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SEC CG Matchup by the Numbers - #1 Alabama vs #11 Florida (updated with PFF stats)
Posted on 12/15/20 at 3:45 pm
Posted on 12/15/20 at 3:45 pm
Since 2008 Alabama has only lost 1 game in which they were a 16+ pt favorite : Sugar Bowl vs Oklahoma in the 2013 season (-17 pt favorite).
See below for a quick breakdown of Florida's pass defenders and who to watch for.
This post was edited on 12/17/20 at 3:39 pm
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Posted on 12/15/20 at 4:03 pm to Alyosha
JMO but Bama's DL is going to have to get after Trask from the get go. LSU had some success making him make mistakes and our bunch should at least do the same. Mack hasn't had a shite the bed game and we don't need one this week by having to match scores with them like we did vs Ole Missy.
Posted on 12/15/20 at 4:34 pm to JoseyWalesTheOutlaw
He’s slow so that will only benefit us. I agree completely.
Posted on 12/15/20 at 4:58 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Since 2008 Alabama has only lost 1 game in which they were a 16+ pt favorite : Sugar Bowl vs Oklahoma in the 2013 season (-17 pt favorite).
That loss sucked, but was understandable. Coming off the kick six game and Bama had nothing to play for.
Posted on 12/15/20 at 5:00 pm to remaster916
quote:
That loss sucked, but was understandable. Coming off the kick six game and Bama had nothing to play for.
Yea, it's hard to even get mad at that in hindsight. They lost everything in Auburn that day.
- change at a 3rd straight national title
- Undefeated season
- SEC Championship
- Division Championship
- Rivalry win
Those guys hadn't played in a game that didn't matter since they were freshmen or sophomores. On the flip side, Oklahoma was revved the hell up.
This post was edited on 12/15/20 at 5:01 pm
Posted on 12/17/20 at 12:13 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
SummerOfGeorge
SOG, have you not yet posted your model results for this game, or did I miss it?
Posted on 12/17/20 at 12:13 pm to paperwasp
quote:
SOG, have you not yet posted your model results for this game, or did I miss it?
In the pinned thread
Posted on 12/17/20 at 12:29 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Big key is barmore pressure. Trask falls apart when forced off platform by pressure up the middle
Posted on 12/17/20 at 12:30 pm to Tider95
Most QBs do, but Trask definitely does
Posted on 12/17/20 at 2:16 pm to SummerOfGeorge
It surprised me quite a bit to see Florida is actually doing really well with sacks and TFL on defense.
Do they play really aggressively, or do they have a couple or so really good pass rushers?
Do they play really aggressively, or do they have a couple or so really good pass rushers?
Posted on 12/17/20 at 2:17 pm to BTide
quote:
It surprised me quite a bit to see Florida is actually doing really well with sacks and TFL on defense.
Do they play really aggressively, or do they have a couple or so really good pass rushers?
It's Grantham - they blitz. A lot. Also they have a few good pass rushers (Cox, the 5-star that transferred from UGA is one).
This post was edited on 12/17/20 at 2:18 pm
Posted on 12/17/20 at 2:21 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Mullen sure seems confident by his latest statements. We'll see.
Posted on 12/17/20 at 2:24 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
In the pinned thread
Oh geez, I see it now, sorry bro!
ETA: Now that I'm reading through, I see that I actually posted in that thread and totally forgot. Good Lord.
This post was edited on 12/17/20 at 2:27 pm
Posted on 12/17/20 at 2:31 pm to bamatide07
quote:
Mullen sure seems confident by his latest statements. We'll see.
They have probably been preparing for Bama since they beat Georgia.
Posted on 12/17/20 at 3:41 pm to remaster916
Florida Defenders - SEC Rank by NFL Rating Against (by position)
Cornerbacks (out of 40)
7. Kaiir Elam (61.2) (48 targets, 18 rec, 281 yd) (3 TD, 2 INT)
24. Brad Stewart Jr (102.2) (36 targets, 25 rec, 285 yd) (1 TD, 0 INT)
27. Marco Wilson (109.7) (50 targets, 34 rec, 452 yd) (2 TD, 0 INT) (1 thrown shoe)
30. Jaydon Hill (114.8) (16 targets, 11 rec, 133 yd) (1 TD, 0 INT)
Safeties (out of 34)
16. Shawn Davis (109.2) (14 targets, 11 rec, 143 yd) (4 TD, 2 INT)
27. Donovan Stiner (125.6) (13 targets, 7 rec, 122 yd) (2 TD, 0 INT)
Linebackers (out of 38)
1. Mohamoud Diabate (42.4) (12 targets, 9 rec, 33 yd) (0 TD, 1 INT)
14. Amari Burney (93.2) (22 targets, 18 rec, 160 yd) (1 TD, 1 INT)
26. Ventrell Miller (112.4) (27 targets, 20 rec, 116 yd) (1 TD, 0 INT)
27. James Houston IV (113.6) (11 targets, 10 rec, 44 yd) (1 TD, 0 INT)
Cornerbacks (out of 40)
7. Kaiir Elam (61.2) (48 targets, 18 rec, 281 yd) (3 TD, 2 INT)
24. Brad Stewart Jr (102.2) (36 targets, 25 rec, 285 yd) (1 TD, 0 INT)
27. Marco Wilson (109.7) (50 targets, 34 rec, 452 yd) (2 TD, 0 INT) (1 thrown shoe)
30. Jaydon Hill (114.8) (16 targets, 11 rec, 133 yd) (1 TD, 0 INT)
Safeties (out of 34)
16. Shawn Davis (109.2) (14 targets, 11 rec, 143 yd) (4 TD, 2 INT)
27. Donovan Stiner (125.6) (13 targets, 7 rec, 122 yd) (2 TD, 0 INT)
Linebackers (out of 38)
1. Mohamoud Diabate (42.4) (12 targets, 9 rec, 33 yd) (0 TD, 1 INT)
14. Amari Burney (93.2) (22 targets, 18 rec, 160 yd) (1 TD, 1 INT)
26. Ventrell Miller (112.4) (27 targets, 20 rec, 116 yd) (1 TD, 0 INT)
27. James Houston IV (113.6) (11 targets, 10 rec, 44 yd) (1 TD, 0 INT)
This post was edited on 12/17/20 at 3:47 pm
Posted on 12/17/20 at 3:50 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Not gonna lie... that looks like some great eating. Reminds me of when they came to tuscaloosa with hargreaves and Elam and we just ate them alive.
This post was edited on 12/17/20 at 3:51 pm
Posted on 12/17/20 at 3:51 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Florida Defenders
Dang, looks like there might be some Alabama receivers running free in this game.
Posted on 12/17/20 at 3:52 pm to Tider95
quote:
Not gonna lie... that looks like some great eating.
Yea, I mean, we worry about our defense because that's what we do. And it's been earned over the last few years vs good offenses.
But...
This is a matchup of a great pass defense vs a great pass offense on one side and a great pass offense vs a below average pass defense on the other. Not to mention a below average run offense vs a good run defense and a great run offense vs an average run defense.
We're a 17 point favorite for a reason. We play our game and we're gonna be in good shape.
Posted on 12/17/20 at 3:53 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Agreed all around. Great work George 
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