitalis
Member since Oct 2009
411 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:34 pm to
Bama wins by 2 TDs if they don't turn the ball over. A&M might try to play vanilla zone like Arkansas did against Bama, but their run defense isn't as good and Bama will get their yards on the ground.
Posted by TeLeFaWx
Dallas, TX
Member since Aug 2011
29179 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:35 pm to
Me too.

Aggies - 45
Gumps - 20
Posted by Rhino5
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2014
28907 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:42 pm to
I think Alabama will beat the shite out of the big 12. The big12 has no defense.
Posted by BlackPawnMartyr
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2010
15349 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:54 pm to
quote:

the secondary is pretty weak.


Posted by jbond
Atlanta
Member since Jun 2012
4939 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:57 pm to
quote:

Saban has consistently had a massive Achilles heel at Bama, spread offenses.

I guess we're ignoring when A&M was shut out last year, or Ole Miss the year before that? Ole Miss won this year because of the turnover margin, not because Saban shits himself every time Alabama plays against the no huddle.
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