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Big Name Regular Season OOC Games - SEC West
Posted on 8/3/15 at 7:35 am
Posted on 8/3/15 at 7:35 am
I was looking at the slate of OOC games this year, breaking them down into beginning and end of season games.
Beginning:
Alabama - Wisconsin:
I think Alabama gets a good game, but also a good matchup - where Wisconsin's strengths match up poorly against Alabama. It will likely be a bit closer than some fans think, but I doubt Alabama is ever truly challenged. Will the Alabama defense be as stout as advertised? Considering this is the very first game of the season, I see a few more points than if this were played mid-season. Alabama 42-20
Arkansas - Texas Tech:
The Razorbacks aren't opening with their biggest OOC opponent, Texas Tech - though TT being their biggest OOC opponent is, admittedly, debatable. TT went a sad 4-8 last year in the Big 12, Toledo was busy winning their conference (though losing 3 OOC games in the process). We'll go with TT here, as they are from a power conference, but this match-up is barely worth going to the trouble of turning on the TV for. Arkansas 38-7
Auburn - Louisville:
Auburn should come out of the gates fast and strong. They get a Louisville team that had a good record last year, but lacked any marquee wins and nearly lost to Kentucky as well as getting beaten by 23 against UGA. UL is once again one of those "good" matchups that will end up playing right into the SEC team's hands. The most interesting bit: a first true glimpse of how much of an improvement Muschamp has made to the Tiger defense. Auburn 49-38
LSU - Syracuse:
Syracuse gets LSU in game 4 of the regular season, which means that Syracuse hoping that the Tigers would be flat (and about the only hope they had) is gone. Syracuse went a pathetic 1-7 in the ACC last year, and 3 losses were by over 20 points. While Syracuse wasn't blown out by anyone last year, the idea that they might pose a threat to LSU is laughable. Their only hope? That the previous games against Auburn and MSU leaves LSU so beat up that they're fielding their band. This one isn't likely to be any closer than Arkansas' match-up. LSU 38-3
Mississippi State - MSU lacks a marquee match-up this season, with their biggest OOC game being their HC game against La Tech.
Ole Miss - Ole Miss lacks a marquee match-up this season, with their biggest OOC game being game 2 against Fresno St.
Texas A&M - Arizona St:
Texas A&M gets a very good one in ASU, who finished with 10 wins last year and brings in one of the more potent offenses from 2014. Aside from a 3 game stretch mid-season, ASU routinely had no issues putting points on the board. While Chavis and Muschamp are both facing good offenses to start their careers at their new schools, I think Chavis is encountering the tougher starting opponent. The key will be to see how well A&M's offense comes out of the gate, and even more so how well their defense is operating. I think this may end up being the closest game, and therefor the most entertaining. I think A&M wins in a close one. Texas A&M 35-31
Good match-ups (in order of best expected game):
Texas A&M - ASU
Auburn -Louisville
Alabama vs Wisconsin
Power 5 Match-ups that will be sad to watch:
LSU - Syracuse
Arkansas - Texas Tech
Just couldn't get a Power 5 match-up:
Mississippi State
Ole Miss
Beginning:
Alabama - Wisconsin:
I think Alabama gets a good game, but also a good matchup - where Wisconsin's strengths match up poorly against Alabama. It will likely be a bit closer than some fans think, but I doubt Alabama is ever truly challenged. Will the Alabama defense be as stout as advertised? Considering this is the very first game of the season, I see a few more points than if this were played mid-season. Alabama 42-20
Arkansas - Texas Tech:
The Razorbacks aren't opening with their biggest OOC opponent, Texas Tech - though TT being their biggest OOC opponent is, admittedly, debatable. TT went a sad 4-8 last year in the Big 12, Toledo was busy winning their conference (though losing 3 OOC games in the process). We'll go with TT here, as they are from a power conference, but this match-up is barely worth going to the trouble of turning on the TV for. Arkansas 38-7
Auburn - Louisville:
Auburn should come out of the gates fast and strong. They get a Louisville team that had a good record last year, but lacked any marquee wins and nearly lost to Kentucky as well as getting beaten by 23 against UGA. UL is once again one of those "good" matchups that will end up playing right into the SEC team's hands. The most interesting bit: a first true glimpse of how much of an improvement Muschamp has made to the Tiger defense. Auburn 49-38
LSU - Syracuse:
Syracuse gets LSU in game 4 of the regular season, which means that Syracuse hoping that the Tigers would be flat (and about the only hope they had) is gone. Syracuse went a pathetic 1-7 in the ACC last year, and 3 losses were by over 20 points. While Syracuse wasn't blown out by anyone last year, the idea that they might pose a threat to LSU is laughable. Their only hope? That the previous games against Auburn and MSU leaves LSU so beat up that they're fielding their band. This one isn't likely to be any closer than Arkansas' match-up. LSU 38-3
Mississippi State - MSU lacks a marquee match-up this season, with their biggest OOC game being their HC game against La Tech.
Ole Miss - Ole Miss lacks a marquee match-up this season, with their biggest OOC game being game 2 against Fresno St.
Texas A&M - Arizona St:
Texas A&M gets a very good one in ASU, who finished with 10 wins last year and brings in one of the more potent offenses from 2014. Aside from a 3 game stretch mid-season, ASU routinely had no issues putting points on the board. While Chavis and Muschamp are both facing good offenses to start their careers at their new schools, I think Chavis is encountering the tougher starting opponent. The key will be to see how well A&M's offense comes out of the gate, and even more so how well their defense is operating. I think this may end up being the closest game, and therefor the most entertaining. I think A&M wins in a close one. Texas A&M 35-31
Good match-ups (in order of best expected game):
Texas A&M - ASU
Auburn -Louisville
Alabama vs Wisconsin
Power 5 Match-ups that will be sad to watch:
LSU - Syracuse
Arkansas - Texas Tech
Just couldn't get a Power 5 match-up:
Mississippi State
Ole Miss
Posted on 8/3/15 at 8:08 am to skrayper
Texas A&M - ASU - ASU with a win in a high scoring game.
Auburn -Louisville - Louisville pulls off an upset.
Alabama vs Wisconsin - Alabama with an easy win.
Power 5 Match-ups that will be sad to watch:
LSU - Syracuse - LSU wins but what about QB play?
Arkansas - Texas Tech - Arky with an easy win and impresses; rest of SEC takes notice and becomes afraid of a loss to Arky.
Posted on 8/3/15 at 8:12 am to nebraskafaninwi
quote:
Texas A&M - ASU - ASU with a win in a high scoring game.
I could easily see that.
quote:
Auburn -Louisville - Louisville pulls off an upset.
A bit less likely, but certainly feasible. Especially if Muschamp has not had much luck fixing the defense.
quote:
Alabama vs Wisconsin - Alabama with an easy win.
Obviously inclined to agree.
quote:
LSU - Syracuse - LSU wins but what about QB play?
Good question - though not sure Syracuse will give enough of a challenge to really answer the question (unless LSU's qb play is just abysmal).
quote:
Arkansas - Texas Tech - Arky with an easy win and impresses; rest of SEC takes notice and becomes afraid of a loss to Arky.
Now you're just being silly. Arky could win by 100 and no one will care.
Posted on 8/3/15 at 8:18 am to skrayper
I don't expect Louisville to put up much of a fight against AU - maybe the first half will be close. Louisville lost so much from last year's team.
Posted on 8/3/15 at 8:29 am to MenloDawg
Petrino teams know how to hurt us. We better be ready for the game or we'll get beat.
I expect us to win a close one
I expect us to win a close one
Posted on 8/3/15 at 8:37 am to skrayper
I think it's pretty good analysis for the most part. I believe Tech will put up more than 7 points, but Arky should win that game handily and I wouldn't be surprised to see Collins and Williams combine for 350+ yards in that game.
Alabama-Wisconsin definitely suits Bama when Wiscy is on offense because they are a predominantly running team and Alabama's run defense will definitely be their strength early.
I don't see Auburn-Louisville being that high scoring, especially with all the Cards lost on the offensive side of the ball and all Auburn got. Auburn has the much better team and should win relatively handily.
As far as A&M and ASU goes, I don't know enough about ASU yet to make an accurate prediction for this game. IMO, this is a massive game for A&M though, because if they can impress defensively under Chavis, recruits will absolutely take notice and the earlier in the season they take notice, the more likely they are to get high-end players.
Alabama-Wisconsin definitely suits Bama when Wiscy is on offense because they are a predominantly running team and Alabama's run defense will definitely be their strength early.
I don't see Auburn-Louisville being that high scoring, especially with all the Cards lost on the offensive side of the ball and all Auburn got. Auburn has the much better team and should win relatively handily.
As far as A&M and ASU goes, I don't know enough about ASU yet to make an accurate prediction for this game. IMO, this is a massive game for A&M though, because if they can impress defensively under Chavis, recruits will absolutely take notice and the earlier in the season they take notice, the more likely they are to get high-end players.
Posted on 8/3/15 at 8:42 am to skrayper
Wisconsin plays a physical game. If Kiffin gets to finesse we may lose this one.
Posted on 8/3/15 at 8:44 am to skrayper
Umm..... MSU vs USM???
Open the season with a matchup of the 2 premier teams in Mississippi.
Open the season with a matchup of the 2 premier teams in Mississippi.
Posted on 8/3/15 at 8:49 am to SouthOfHere
quote:
Open the season with a matchup of the 2 premier teams in Mississippi
This quote would be much funnier if y'all didn't lose to the team you're excluding here.
Posted on 8/3/15 at 8:53 am to Dawgsontop34

He tried the ol' backhanded comment and it backfired

Posted on 8/3/15 at 8:57 am to skrayper
I think you are selling Texas Tech a little short. I think that game will be closer than that.
Posted on 8/3/15 at 9:01 am to Eric Nies Grind Time
I doubt it. Arky will be good and Texas tech won't. Isn't it at Arky this year?
Posted on 8/3/15 at 9:01 am to Eric Nies Grind Time
quote:
I think you are selling Texas Tech a little short. I think that game will be closer than that.
Perhaps - I certainly hope they're better and they give a good game, but nothing really gives me a lot of hope that this will be much more than a warm-up match for Arky.
Posted on 8/3/15 at 9:03 am to hehatedrew
quote:
I doubt it. Arky will be good and Texas tech won't. Isn't it at Arky this year?
Correct - Arkansas doesn't leave the state for their OOC games this year.
Posted on 8/3/15 at 9:08 am to hehatedrew
quote:TT won't be able to stop Arky's ground game...
Arky will be good and Texas tech won't.
Posted on 8/3/15 at 9:15 am to sjmabry
quote:
TT won't be able to stop Arky's ground game...
Perhaps...I know they have a new DC. Have to see how they do. They return a lot on offense so they should be able to put up some points against Arkansas.
Posted on 8/3/15 at 9:17 am to Eric Nies Grind Time
They never have a defense no matter who their coordinator is. If they don't score a million points like they used to, they can't win. And they aren't what they used to be on offense. Arky will keep the ball out of their hands by running it as well...
This game sets up as good as you could possibly imagine for Arky.
This game sets up as good as you could possibly imagine for Arky.
Posted on 8/3/15 at 9:19 am to hehatedrew
I just said I think it will be closer than 38-7. Get off my arse fagatron.
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