re: Tide Hoops | 25-12 (13-5)

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People don't get it

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Joka - I appreciate your eternal optimism. But let’s not question the intelligence of people that can objectively look at this game and realize we have an uphill battle to climb to win this one.

The athletic teams that don’t cause us major issues are ones that can go cold from outside when they are getting open 3s. if AU shoots even 24% from 3s, they beat us at home despite us shooting 37% from 3s that game. They shot 20%, and missed a FT with 12 seconds that would have tied the game. SC also shot horrid against us, many of which were wide open.

The athletic teams that can shoot very well give us serious issues. KY was an obvious example. UT’s defense is more like AU’s than KY’s, and seriously doubt they are going to shoot 20% tonight from 3s against our below average defense.

This one seems pretty simple: if we play our A game, we need UT to play their B+ game or below and we win. If UT plays their A game, we need a once every 5 seasons type 55+% from 3s and low TOs performance that KY just did to us to win.

I’m hoping UT has an off night with 18 TOs, but our defensive limitations coupled with UTs shooting likely means we are going to have to play at a level or 2 above them just to make this game winnable at the end. If we play even, they’re the better team with the better matchup.

Love your hope and I also hope we win, but let’s not confuse hope with “getting it.”