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re: Stop being a bunch of pussies
Posted on 11/19/25 at 8:36 am to TideCPA
Posted on 11/19/25 at 8:36 am to TideCPA
quote:
Go to the link you provided. Use the following results: November 22: - Tennessee over Florida - Oklahoma over Missouri - Texas over Arkansas - Kentucky over Vanderbilt November 28-29: - Ole Miss over Miss St - Texas A&M over Texas - Arkansas over Missouri - Alabama over Auburn - Oklahoma over LSU - Tennessee over Vandy Now, hit the "Calculate Standings" button, take a peek, and come back and tell me that Alabama controls its own destiny.
Your entire scenario relies on Kentucky beating Vandy and Arkansas beating Missouri. I don’t want to jinx anything but that’s a tall order.
3
Posted on 11/19/25 at 8:36 am to TideSaint
quote:
You think the committee is going to put them in the CFP over us because we lost a third game while they sat at home?
They just ranked ND ahead of us and cited our run game as the reasoning.
I don’t have a fricking clue what this committee is going to do and neither do you.
This post was edited on 11/19/25 at 8:37 am
Posted on 11/19/25 at 8:37 am to TideCPA
quote:
Now, hit the "Calculate Standings" button, take a peek, and come back and tell me that Alabama controls its own destiny.
So you're telling me we go 10-2, are already ranked high enough to be in the CFP and we don't have a chance to drop a 3rd game?
Boy, that sure sounds like we control our fricking destiny to me.
What's the issue?
This post was edited on 11/19/25 at 8:38 am
Posted on 11/19/25 at 8:38 am to TideSaint
quote:
So you're telling me we go 10-2, are already ranked high enough to be in the CFP and we don't have a chance to drop a 3rd game.
Posted on 11/19/25 at 8:39 am to CrimsonBoz
quote:Yeah, if the scenario relies on something happening besides your own team winning, that means you don't control your own destiny. I didn't say it was likely, just that it means we don't control our own destiny.
Your entire scenario relies on Kentucky beating Vandy and Arkansas beating Missouri. I don’t want to jinx anything but that’s a tall order.
Jesus Christ.
This post was edited on 11/19/25 at 8:42 am
Posted on 11/19/25 at 8:41 am to TideSaint
quote:If we are 10-2 without a conference title game appearance and ranked #10:
So you're telling me we go 10-2, are already ranked high enough to be in the CFP and we don't have a chance to drop a 3rd game?
- We are 100% getting pushed down by the ACC champion. That moves us to the second team in. This is 100% happening by rule.
- We are 100% getting pushed down by the highest ranked G5 team. That is 100% happening by rule. That moves us to the last at-large spot.
- At that point, any upset in the B12 championship puts us OUT of the playoffs.
Again, we have to rely on the third thing NOT happening, which means we do not control our own destiny. It's not that hard, guys.
This post was edited on 11/19/25 at 9:18 am
Posted on 11/19/25 at 8:43 am to dalefla
quote:
Stop being a bunch of pussiesby dalefla
If BAMA wins out, SECCG or not, we are in the CFP. So what's not true?
Nope. I bet they won't put bama in if we lost seccg. That's 3 losses and they don't like us.
Posted on 11/19/25 at 8:44 am to bamabonners
quote:
Nope. I bet they won't put bama in if we lost seccg. That's 3 losses and they don't like us.
Losing to a bad team in September doesn't hurt you if you're 2014 Ohio State. Curious.
Posted on 11/19/25 at 8:45 am to CrimsonBoz
quote:
Your entire scenario relies on Kentucky beating Vandy and Arkansas beating Missouri. I don’t want to jinx anything but that’s a tall order.
True. But the very fact that such a thing is possible means, by definition, that Alabama does NOT control its destiny. Things (admittedly likely things) need to happen first. However, there is a possibility that exists where Alabama finishes the regular season 10-2, doesn't make it to Atlanta, and gets left out of the CFP.
Posted on 11/19/25 at 8:46 am to CrimsonBoz
quote:You can actually swap Arkansas over Missouri with Florida over Tennessee and the results are the same.
Your entire scenario relies on Kentucky beating Vandy and Arkansas beating Missouri. I don’t want to jinx anything but that’s a tall order.
There are multiple plausible scenarios that exist in which we win out and don't reach the SEC championship game. And there are very plausible scenarios which could see us pushed out of the CFP field in that case, despite our current ranking.
This post was edited on 11/19/25 at 8:51 am
Posted on 11/19/25 at 8:49 am to TideCPA
I think they could correct us over Notre Dame in the final standings. But after looking at your scenario, you are right in that we don't 100% control our own destiny. But a week from now, we could. There are still losable games ahead for several of the teams ahead of us - Georgia, Ole Miss, Oregon, Oklahoma all have losable games left on their schedules that would put them at equal or more losses as us.
Posted on 11/19/25 at 8:49 am to TideCPA
quote:
- We are 100% getting jumped by the highest ranked G5 team. That is 100% happening by rule. That moves us to #12.
What?
If this was true, then why are ESPN's bracket projections not reflecting this?
What rule are you referring to?
Posted on 11/19/25 at 8:51 am to TideCPA
Yall are not accounting for teams ahead of us losing.
There are multiple teams that could lose and move us up.
There are multiple teams that could lose and move us up.
Posted on 11/19/25 at 8:51 am to TideSaint
quote:
If this was true, then why are ESPN's bracket projections not reflecting this?
It does. The highest five ranked conference champions are guaranteed spots. That is basically the P4 + highest ranked G5 (G6) champion. Their bracket projection has Tulane, 24th in the rankings, as the 12 seed in the tournament.
You may have forgotten about this because Boise State was so high in the rankings last year as that G5/G6 representative.
This post was edited on 11/19/25 at 8:54 am
Posted on 11/19/25 at 8:52 am to TideSaint
quote:Don't be obtuse. The CFP is required to have the ACC champion and the highest ranked G5 team in it. If both of them are ranked behind Alabama (as they are currently), that means Alabama is the last at-large team in the field. At that point, it takes just one team jumping Alabama (i.e. a BYU or Utah over Texas Tech) to move them out of the field completely.
What?
If this was true, then why are ESPN's bracket projections not reflecting this?
Posted on 11/19/25 at 8:54 am to crimsoncoded94
quote:Let me be clear. I never said my scenario of winning out, not making the SECCG, and missing out on the playoffs is likely (it's not, in fact). Just like it's unlikely the teams ahead of us will all win out (again, unlikely). But the fact that the possibility exists for us to win out and miss the playoffs means we don't control our own destiny. That was the point of my original comment.
Yall are not accounting for teams ahead of us losing.
There are multiple teams that could lose and move us up.
This post was edited on 11/19/25 at 8:56 am
Posted on 11/19/25 at 8:57 am to TideCPA
I agree its possible we dont make it, but we almost made it last season with 3 losses.
If we have 2 losses at the end of season we are in
If we have 2 losses at the end of season we are in
Posted on 11/19/25 at 9:05 am to crimsoncoded94
quote:Not according to the committee. If somehow we miss out on the SECCG, Texas Tech loses the B12 title game, and all the rest of the teams above us take care of business, who exactly would the committee move below Alabama to put them in the field?
If we have 2 losses at the end of season we are in
Posted on 11/19/25 at 10:11 am to TideCPA
After doing a deep dive analysis and working through statistical probabilities, I've come to the conclusion that Hunter Yurachek can go suck donkey balls.
Posted on 11/19/25 at 10:31 am to TideCPA
quote:
If we win out we are likely in the SECCG, but that is not guaranteed. If Vandy loses out, Arkansas beats Missouri, and everything else is chalk, we it's A&M vs. Georgia in Atlanta.
It is guaranteed if we win out that we play in the SECCG. The tie breaker is head-to-head and we beat UGA. So we only have to beat Auburn and we will be in Atlanta
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