re: DSOR Part II: SECCG Edition Prediction Thread

The “if x y and z plays went our way” game is a fools’ errand. I know fans have to look for something in a loss besides “we just got flat out beat”, but that path of thinking will make you go crazy. Any team can look at any bad play in any game and rationalize what could have been if it were executed properly.

Probably the NFL. Divisonal games are always hard, bc the teams know each other so well.

There’s a reason ESPN has this games as 50.5%/49.5% in AUs favor.... gonna be tight.

yea but this isn't a divisional NFL game. College is completely different.

I saw a stat a couple days ago that said the past 6 times teams have met twice, the team that won the first game won both. We are going to win.

quote:

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Among those 15, over half won by a larger margin than the first game (8 of 15).

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this is what I think of most of the time. The team that lost first may have a mental edge early on, but once the better team starts imposing their will, their minds revert to the previous arse whipping, and thus the current arse whipping gets worse.

If AU hadn't won by so many the first time I would say it'll be worse. But it'll be about the same

Member in 2010 we were running all over teams with Cam. We got to the SecCG and we threw deep to Adams and turned Cam loose throwing? I think that is what will happen Saturday. Stidham might go off.

If there is a God, he will not let Bama sneak their sorry asses into the playoff.

Imo, it’s gonna be important for AU to weather the early UGA storm... they’re gonna come out and try to hit us in the mouth early... Smart and Co have been preaching to their team all week about being more physical this time around.

If we can get through the first quarter even, or maybe ahead, and I think we’d be in good shape.... we still have an advantage up front, but UGA has tons of talent... gotta avoid long third downs.

Georgia has it in them to play more physical this time around... they’ve got a Top 5 defense that’s excellent vs the run, and the most talent stable of RBs in the country.

Our DL is better than their OL... but UGA can do some things scheme wise to help themselves out.

I'm going to take a minute to toot my own horn. I have been pretty close with my last two predictions. I thought that UGA had not been tested at all and if Auburn was going to beat them at home they would do so in a rout; I predicted 34-17. Against Bama I thought Auburn would lead most of the game and it would come down to the 4th quarter with Auburn having to stop a Hurts drive to win. They were never able to give themselves that opportunity in the 4th but my prediction wasn't far off at 27-21.

Today my thoughts on this game finally hit me. This is going be a Stidham game. Kerryon went crazy on them the first game to the tune of 230 yards- pretty much out gaining UGA himself. There is no doubt that stopping Kerryon and our run game is the focus of their game planning on defense. Stidham just came off his best game of the year, and UGA's defense is beatable in the secondary. I also think Davis and Slayton make some big plays using their speed on the turf. I think Kerryon plays and has a decent game, with a sprinkle of Kam Martin, but the passing game shines.

I actually think that UGA will have more success on offense this game. Despite our defense absolutely dominating them last game, our defense has been at their best at home, and has gotten comfortable playing there the last few weeks. UGA is still a team that has to run the ball successfully to win a game, and that is still the strength of the Auburn defense, but I see them breaking off a few more runs this game.

All in all I think the final score looks like this:

AU 31 UGA 20