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re: SOG Prediction Model - #2 Alabama vs #3 Georgia (10/17/20)
Posted on 10/11/20 at 2:26 pm to WG_Dawg
Posted on 10/11/20 at 2:26 pm to WG_Dawg
UGA is the better team. Bama will need for the Dawgs to stump their toe a few times if we're to win. I am very disappointed in the entire defensive staff of this version of Bama. Pete gets the most heat but the others are just as much to blame. All this started when Nick promoted Tosh to DC (to avoid losing him as a recruiter/coach) once Pruitt left and we've been trending downward since then. We don't have a Bell Cow on defense to lead. Seldom to you see a bunch with so little football savvy out of 11-15 players.
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Posted on 10/11/20 at 2:27 pm to WG_Dawg
I think, as has been noted, the thing I just truly just don't know the answer to is whether Georgia will be able to run between the tackles. If Georgia can get 3-4 yards on 1st down with the run and allow Bennett to get into 2nd and 6 and 3rd and 3......we are going to be in deep, deep shite. Monken will be able to use his whole playbook - WR screens, quick play-action crosses to RBs/TEs that our LBs will be 4 steps behind, mix in runs, etc. If Georgia is forced into 3rd and 7s then I think we have a shot, but even then we're pretty big fvck ups and will give up some 1st downs.
I feel like I have a pretty good idea of what to expect with our offense vs Georgia's defense. We will have some good drives, a few big pass plays, etc.....but we'll also get stopped in the red zone and have some 3 and outs. Somewhere between 24-34 points seems about right for us.
In conclusion, who the frick knows. Should be fun though. Not the weekend I think most of us were hoping it would be 6-8 months ago when we all looked forward to this game in the regular season, but better than not playing it at all for sure.
I feel like I have a pretty good idea of what to expect with our offense vs Georgia's defense. We will have some good drives, a few big pass plays, etc.....but we'll also get stopped in the red zone and have some 3 and outs. Somewhere between 24-34 points seems about right for us.
In conclusion, who the frick knows. Should be fun though. Not the weekend I think most of us were hoping it would be 6-8 months ago when we all looked forward to this game in the regular season, but better than not playing it at all for sure.
This post was edited on 10/11/20 at 2:30 pm
Posted on 10/11/20 at 2:29 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
In conclusion, who the frick knows.
This is where I’m at
I wish tomorrow were Saturday
Posted on 10/11/20 at 2:30 pm to diddlydawg7
quote:
This is where I’m at
I wish tomorrow were Saturday
Honestly, we have 5 frickin NLCS games between now and UGA-Alabama. That's gonna be an emotional eternity. By the time this game rolls around, I might already be dead of a stress-induced heart attack.
This post was edited on 10/11/20 at 2:31 pm
Posted on 10/11/20 at 2:34 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Honestly, we have 5 frickin NLCS games between now and UGA-Alabama. That's gonna be an emotional eternity. By the time this game rolls around, I might already be dead of a stress-induced heart attack.
Are you telling me watching Bryse Wilson or Huascar Ynoa start an NLCS game is NOT a relaxing experience for you?
Posted on 10/11/20 at 2:36 pm to diddlydawg7
quote:
Are you telling me watching Bryse Wilson or Huascar Ynoa start an NLCS game is NOT a relaxing experience for you?
Posted on 10/11/20 at 2:40 pm to diddlydawg7
quote:
Are you telling me watching Bryse Wilson or Huascar Ynoa start an NLCS game is NOT a relaxing experience for you?
I know it's an inevitability and I hate it. This playoff format is total bullshite. Taking a couple of days off is not going to suddenly infect dozens of players with fricking COVID.
Posted on 10/11/20 at 2:50 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Does the SoG predictor work in retro?
In other words, could you crank the numbers as if we were going to play aTm, Mizzou, or Ole Miss this week?
In other words, could you crank the numbers as if we were going to play aTm, Mizzou, or Ole Miss this week?
Posted on 10/11/20 at 2:52 pm to East Coast Band
quote:
Does the SoG predictor work in retro?
In other words, could you crank the numbers as if we were going to play aTm, Mizzou, or Ole Miss this week?
Yea, I could do that, the only problem is it would remove 1 week of stats from the baseline numbers.
Can definitely do that next week, though.
Posted on 10/11/20 at 2:58 pm to diddlydawg7
If we played any D I would ride with Mac all day
Posted on 10/11/20 at 5:05 pm to SummerOfGeorge
I doubt that we can constantly run between the tackles. We struggled pretty bad vs UT and they aren’t on Bama’s level. Monken is going to have to be creative.
Posted on 10/11/20 at 5:07 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Honestly, we have 5 frickin NLCS games between now and UGA-Alabama. That's gonna be an emotional eternity. By the time this game rolls around, I might already be dead of a stress-induced heart attack.
I’ll be at the game with 19,999 of everyone else. I will be screaming my face off but in the end I’m expecting a really tight close game that stresses me out completely. Once the game is decided and the clock hits 0 it will be a relief either win or lose. LSU last year was like that, I stressed until we lost lol.
Posted on 10/11/20 at 5:09 pm to SummerOfGeorge
At least the rest of the West looks weak also. Perhaps Alabama can improve enough to get revenge in the championship game.
Posted on 10/11/20 at 5:15 pm to Master of Sinanju
I can't deal with Game 6 and this shite-show vs Uga at once Saturday evening. Can't do it. 
I don't feel great about either. Rtr
I don't feel great about either. RtrThis post was edited on 10/11/20 at 5:16 pm
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