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AU vs. UGA game week and prediction discussion

Posted on 11/10/16 at 8:59 am
Posted by atlau
Member since Oct 2012
5264 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 8:59 am
I fricking hate UGA.

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat___________AUB________UGA
Yards/Play_____6.4_________5.1
Points/Play_____0.449______0.309
Rush Play %____69.15%____53.88%
Pass Play %_____30.85%_____46.12%
Completion %____68.34%_____53.64%
3D Conv %_______47.29%______38.84%
RZ Scoring %_____83.72%______85.19%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat________________AUB______UGA
Opp Yards/Play_____4.9_______5.1
Opp Points/Play_____0.219____0.400
Opp Completion %___57.14%____61.11%
Opp 3D Conv %_____33.09%_____36.04%
Opp RZ Scoring %_____72.41%_____92.31%

Rushing offense YPG
AU is # 2 in nation with 299.8 ypg

Rushing defense YPG
UGA is #13 in country allowing only 117.4 ypg

I don't put too much stock in this since they haven't faced a potent rush offense like ours. To put in perspective, Kentucky rushed for 186 yards against UGA last weekend.

While I think our chances dramatically improve if Pettway plays, I think the real key to victory this weekend is having Tre William and Davis back starting at the linebacker position and Tony Stevens back as our leading receiver.

Eason hasn't faced a D line like ours and I think if we get to him early and often we'll put him in some precarious 3rd and long situations.

So far, UGA's rush attack has been nonexistent. With our luck, they'll get it together this weekend. However, even if they have mild success, I think our D line is better than their O line.

I don't care if UGA has "owned" the rivalry for the last 10 years. The difference this year: Richt isn't going to be across the field. While he might have had our number, I don't think Smart has based on his time as DC at Bama against a Malzahn offense.

I think our guys are going to be up for this game and I think this will be one where we feel in control the entire time, but don't see a blowout.

AU - 34
UGA - 20

frick UGA, frick a bulldog, frick David Pollack, frick the whiny bitches who are still butt hurt over Nick Fairley, frick Kirby Smart and his stupid fricking face and wide brimmed visor.
This post was edited on 11/10/16 at 9:01 am
Posted by AubieG
Nawf GA
Member since Aug 2013
1179 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 9:24 am to
I am scared to death about this game. I have no idea why we should win but we should have a few times these past years. Also the "6" theory. 1986,1996,2006 a unranked UGA team beat a ranked Auburn team......but this is different hopefully.

Auburn-42 UGA-28
Posted by Pettifogger
Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone
Member since Feb 2012
79032 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 9:29 am to
I'm not sure when, if ever, I won't be scared of a UGA game. Especially in a year like this.

We should win. But sort of a 2006 scenario going on
Posted by DesignTiger
Buford, Georgia
Member since Jun 2011
1518 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 9:33 am to
Auburn - 45
UGA - 21
Posted by blzr
Keeneland
Member since Mar 2011
30079 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 9:33 am to
37-12
Posted by TigerPaw1
Chattanooga, TN
Member since Apr 2011
16979 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 9:50 am to
Everything from watching the games to what's on paper screams an AU win yet this is the game I am most nervous about

My hope is that with Richt gone we stop losing games in this series we have no business losing. UGA's OL is weak so I think our DL will have a big day. Eason has talent but not a ton of help at WR or on the OL. Still I would not be shocked if he had a big day as I expect UGA to use that quick passing game Ole Miss & Vandy have done the past 2 weeks.

On the other side of things I think the question of White's health is more important than Pettway. If White is good to go then I think we score 30+ on that defense. If he isn't healthy enough to be effective their run defense is good enough to give our offense headaches.

We also can't forget that McKenzie can do some damage on special teams. He beat us last year can't let him beat us this season.

I think we get it done but it's frustrating for a half. I think White throws for 250+ and KJ gets 100 with us winning 31-20. Win this and no matter how season ends I would consider this year a success
Posted by DoreonthePlains
Auburn, AL
Member since Nov 2013
7436 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 9:51 am to
Record against Vandy this year:
Auburn 1-0
Mutts 0-1

Just rest easy in the transitive property! Especially since Auburn beat a much better Vandy team than the one that beat UGA. Sean White is gonna spray the ball around and really open up the defense so that the RBs, no matter their health, will be able to find running lanes. Auburn's defense should also be able to handily shut down UGA's offense. None of their RBs have really impressed this year, and Eason is inconsistent at best.

Auburn - 31
Athens - 10
Posted by jvilletiger25
jacksonville, fl
Member since Jan 2014
16956 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 10:52 am to
38-13 AU

Posted by Rig
BHM
Member since Aug 2011
41856 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 11:49 am to
24-20 Auburn
Posted by jrljr
Member since Aug 2012
4074 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 11:55 am to
We need to get up on them early.

I hope to see a replay of my Avi.
Posted by konjis1
Member since Feb 2014
325 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 12:49 pm to
35-24 AU!
Posted by PearlJam
NotBeardEaves
Member since Aug 2014
13908 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 1:40 pm to
AU 27
UGA 20
Posted by JRoweMDN
Florida
Member since Jan 2016
703 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 1:42 pm to
AU 31
UGA 17
Posted by golfntiger32
Ohio
Member since Oct 2013
12486 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 1:43 pm to
In a close one AU 13 UGA 7 Get me outta here Percy...
Posted by AUTigermitch1995
Auburn
Member since Dec 2014
1612 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 1:48 pm to
I just want to go to athens, get a win, and get the hell out.

Auburn - 27 UGA - 20
Posted by gsm1060
Tree stand
Member since Dec 2009
683 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 1:50 pm to
27-17 AUBURN
Posted by auzach91
Marietta, GA
Member since Jan 2009
40248 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 1:59 pm to
I love and hate this game every year. I never feel good about a Georgia game.

Auburn 34
ugaly 30
Posted by N97883
New Dehli Forsyth GA
Member since Nov 2013
8062 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 3:11 pm to
Problem with georgia games is the auburn HCs live in Alabama. Since 06 this seems to have become a warm up, scrimmage, prep game for iron bowl... to them.

Not to us living in georgia.

No idea. Didn't think auburn would beat arkansas 56-3 or struggle against vandy. Hopefully Gus puts max effort into this game.
This post was edited on 11/10/16 at 3:13 pm
Posted by ATLtiger12
Atlanta
Member since Dec 2013
675 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 3:23 pm to
I know this series has not given us much reason for optimism the past decade, and we might not be 100% at full strength, but I think everyone is over reacting a bit.

This is the worst UGA team we have faced in the past decade, with the exception of maybe 2010. The same Vandy team that has left us a little skeptical, beat UGA. The Ole Miss team we think exposed our defense a little destroyed UGA. UGA is nowhere near our level this year, and I think Auburn knows, and will be motivated for some revenge and a possible championship run (much like the last two times we have beat UGA).

I think their loss to us falls some where between their games to UT and Ole Miss.

Give me: AU-31 UGA-16
Posted by allin2010
Auburn
Member since Aug 2011
18149 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 3:48 pm to
No prediction, but planning to enjoy myself in Athens.
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