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re: Eason will start vs Vandy?

Posted on 10/4/17 at 11:55 am to
Posted by FooManChoo
Member since Dec 2012
41623 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 11:55 am to
I just did some hand timing on the time-to-throw (from the snap) for Eason and Fromm.

Eason's 4 throws this year:
1: 2.46 (APP)
2: 2.53 (APP)
3: 1.46 (APP)
4: 2.76 (UTk)
Avg: 2.30 seconds

Fromm's first 3 throws against APP (to compare to Eason's)
1: 1.15
3: 1.45
3: 1.39
Avg: 1.33 seconds

Fromm's first 9 throws against UTk (didn't want to do all of them)

1: 1.99
2: 1.49
3: 1.58
4: 1.80
5: 2.61
6: 1.56
7: 2.41
8: 2.36
9: 1.79
Avg: 1.95 seconds

I could time more throws but this small sampling seems to confirm what has been said before: Fromm gets rid of the ball faster than Eason. This helps Fromm avoid more pressure (and sacks).
This post was edited on 10/4/17 at 11:57 am
Posted by DawgsLife
Member since Jun 2013
58901 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:06 pm to
So. Is Eason going to start against Vanderbilt, or did this ever get discussed?
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora, Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
63768 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

FooManChoo


Are you unemployed?

You seem like a sharp fellow, let me know if you need a Job in the ATL area.
Posted by FooManChoo
Member since Dec 2012
41623 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

Are you unemployed?

You seem like a sharp fellow, let me know if you need a Job in the ATL area.
lol no.. I've just got flexible hours

Would love to move back to Georgia, though. Too many brain dead hippies out here in Colorado.
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora, Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
63768 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

Let's stop acting Like Fromm is out here tearing it up . He isnt doing anything besides being a game manager. That is what the coaches ask of him. Georgia is ranked 119th in passing and 50th in passing tds . The defense is the biggest cog of this team. They are creating turnovers and short fields. We all of a sudden have a vastly improved punting game with Niziak. The offensive line for this years team is much better than last year's version , which had a guard playing tackle. The running game as stagnant last year due to poor run blocking. Chigbu, Stanley, Isiah all had bricks for hands. How many drops did Eason suffer from last year? Anyone want to find adjusted completion % which accounts for drops, throwaways, spiked balls? Eason was asked to win games last year . Fromm hasnt been ask to do that thus far. Please don't reference Notre Dame. Fromm had 2 key turnovers that game which Notre Dame converted into 10 points. The defense was asked to win that game when kirby took a conservative call on our last offensive possession on 3rd and short and opted to let the defense stop Them on the last drive. Georgia doesn't win that game if not for an amazing performance by the defense.Will Fromm need to win games this year? Probably vs Auburn and Alabama.Is he capable of winning games? possibly. Should Eason get a chance to show his wares after being named the starter? I think he should.If he fails, it's as easy as benching him.



I agree with literally everything you said here, except the highlighted part.

Last year, defenses had 6+ guys in the box on almost every play. When you have five linemen trying to block 7 tacklers, the running game is going to be stagnant. Defenses were able to get away with this because Eason was a true freshmen, defenses didn't respect him, but they damn sure knew we had a running game. "Stop the run and make Eason beat us" was every defense's game plan. It didn't work out for 7 of the games that we still won, but it did work out for the 5 games we lost.

It isn't because our OL had poor run blocking.
Posted by FooManChoo
Member since Dec 2012
41623 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

So. Is Eason going to start against Vanderbilt, or did this ever get discussed?
Guess we'll just have to wait and see. Read that Fromm's been practicing with the #1s Monday and Tuesday during the media viewing period. Could be a decoy, but I doubt CKS would waste precious reps trying to psyche out Mason. My guess is that Fromm starts against Vandy.
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

Possible, yes, but we've seen Fromm throw a TD pass (to Nauta) with pressure in his face. He's got a quicker delivery than Eason and it's been pointed out a millions times since the App St that Fromm had quicker reads and releases. Eason had a bad habit of always looking downfield for the big play. Fromm has been more of the quick strike QB, throwing short and letting our receivers get the YAC.

When I get some time, I'll see if I can verify that by getting an average time it takes Fromm to release the ball.


Part of that is scheme. If Eason's primary receivers are farther down field than Fromm's primary receivers on the plays he was allowed to run in the App State game (likely only high percentage short to intermediate routes because it limits exposure) then of course the numbers will look different. I truly think what we're seeing in Fromm is at least in part an actual evolution of Jim Chaney as an OC. I think he saw what *didn't* work last year, and once cornered with another true freshman QB he has a better idea of how to handle it. With that said, Fromm has excelled doing it, so there's always that. Chicken/Egg... either way, Chaney will eat it.

quote:

See above. Quick releases help neutralize QB pressure (and subsequent sacks) but Fromm's had his share of it, especially against UTk.

Even when we went quick/short passing last year, defenses sat on those throws, jumped routes, and/or our brick handed receivers did what they often do...

quote:

I ran some numbers quickly so it may be a little off but I think i got it. Here are the average 3rd and distances for each game where Fromm was not handing it off to a RB (includes throws, runs, and sacks):


Don't have an easy way of grabbing the exacts from 2016, but was curious. Using cfbstats.com we can at least get a percentage of passing plays based on distance to go ranges:
134 3rd down passing plays in 2016 (does include Lambert's play, but don't have time or patience to try and figure out how many, lol)
11.9% of plays - 9/16 with 1-3 yards remaining (56.3% conversion)
27.6% of plays - 19/37 with 4-6 yards remaining (51.4% conversion)
29% of plays - 18/39 with 7-9 yards remaining (46.2% conversion)
31.3% of plays - 21/42 with 10+ yards remaining (50% conversion)

If I try to come up with a rough rubric for that based on percentages and using the middle value of each range (and 12 for the 10+) it comes out to ~7.7 yards to go conservatively... There may be a better number out there, but would bet that it's not less than that. And the completion rate then would be 50%...

So in the lone game where Fromm had an average yardage to go on third down of that number or higher, he completed slightly less.

He's good... what the team is doing around him is helping a ton though.

quote:

There isn't enough data to compare Eason to Fromm for this season.

This is what *I* have been saying since the beginning. I'm not sure what everyone else is attempting to point out, but that's really the only point I've made since the beginning. Just pump the brakes on the Fromm is incredible train... let the thing play out. He's playing well on a better team. If Eason gets significant time and doesn't look improved, guess who will be one of the first to acknowledge it. So far, he simply hasn't been given much of an opportunity to show us one way or the other.

quote:

I'm game.

1st pass - 2nd & 13 - all good intermediate routes are covered, Eason correctly reads the short out and delivers pass on target.
2nd pass - 3rd & 9 - off the mark. Correct read, just not on target. Other receiver open would have been short of first down.
3rd pass - 1st & 10 - attempt at a quick read pass to loosen up the box. Little high, also seemed to get there before Wims was expecting it. Looks like an off the mark throw

Fromm's first pass was not just incomplete, it should have been intercepted. It was also the incorrect read as there was a wide open receiver for a TD (Sony on the wheel route I think? can't see very well on this replay vid)

Second pass was maybe a 3-4 yard gain that Wims stretched for a few more to get back to LOS. Very similar to Eason's lone successful pass.

Third pass - well delivered for sure. We've yet to see Eason throw a ball down field deeper than about 8 yards this season, but this is a throw that Eason *has* made routinely.

Fourth pass - awful. another ball that could have and should have been picked off.

quote:

The issue isn't just with the numbers but how the numbers came to be or rather, how good the QBs looked in achieving those numbers. Fromm gets the nod in that comparison.


So while Fromm delivers 2 balls on the money, he squeaks by with 2 *very* bad throws. None of Eason's balls had a chance of resulting in a turnover. If we're giving credit for the well delivered ball that was dropped, we've got to take points away for giving the opponent a chance to flip possession. In no scenario does that decision making (Kirby's criteria for evaluation more so than results) "look better".

It's a fun game, but limited sample sizes are exactly that. Not terribly meaningful.

quote:

That said, I keep going back to what Eason has done with his chances (though small) compared to what Fromm has done with his. Fromm has done more with his chances than Eason has.


Until a reasonable sample size has been generated, it's really not a comparison that is worth making. Fromm has thrown the ball 2000% more than Eason this season. Let's at least look at something that's not orders of magnitude different before we try to claim that Fromm has "seized his opportunity".

Fortunately, in the next couple of games, assuming Kirby *wants* to find out, we'll likely have the opportunity to do so.
Posted by DamnGoodDawg11
Atlanta
Member since Oct 2016
112 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:27 pm to
You can pretty much guarantee that Fromm will atleast start the first series against Vandy. Willing to throw my next paycheck on it. Eason will probably get a series or two in the frist half if we get up big early. I bet he comes out frist series second half assuming the same about being up.
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora, Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
63768 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

You can pretty much guarantee that Fromm will atleast start the first series against Vandy. Willing to throw my next paycheck on it.


I'll take that bet. I don't mind throwing down $200.
Posted by gamatt53
Member since Nov 2010
4934 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

Last year, defenses had 6+ guys in the box on almost every play.


Teams are still doing this we are just blocking better. I asked you to find evidence of these empty boxes this year and you have yet to deliver
This post was edited on 10/4/17 at 12:34 pm
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora, Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
63768 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

Teams are still doing this we are just blocking better. I asked you to find evidence of these empt boxes this year and you have yet to deliver


I'm at work. I don't have as much time as FooManChoo and Fibo.
Posted by gamatt53
Member since Nov 2010
4934 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:34 pm to
So then you are just pulling things out of your arse then. Got it
Posted by DawgsLife
Member since Jun 2013
58901 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

Guess we'll just have to wait and see. Read that Fromm's been practicing with the #1s Monday and Tuesday during the media viewing period. Could be a decoy, but I doubt CKS would waste precious reps trying to psyche out Mason. My guess is that Fromm starts against Vandy.


I agree. Fromm gets the start. At this point I think he's earned it and the experience advantage Eason has has just about disappeared. Hopefully Eason will be ready if Fromm falters. It's always good to have a reliable fall back.
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

We didn't beat Florida

Fair, in looking up S&P+ I was simply noting teams with better defenses than Notre Dame, rather than specifically teams we beat. By the end of the season we'll have a better idea, but TCU's defense in 2016 likely rates more highly than Notre Dame's defense in 2017 by the end of the season FWIW.

quote:

we need to keep in mind that our defense outscored our offense vs auburn.


So are we giving credit to our defense for the turnovers generated in the Notre Dame game that led to points and ultimately the win as well? You've said you're not claiming that Fromm "won" that game, but it sure seems like you're attempting to do that here... Fromm gets credit for the win, Eason doesn't get credit for the win in games where the defense (and run game against ND) essentially decided the outcome.
Posted by Jay Gatsby
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2017
28 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

I just did some hand timing on the time-to-throw (from the snap) for Eason and Fromm.


I enjoy that you at least think about your point but...

this can highlight something else just as much. Fromm locks onto his primary receiver pre-snap and throws it to them no matter what, neglecting to ever go through his progressions which takes time.

Lucky for us that our running game rocks or this would actually be a very bad thing. it certainly sucks for our Tight Ends who have all but disappeared because they are rarely the primary receivers. Nauta was our second leading receiver last year. Think about that. Jake is throwing to wide open guys a fair portion of the time. A luxury Eason almost never had last year.
Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
32738 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

Fromm's first pass was not just incomplete, it should have been intercepted.


Because the target was on the ground?
Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
32738 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

If 4 passing attempts is sufficient, then I should be able to "randomly" sample 4 passes of Fromm's this season and know everything I need to know about his talent... right?


Would make more sense to compare first 4 passes vs the same opponent.
Posted by RD Dawg
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2012
27288 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

we need to keep in mind that our defense outscored our offense vs auburn.



We also outgained them by 200 yards and dominated their O line
And Godwin threw that idiotic pass for a pic in the end zone.
Also had blatant PI that wasn't called down by the AU goal line.

AU game was way closer than it should have been
Posted by gamatt53
Member since Nov 2010
4934 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

Because the target was on the ground?


Because It was a bad read and a forced throw. There was a wide open WR on the play

There were also 7 guys in the box (looking at you deeprig)
This post was edited on 10/4/17 at 12:48 pm
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

Because the target was on the ground?


Did he make the correct read? No... he threw a lower percentage ball off the mark... how is this any better than the ball that Eason threw in the UTk game? The hypocrisy in this thread is tangible...

Again... if you are a Fromm fan and incapable of looking at it without a bias, just admit it to yourself. Otherwise, any comparison that is being attempted in this thread or any others on this board is simply based on too small of a sample size right now. If you read *all* of my fricking comments, you'll see that I actually *believe* that Fromm should continue to start... but to shite on Eason because you have some fangirl crush on the young stud from the state of GA is ridiculous. Fromm has been a *serviceable* QB who hasn't been asked to do much this season. Hopefully, we *continue* to not ask much of our QB this season and we cruise on with exceptional Defense, Special Teams, and our stable of fricking clydesdales in the backfield. If not, I for one would at least like to know who gives us the best option when we have to increase the percentage of passing plays. If it's Fromm, so be it. If it's not... guess what, that's ok too.
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