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re: Bama and 5* Recruits

Posted on 2/6/14 at 11:35 am to
Posted by coachcrisp
pensacola, fl
Member since Jun 2012
30675 posts
Posted on 2/6/14 at 11:35 am to

quote:

You have not done anything of the sorts, but nice try to think you have. again prime example of that and this. your projections have been quite comical recently

Really?...then what do you call this?
quote:

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Well again, you are discrediting the original premise of the stat, 5 star recruits that sign with the program. When you remove them, you again are skewing the stat. Its pretty simple, did 5 star recruit sign with program? yes or no Did 5 star recruit get drafted first round? yes or no Any variation beyond that it merely skewing the statistic to make the stat look more convincing then it really is ETA. And I dont even really care what it is for bama. but when you add more and more disclaimers it discredits the statement.
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Ask yourself the question, "what was the intention when looking at these statistics?" Answer: To see how well the schools "coach up" their 5* recruits to help them most advantageously enter the NFL draft.
Now if you don't remove the recruits who were dismissed for unacceptable behavior, career-ending injury or any other situation not contributable to the coaching staff, how can you get an accurate assessment of the quality of the coaching staff?
NYC, you're not this dumb...this narrow-minded and hard headed, maybe, but not this dumb.



Posted by taylormade
Tumbleton
Member since Jan 2011
9834 posts
Posted on 2/6/14 at 11:37 am to
Sweet!
Posted by CheeseburgerEddie
Crimson Tide Fan Club
Member since Oct 2012
15574 posts
Posted on 2/6/14 at 11:38 am to
quote:

Thats it, name calling. makes it more legit


Don't be so sensitive

ETA: While you may have a flaw in your understanding of statistics, you seem to understand well that patience will win most arguments. I'm going to have to leave you to it.
This post was edited on 2/6/14 at 11:41 am
Posted by CapstoneGrad06
Little Rock
Member since Nov 2008
72570 posts
Posted on 2/6/14 at 11:38 am to
I just looked

2008: Julio Jones, Tyler Love, B.J. Scott -- Only Julio was
2009: Trent Richardson, D.J. Fluker, Dre Kirkpatrick, Nico Johnson -- only Nico wasn't
2010 - Dee Milliner -- Dee was
2011: Cyrus Kouandjio, Haha Clinton-Dix, Trey DePriest -- Cyrus and Haha expected to be, Trey stil at Alabama
2012-present: no one else is draft eligible yet
Posted by NYCAuburn
TD Platinum Membership/SECr Sheriff
Member since Feb 2011
57003 posts
Posted on 2/6/14 at 11:40 am to
quote:

NYC, you're not this dumb


stop with the projecting

quote:

.this narrow-minded and hard headed


Again, please stop


The fact that you dont see it furthers my point again and the fact that you are the one that is being narrow minded.



Posted by coachcrisp
pensacola, fl
Member since Jun 2012
30675 posts
Posted on 2/6/14 at 11:50 am to
quote:

The fact that you dont see it furthers my point again and the fact that you are the one that is being narrow minded.
Well alrighty then.
Posted by Coon2000
America
Member since Sep 2010
351 posts
Posted on 2/6/14 at 11:52 am to
What is:

1. % of 5 stars signed by Saban that get drafted in the first round

2. % of 5 stars signed by Saban that make it to the draft and get drafted in the first round.

It does not make one right and the other wrong, it is just a statistic. Both are probably good numbers in Saban's favor, the second should be the better of the two.
Posted by tigerfan in bamaland
Back Home now
Member since Sep 2006
61220 posts
Posted on 2/6/14 at 12:00 pm to
Bama cheats. It is known.
Posted by Schwaaz
Member since Sep 2009
7375 posts
Posted on 2/6/14 at 12:11 pm to
The only program Golic knows anything about is ND. Beyond that he is pretty clueless.
Posted by BamaDoc14
Member since Nov 2013
2559 posts
Posted on 2/6/14 at 12:21 pm to
NYCAuburn
Posted by Crimson Legend
Mount St Gumpus
Member since Nov 2004
15478 posts
Posted on 2/6/14 at 12:37 pm to
While I don't relish the idea of ever agreeing with NYCaub, I think the truth is in between and imo even slightly toward his point of view. I can see the argument that players who drop out of the program are "beyond our control" and shouldn't count against the stat. But the real message of the stat is that 5 star recruits (and their families) believe that at Alabama, the player is much more likely to make it to the first round of the draft. If a player drops out, it may be totally because the player is a lost cause, BUT it could also be because the support system in place was not effective with him. And in the latter case, that is relevant.

I see this similarly to a quarterback's INT stats. Some interceptions are completely beyond the control of the qb - tipped balls, screwed up timing routes, etc by the wide receiver. But we have to simply accept the limitations of the statistic and give the overall numbers, else we skew it even worse deciding which to include and introducing our own biases.
Posted by RT1941
Member since May 2007
30745 posts
Posted on 2/6/14 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

But the real message of the stat is that 5 star recruits (and their families) believe that at Alabama, the player is much more likely to make it to the first round of the draft.
This ^^^^^ is all I give a shite about.

Saban's got the Bama program running like it's buisness. He basically interviews recruits, he doesn't have to do much selling these days. The numbers speak for themselves.
Posted by phaz
Waddell, AZ
Member since Jan 2009
6077 posts
Posted on 2/6/14 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

Not even close. Several have not been. There was some study a year or so ago that showed Bama had about the worst percentage of four and five star guys make it to the nfl of any sec school.


Let me guess, another unsourced quack spouting opinion, in other words, bullshite like you tend to post about?
This post was edited on 2/6/14 at 1:19 pm
Posted by Herman Frisco
Bon Secour
Member since Sep 2008
17580 posts
Posted on 2/6/14 at 2:05 pm to
Here's the stat which counts.
Of the 5* recruits which are signed by Bama and are drafted from UA , how many go in the first round.
Later in the draft?
This post was edited on 2/6/14 at 2:07 pm
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