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re: Alabama Basketball Megathread | 26-7 (16-2)
Posted on 1/20/21 at 3:21 pm to RTN
Posted on 1/20/21 at 3:21 pm to RTN
I'm absolutely loving this "Alabama had a miracle shooting night" line that has started to take hold over on the TigerRant.
That sort of thing can explain away a game you lose by 14 when the other team is on fire. Sure. Sometimes it happens.
To act like that explains away being down 40 points with 10 minutes left in the 2nd half is something else.
That sort of thing can explain away a game you lose by 14 when the other team is on fire. Sure. Sometimes it happens.
To act like that explains away being down 40 points with 10 minutes left in the 2nd half is something else.
2
Posted on 1/20/21 at 3:21 pm to Robot Santa
quote:
That shot chart that has been posted is analytics porn.
Yep. High percentage close shots, and 3s are with 50% more points. Shooting 33.3% is like shooting 2s at 50%. With the line in college basketball, those are good odds.
And with us having 4 guards/forwards that are capable of scoring 20+on any given night, we are fricking dangerous.
Posted on 1/20/21 at 3:34 pm to Chadaristic
quote:
:sighs.... unzips:
Posted on 1/20/21 at 3:35 pm to SummerOfGeorge
What about our defense holding them to their worst outing of the year?
Posted on 1/20/21 at 3:37 pm to mistaken4193
quote:
What about our defense holding them to their worst outing of the year?
Just have to assume they'd shoot their average baw!
Posted on 1/20/21 at 3:37 pm to mistaken4193
what will the State line be Sat? Vegas going to have to kick that number up a notch after the last few games.
Ala -8.5?
Ala -8.5?
Posted on 1/20/21 at 3:40 pm to McGregor
KenPom Expectations the next 5 games
Alabama (-12) vs Mississippi State
Alabama (-9) vs Kentucky
Alabama (-1) @ Oklahoma
Alabama (-7) vs LSU
Alabama (-3) @ Missouri
Alabama (-12) vs Mississippi State
Alabama (-9) vs Kentucky
Alabama (-1) @ Oklahoma
Alabama (-7) vs LSU
Alabama (-3) @ Missouri
This post was edited on 1/20/21 at 3:44 pm
Posted on 1/20/21 at 3:42 pm to Contra
quote:
But for real, I can't believe any of this. In first place with straight up beatdowns on SEC opponents.
Not just SEC opponents. We're beating down quality opponents that are expected to be the tourney.
Posted on 1/20/21 at 3:43 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Remaining games ranked by Win Probability per KenPom
1. @ Oklahoma (55%) (Bama by 1)
2. @ Missouri (60%) (Bama by 3)
3. @ Arkansas (63%) (Bama by 4)
4. vs LSU (73%) (Bama by 7)
5. @ South Carolina (74%) (Bama by 7)
6. @ Miss St (76%) (Bama by 8)
7. vs Kentucky (80%) (Bama by 9)
8. @ Texas A&M (84%) (Bama by 10)
9. vs Auburn (85%) (Bama by 12)
10. vs Miss St (86%) (Bama by 12)
11. vs Georgia (91%) (Bama by 15)
12. vs Vanderbilt (95%) (Bama by 19)
If we win all the games at 80% or greater and go 2-4 in the games less than 80% we go 15-3 in the SEC
1. @ Oklahoma (55%) (Bama by 1)
2. @ Missouri (60%) (Bama by 3)
3. @ Arkansas (63%) (Bama by 4)
4. vs LSU (73%) (Bama by 7)
5. @ South Carolina (74%) (Bama by 7)
6. @ Miss St (76%) (Bama by 8)
7. vs Kentucky (80%) (Bama by 9)
8. @ Texas A&M (84%) (Bama by 10)
9. vs Auburn (85%) (Bama by 12)
10. vs Miss St (86%) (Bama by 12)
11. vs Georgia (91%) (Bama by 15)
12. vs Vanderbilt (95%) (Bama by 19)
If we win all the games at 80% or greater and go 2-4 in the games less than 80% we go 15-3 in the SEC
This post was edited on 1/20/21 at 3:49 pm
Posted on 1/20/21 at 3:51 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Here is our SEC schedule sorted by KenPom Rank. BOLD we have already played
@ #13 Tennessee (W)
#23 Florida (W)
@ #30 LSU (W)
#30 LSU
@ #38 Missouri
@ #43 Arkansas
#43 Arkansas (W)
#52 Ole Miss (W)
@ #54 Kentucky (W)
#54 Kentucky
@ #66 South Carolina
@ #69 Auburn (W)
#69 Auburn
@ #77 Mississippi State
#77 Mississippi State
#90 Georgia
@ #113 Texas A&M
#137 Vanderbilt
We pretty clearly have our 4 easiest SEC game remaining on the schedule and have already played our 2 toughest ones (@ LSU, @ Tennessee).
@ #13 Tennessee (W)
#23 Florida (W)
@ #30 LSU (W)
#30 LSU
@ #38 Missouri
@ #43 Arkansas
#43 Arkansas (W)
#52 Ole Miss (W)
@ #54 Kentucky (W)
#54 Kentucky
@ #66 South Carolina
@ #69 Auburn (W)
#69 Auburn
@ #77 Mississippi State
#77 Mississippi State
#90 Georgia
@ #113 Texas A&M
#137 Vanderbilt
We pretty clearly have our 4 easiest SEC game remaining on the schedule and have already played our 2 toughest ones (@ LSU, @ Tennessee).
This post was edited on 1/20/21 at 3:54 pm
Posted on 1/20/21 at 3:51 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Even if we go 7-5 that’s 19-8(13-5 or 14-4)
Posted on 1/20/21 at 3:55 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
I'm absolutely loving this "Alabama had a miracle shooting night" line that has started to take hold over on the TigerRant.
That sort of thing can explain away a game you lose by 14 when the other team is on fire. Sure. Sometimes it happens.
To act like that explains away being down 40 points with 10 minutes left in the 2nd half is something else.
The other lie they are telling themselves in conjunction with that is that most of the 3s were actually contested. I mean yeah some were kind of contested, but only in the sense that an LSU player was kinda close to the guy shooting it and lifted his arm in the air. Their perimeter defense last night was atrocious and Wade did nothing to correct it. Someone beat me to the punch last night, but he's Mark Gottfried. Slimy as hell, the offense works because of how much talent he has rather than any kind of schematic advantage, and he doesn't give a shite about defense.
Posted on 1/20/21 at 3:57 pm to Robot Santa
quote:
Someone beat me to the punch last night, but he's Mark Gottfried.
Posted on 1/20/21 at 4:03 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Good call then. Because that's exactly who he is. The main difference is that Mark was in decent shape and all of that purple makes Wade looks like Grimace.
Posted on 1/20/21 at 4:09 pm to Robot Santa
quote:
Good call then. Because that's exactly who he is. The main difference is that Mark was in decent shape and all of that purple makes Wade looks like Grimace.
Basically - I also think Wade's teams play a little more physical than Gottfried's did, at least they have in past years. Their long dudes like Emmitt Williams played in your face on the boards. Gottfried's teams were finesse shooting teams.
But in general the comparison fits. Cheaters, not great tacticians, terrible defensive coaches, etc.
This post was edited on 1/20/21 at 4:09 pm
Posted on 1/20/21 at 4:10 pm to Robot Santa
quote:
he's Mark Gottfried
But how much experience does Wade have with night golf?
Posted on 1/20/21 at 4:11 pm to Robot Santa
don't know if this has been discussed in this thread, but if Bama can build on this with Oates. Can Bama afford to keep him. if Duke or UNC come calling will Bama pay to match a blue blood school to keep him in T-town
Posted on 1/20/21 at 4:15 pm to Legba007
quote:
Can Bama afford to keep him. if Duke or UNC come calling will Bama pay to match a blue blood school to keep him in T-town
I have zero doubts that if the time comes Alabama will be willing and able to pay whatever we need to pay to keep Oats around. The question will be whether he wants to go to a blue blood type program, and if the answer is yes, money won't really be the issue.
All I know is that's a problem I'd be very willing to have.
Posted on 1/20/21 at 4:16 pm to paperwasp
quote:
But how much experience does Wade have with night golf?
The Pear doesn't know shite about Kappas or golf cart stalls.
Posted on 1/20/21 at 4:19 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Final thought on the LSU game - the "I'm baffled" response by their fans to us lighting them up is just hilarious.
#13 most efficient offense (#2 in the SEC) in America
vs
#127 most efficient defense (#13 in the SEC) in America
It's roughly the equivalent of Ole Miss being shocked that they gave up 600 yards and 60 points to Alabama this season in football.
#13 most efficient offense (#2 in the SEC) in America
vs
#127 most efficient defense (#13 in the SEC) in America
It's roughly the equivalent of Ole Miss being shocked that they gave up 600 yards and 60 points to Alabama this season in football.
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