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Texas Final Stretch Analysis
Posted on 11/10/25 at 11:50 am
Posted on 11/10/25 at 11:50 am
Georgia - The Worst Matchup. Kirby does a great job of teaching his defense to attack keys, Sark hasn’t shown the ability to counter that consistently. Georgia also does great work on the inside with physical linebacker play, Texas has struggled in the interior offensive line the entire season. Dual-Threat QBs have had success, but I don’t think Arch will tote the rock much coming off a recent concussion. Defensively, Texas is tough to run the ball against unless you have Jaden Baugh racking up YAC. Georgias offense is predicated on a consistent run game. That’ll be interesting.
Arkansas - Scary sandwich game. Arkansas can score. They can’t prevent scores. Texas has looked terrible on offense at times. You don’t really know which way this one goes. I think the depth and talent of the Texas defensive line prevails in this matchup in the 2nd half. Also Texas has been beat up in the secondary the past month or so, we’re finally getting healthy, we’ll need to be full strength for this one.
Texas A&M - There are a few favorable matchups here, but A&M looks like the most complete team of the trio. PK has suffocated Kleins offense on multiple occasions, but A&M is running that tunnel screen/inside power combo to perfection. Texas may be one of the few teams that can stop the run with a light box in order to defend plays in space. Sark also matches up really well against Elkos defensive scheme, especially the way they play defensive line. It leaves them vulnerable to outside zone, the only run concept Texas does well. OU has a similar issue but Venables has yet to adjust. Our Tackles aren’t very strong, but they are pretty athletic. Goosby gave up zero sacks to Scorton, Howell, or Stewart in the last meeting. Should be a treat to the college football world on Black Friday.
Texas has the talent to rise to the occasion in all these matchups. Though personally I feel that many of the questionable decisions our coaching staff made in the offseason come home to roost in this stretch. I’d love to be wrong.
Arkansas - Scary sandwich game. Arkansas can score. They can’t prevent scores. Texas has looked terrible on offense at times. You don’t really know which way this one goes. I think the depth and talent of the Texas defensive line prevails in this matchup in the 2nd half. Also Texas has been beat up in the secondary the past month or so, we’re finally getting healthy, we’ll need to be full strength for this one.
Texas A&M - There are a few favorable matchups here, but A&M looks like the most complete team of the trio. PK has suffocated Kleins offense on multiple occasions, but A&M is running that tunnel screen/inside power combo to perfection. Texas may be one of the few teams that can stop the run with a light box in order to defend plays in space. Sark also matches up really well against Elkos defensive scheme, especially the way they play defensive line. It leaves them vulnerable to outside zone, the only run concept Texas does well. OU has a similar issue but Venables has yet to adjust. Our Tackles aren’t very strong, but they are pretty athletic. Goosby gave up zero sacks to Scorton, Howell, or Stewart in the last meeting. Should be a treat to the college football world on Black Friday.
Texas has the talent to rise to the occasion in all these matchups. Though personally I feel that many of the questionable decisions our coaching staff made in the offseason come home to roost in this stretch. I’d love to be wrong.
This post was edited on 11/10/25 at 11:52 am
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Posted on 11/10/25 at 11:52 am to EastTXHorn
You'll probably lose all 3.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 11:53 am to EastTXHorn
Decent analysis. Would read again.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 11:54 am to EastTXHorn
With all due respect, Texas won't beat UGA or TAMU this year. You should defeat Arkansas.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 11:55 am to AlterDWI
quote:
You'll probably lose all 3.
Let's hope.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 11:56 am to EastTXHorn
Texas will struggle to stop the run against UGA. Not saying you can't win but we have had success against better defenses and it's at home.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 11:57 am to EastTXHorn
Fair analysis, but I think arch has been in will remain the biggest question in all three games
Posted on 11/10/25 at 12:04 pm to EastTXHorn
the depth and talent of the Texas defensive line prevails
This is every Texas coach since Akers M.O. in a nutshell, don't worry about scheme, just overpower them and most of the time (somewhere in the 72-75 percent range) it's enough.
I see them losing 2 out of 3.
This is every Texas coach since Akers M.O. in a nutshell, don't worry about scheme, just overpower them and most of the time (somewhere in the 72-75 percent range) it's enough.
I see them losing 2 out of 3.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 12:10 pm to EastTXHorn
I think best case scenario is 9-3. No way do I see Texas winning in Sanford.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 12:28 pm to Nasty_Canasta
quote:
No way do I see Texas winning in Sanford.
I don't think it's likely, but Bama already won there and Ole Miss took them to the wire... Ole Miss has the equivalent of a G5 defense.
This post was edited on 11/10/25 at 12:29 pm
Posted on 11/10/25 at 12:54 pm to EastTXHorn
For me, it's hard to analyze anything beyond Georgia. Texas is 2 different teams, depending on what happens in Athens.
And as long as it's Sark vs. Kirby, it doesn't look good for Texas.
And as long as it's Sark vs. Kirby, it doesn't look good for Texas.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 12:57 pm to MtVernon
If Arch plays well they could easily win, if he plays like he did earlier this year it’s gonna be bad for Texas. Kirby and Schu are gonna bring pressure from every direction to get him out of any rhythm..
Posted on 11/10/25 at 1:02 pm to EastTXHorn
Texas has inarguably looked like they are improving, whatever that implies.
The beauty of this team is the fact that, for ALL of their shortcomings and on field frickups, they still control their own destiny.
Texas has to beat Georgia, there is no reason to believe they don’t have the players and coaches to do that. But it’s up to them.
All I can do is hope the bad version of Texas misses the bus ride to the airport Friday.
Saturday night we will all find out what Texas really is.
The beauty of this team is the fact that, for ALL of their shortcomings and on field frickups, they still control their own destiny.
Texas has to beat Georgia, there is no reason to believe they don’t have the players and coaches to do that. But it’s up to them.
All I can do is hope the bad version of Texas misses the bus ride to the airport Friday.
Saturday night we will all find out what Texas really is.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 1:03 pm to EastTXHorn
Beating Georgia at home is simply a big feat.
Arky, probably got it.
A&M, god knows. That game can get looney. On paper, A&M wins, but...that doesn't mean shite. And its in Austin.
Arky, probably got it.
A&M, god knows. That game can get looney. On paper, A&M wins, but...that doesn't mean shite. And its in Austin.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 1:03 pm to shallowminded
quote:
If Arch plays well they could easily win, if he plays like he did earlier this year it’s gonna be bad for Texas. Kirby and Schu are gonna bring pressure from every direction to get him out of any rhythm..
I actually think the other side of the ball is what will have more bearing on the outcome. Georgia’s offense might be the best unit on the field. The Texas defense has been exposed in the secondary. If Texas can’t reasonably contain Georgia’s offense, Arch’s performance—good or bad—will only determine the margin of loss for Texas.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 1:51 pm to shallowminded
I think Texas was an incredibly easy scout the first go around in Austin. Post-Injury Quinn Ewers was easy to prepare for, stop the screen and the intermediate passing game. This Texas offense is not as talented, but much less predictable.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 3:30 pm to Old Sarge
quote:
Fair analysis, but I think arch has been in will remain the biggest question in all three games
Arch will go as the OL goes. The OL has had a couple of good games now. But not against DL quality of Dawgs & Ags. Although they did well vs. OU which is on par with those.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 3:33 pm to shallowminded
quote:
Kirby and Schu are gonna bring pressure from every direction to get him out of any rhythm..
Exactly what worries me. Happened last year with a supposedly good OL and I just don't think Sark can out-adjust Kirby.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 3:54 pm to Eldodroptop
quote:
Texas has to beat Georgia,
I know that sounds like a fanboy statement, but really it's not. Texas recruits players just as well as Georgia does. Georgia has kicked around Texas the last two time we met. If Sark can't bring this team to match up with Georgia then we have other issues.
Texas has the players, dammit.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 4:02 pm to HTX Horn
The OL isn’t making him inaccurate
His biggest pass play last game was almost a backwards pass by inches
And he missed the receiver so badly that Wingo had to lunge forward and barely got his finger tips
Those are truths
His biggest pass play last game was almost a backwards pass by inches
And he missed the receiver so badly that Wingo had to lunge forward and barely got his finger tips
Those are truths
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