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ESPN: VOLS best value bet in the nation to win the SEC

Posted on 7/24/15 at 10:21 am
Posted by Phat Phil
Krispy Kreme
Member since May 2010
7429 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 10:21 am
quote:

SEC

Vegas favorite: Alabama Crimson Tide (13-5 odds)
FPI favorite: Georgia Bulldogs (25 percent chance to win)
Value bet: Tennessee Volunteers(11-1 odds, 13 percent by FPI)

CG Technology pins Alabama (13-5) as the favorite to win the SEC, but FPI projects that Georgia has the best chance to win the conference. The main reason that FPI favors Georgia is its schedule; Alabama is projected to play the toughest schedule in the nation and has to deal with a loaded SEC West, while Georgia has a fairly manageable path to the SEC championship game through the SEC East.

For this same reason, Tennessee is the best value bet in the nation. The Vols currently have the seventh-best odds to win the SEC, but FPI projects that they have the third-best chance (and a higher chance than Alabama) to win the conference. A $100 bet on Tennessee would result in an expected return of $74, based on the current Vegas and FPI odds, best of any Power 5 team.

The Vols return an SEC-high 18 starters to a team that improved in all three phases of the game last season. They have signed consecutive top-five recruiting classes, so they have the talent on their roster to compete. Add in the fact that as a member of the SEC East, Tennessee has fewer teams to contend with for a division title, and the Vols may be the best "sleeper" in the country entering the season.
Posted by UAtide11
Member since Apr 2014
2190 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 10:23 am to
...but y'all are only expecting around 8 wins right?
Posted by TheJones
Member since Nov 2009
33643 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 10:24 am to
Best value bet*
Posted by tylerdurden24
Member since Sep 2009
46791 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 10:25 am to
"Best value" means the best benefit available in a tradeoff of selective circumstances

So... Congrats on being the most popular choice for gambling addicts and poor people
Posted by Legendary0903
Tree Fiddy Green Money
Member since Jan 2014
4416 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 10:27 am to
Pretty much, ESPN is saying, "Tennessee is going to win the SEC for sure."
Posted by Team Vote
DFW
Member since Aug 2014
7823 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 10:27 am to
1-16 vs ranked teams
Posted by Wtodd
Tampa, FL
Member since Oct 2013
67773 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 10:31 am to
Ain't that special (Church Lady voice)?

Funny how TN wouldn't piss on ESPN if they were on fire until..........
Posted by UAtide11
Member since Apr 2014
2190 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 10:32 am to
0-18 against Georgia, Florida, Alabama and Missouri since 2010. But sure, load up on the Vols
Posted by stat19
Member since Feb 2011
29350 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 10:35 am to
Much like the fool and his money, if only the SECRant could be parted from you.
Posted by Oizers
Member since Nov 2009
2668 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 10:35 am to
Love it. This is just adding to the magnitude of the inevitable trainwreck.
Posted by VFL1800FPD
Nashville, TN
Member since Aug 2012
9269 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 10:39 am to
This was written by the media, just FYI for everyone. The UT fanbase did not all chip in to write this. But ya'll don't care
Posted by AUtigerNOLA
New Orleans, LA
Member since Apr 2011
17118 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 10:44 am to
Another fricking fat phil VOLS thread

Posted by MrAUTigers
Florida
Member since Sep 2013
28632 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 12:25 pm to
I would take out a loan and put a bundle down if I was a UT fan.
Posted by Serraneaux
South of 30a
Member since Mar 2014
20551 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 12:28 pm to
God, we are going to ransack the SEC THIS YEAR.
Posted by geauxnavybeatbama
Member since Jul 2013
25134 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 12:45 pm to
Yea but yall still won't win so why would I waste my money?
Posted by Jagd Tiger
The Kinder, Gentler Jagd
Member since Mar 2014
18139 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 12:47 pm to

dizney window lickers have weighed in... (thank Zod!!)

Posted by bulldawger
Fish Creek, GA
Member since Jul 2010
2903 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

Phat Phil


Is that because this year as a collective your team has molested more women than the rest of the conference combined?

UThug.

Good luck with that Fulmer Cup this year. It's the only trophy you'll earn this year.

Posted by austingator
austin
Member since Jan 2009
7442 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 1:12 pm to
Posted by austingator
austin
Member since Jan 2009
7442 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 1:15 pm to
Butch couldn't beat the Chimp.

TeN that's all
Posted by Pettifogger
Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone
Member since Feb 2012
81237 posts
Posted on 7/24/15 at 1:15 pm to
There is zero chance, so it is a zero value bet.

Quote me
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