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re: What about next year..
Posted on 1/18/24 at 10:56 am to Sauron
Posted on 1/18/24 at 10:56 am to Sauron
If the roster as currently constructed remains then I think we can add pieces to supplement it and be pretty good in 2024. We will definitely need a lucky health year in some spots, but the starting 22 will be good. However, we got a long way to go before we know about the roster.
The QB battle will be interesting for 100 different reasons.
One of the things most seem to be ignoring is that we return a legitimate 2-deep of starting caliber guys up front along with elite young edge guys and 2 experienced, talented inside linebackers. That's a big arse deal in this league............AS LONG AS THEY ARE ALL STILL HERE IN 20 DAYS.
The QB battle will be interesting for 100 different reasons.
One of the things most seem to be ignoring is that we return a legitimate 2-deep of starting caliber guys up front along with elite young edge guys and 2 experienced, talented inside linebackers. That's a big arse deal in this league............AS LONG AS THEY ARE ALL STILL HERE IN 20 DAYS.
This post was edited on 1/18/24 at 10:58 am
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Posted on 1/18/24 at 10:56 am to Sauron
As a man in his 40s I am ineffably upset about a 19 year old kid leaving Bama and I have to reflect on why that is and not get so upset. I have never been so pissed about a kid transferring out in my life.
Posted on 1/18/24 at 11:22 am to Tw1st3d
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What do you think that would add to our per game scoring average? Is 8 points reasonable? More or less?
Easily more
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Does the new OLine coach result in equal or better output?
better
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Does the reduction in bad snaps result in equal or better?
better
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JAM/Haynes/Young vs Jase / Roydell equal or better?
equal
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Front 6 or 7 - better or worse? I think it will be close to a push.
Front 7 better
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CB play - better or worse? I will guess 7 points per game worse. Younger at CB but the system should be easier for them to play fast.
Worse, 7-10 is realistic id say
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Safety play - better or worse? I will guess 6 points per game worse. Easier system for them to play fast. replacing a very good Safety and a pretty good safety - but both were 1st year players for Alabama.
This is obvious, see CB
Posted on 1/18/24 at 11:45 am to scottydoesntknow
quote:
JAM/Haynes/Young vs Jase / Roydell equal or better?
equal
Jam/Haynes/Young will be so much more explosive than Jase/Roydell.
Posted on 1/18/24 at 11:48 am to Tw1st3d
I'm most looking forward to the WR's being coached up better than they were the last few years.
Posted on 1/18/24 at 1:11 pm to HighTide_ATL
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You think we’re gonna give up 32ppg??
The point of this was to look at where we were and what the possible impact of the changes could be. Alabama is not "dead man walking".
2023 Alabama scored 34 ppg and Washington scored 36 ppg
If one of the QB's steps up and does well with the new system, I think 40 ppg is viable. With all of the changes, that is adding less than 1 TD per game. To get there, they need (1) #1 WR or #2 WR from the portal, (2) OT from the portal or step up from the team, and (1) center from the portal or step up from the team.
On Defense Alabama averaged 19 ppg in 2023. With all of the changes I think the worst case senerio would be to add 7 to 14 ppg to that this next year (+13ppg = 32 ppg).
Assuming no additional front line player losses and assuming we can get (1) good corner and (1) good safety out of the portal, I suspect we will be +7 or +8 ppg (or 26.5 ppg)
40 ppg (Off) and 26.5 ppg (Def) would be a pretty good outcome for a coaching change year. I think that would put Alabama at a 10+ win season with a pretty good chance of making the 12 team playoff field.
This post was edited on 1/18/24 at 1:20 pm
Posted on 1/18/24 at 1:56 pm to Tw1st3d
Bama didn't average 40 ppg the year Bryce won the Heisman.
Giving up 26 ppg would be really, really bad. Bama hasn't been that bad defensively in... I'm not even sure. Even Shula's worst defense didn't give up that many points (different era, I know). That would probably be the worst defense in Alabama history in terms of points given up per game. That would be a huge disappointment.
I expect the defense to be better than that and the offense not to be that good. I'd say 35 ppg and 22 ppg.
Giving up 26 ppg would be really, really bad. Bama hasn't been that bad defensively in... I'm not even sure. Even Shula's worst defense didn't give up that many points (different era, I know). That would probably be the worst defense in Alabama history in terms of points given up per game. That would be a huge disappointment.
I expect the defense to be better than that and the offense not to be that good. I'd say 35 ppg and 22 ppg.
This post was edited on 1/18/24 at 1:58 pm
Posted on 1/18/24 at 2:22 pm to JIB
quote:
Western Kentucky - 30.5 (45th)
USF - 31.9 (33rd)
Wisconsin - 23.5 (92nd)
Georgia - 40.1 (5th)
South Carolina - 26.0 (77th)
Tennessee - 31.8 (35th)
Missouri - 32.5 (29th)
LSU - 45.5 (1st)
Mercer - NA
Oklahoma - 41.7 (4th)
Auburn - 26.2 (72nd)
And they're just returning all their players that helped them achieve this?
Posted on 1/18/24 at 2:29 pm to HighTide_ATL
And they're just returning all their players that helped them achieve this?
Are you asking or do you think I was saying that they were?
Are you asking or do you think I was saying that they were?
Posted on 1/18/24 at 3:57 pm to UltimaParadox
quote:
You guys are being crazy optimistic at this point.
I think it all depends on who he pulls from the portal especially if we can pull some of those guys he had at UW.
At UW he did not inherit a great roster and getting hired late he was only able to bring in the 80th ranked class. Last year his class was ranked 27th. He was able to pull guys from the portal that were 3 or 4 star recruits coming out of HS. Yes he had Penix but in the trenches his team played well. With what will stay at UA and again whatever he brings in I could easily see UA getting into the playoffs.
Posted on 1/18/24 at 4:16 pm to TideWarrior
His average recruit rating was the exact same the past two years as Ole Miss and Mizzou
This can’t recruit mantra is exhausting
This can’t recruit mantra is exhausting
This post was edited on 1/18/24 at 4:17 pm
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