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So, a recruit has jumped 130 spots in 12 days without any games played nor attended camps

Posted on 8/8/23 at 8:25 am
Posted by finchmeister08
Member since Mar 2011
37923 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 8:25 am
where do you think this guy is going....?


i'll let you guys know who it is in a minute if you can't figure it out.


This post was edited on 8/8/23 at 8:26 am
Posted by TrussvilleTide
The Endless Void
Member since Sep 2021
4069 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 8:38 am to
I'm going to say heavy UGA lean Chris Cole
Posted by MrAUTigers
Florida
Member since Sep 2013
29077 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 8:44 am to
bama must have offered him. These recruiting "experts" know saban has an eye for talent.......that is what makes the "bama bump" a real thing.
Posted by finchmeister08
Member since Mar 2011
37923 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 9:04 am to
quote:

I'm going to say heavy UGA lean









Posted by TrussvilleTide
The Endless Void
Member since Sep 2021
4069 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 9:05 am to
The whole UF drama with ON3 was really interesting as a neutral observer. It was a really good chance to see how the sausage is made.

ON3 basically has 2 guys that do the rankings.

They do ask certain coaches about prospects, the examples they gave being asking Hartline about WRs and Demarco Murray about RBs. I personally think this introduces potential bias, and I went back and looked up an example someone laid out in a post that I remembered reading:

"Sept 18 '22 - Bowens Commits to Florida, ranked in the 150-range nationally

1-30-23 article released by Chad Simmons released about Bowens visting UGA and planning to return

2-28-23 Article about Bowens ranking being moved up to 104, states it was done in their Monday rankings release

Bowens ranking climbed further and he later committed to UGA"

So their thesis is essentially that Bowens visited, UGA got a sense that they could flip him, Dell McGee, Kirby, or whoever gave Chad, Charles Power, or someone else at ON3 good feedback on him, and he climbs over 50 spots up the rankings when no football is being played.


And also keep in mind this story was from a Florida fan, so I'm sure we could find stories of this happening with players that commit/flip to Bama, OSU, USC, or whoever else. They did also say that OSU WR Commit Mylan Graham was higher on ON3 than any other site, pointing to them possibly getting some info from Hartline.

Posted by TrussvilleTide
The Endless Void
Member since Sep 2021
4069 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 9:06 am to
I am a prophet
Posted by ChexMix
Taste the Deliciousness
Member since Apr 2014
25494 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 9:22 am to
ON3 rankings are pure dogshit for the most part.
Posted by Crowknowsbest
Member since May 2012
26513 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 9:46 am to
Counterpoint: if UGA, Bama, OSU, etc. go hard after a recruit, it’s highly likely that they are one of the very best high school prospects at their position in the country. They have more scouting resources than any recruiting service.
This post was edited on 8/8/23 at 9:47 am
Posted by TrussvilleTide
The Endless Void
Member since Sep 2021
4069 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 10:38 am to
Sure, but these guys are acting like they are coming up with these rankings independently.

And like I said in a previous comment, if a recruit doesn't like any of those three schools is there a decent chance he ends up ranked lower than he would have otherwise? Seems like its possible. Why talk up guys you're not in on/that don't like your program?

With the Chauncey Bowens example I gave, maybe if he is really firm that he is committed to Florida then whoever it was at Georgia that supposedly fed info to ON3 might not have commented on him at all. Then ON3 doesn't watch more tape and he doesn't get a rankings bump even if he might have deserved one. It doesn't even have to be conscious bias to add doubt into the process.
Posted by Buckeye06
Member since Dec 2007
24146 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 11:00 am to
quote:

And also keep in mind this story was from a Florida fan, so I'm sure we could find stories of this happening with players that commit/flip to Bama, OSU, USC, or whoever else. They did also say that OSU WR Commit Mylan Graham was higher on ON3 than any other site, pointing to them possibly getting some info from Hartline.



While true, Graham is a composite 5* so a lot of the ranking services like him. He's in the top 50 on all 4 of the recruiting services.

I think this just proves there is a "bama" bump. Not just saying it's Bama, but if a 0* kid gets offers from 5 of the top 20 schools in the country over 3 weeks, he's not going to be a 0* for long
Posted by Porter Osborne Jr
Member since Sep 2012
42065 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 11:07 am to
quote:

Sure, but these guys are acting like they are coming up with these rankings independently.


I forgot the name of the guy who has created most of the recruiting sites, but he's straight up said that they look at the offer list and use that as a rating tool.
Posted by Crowknowsbest
Member since May 2012
26513 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 11:08 am to
quote:

With the Chauncey Bowens example I gave, maybe if he is really firm that he is committed to Florida then whoever it was at Georgia that supposedly fed info to ON3 might not have commented on him at all. Then ON3 doesn't watch more tape and he doesn't get a rankings bump even if he might have deserved one. It doesn't even have to be conscious bias to add doubt into the process.

I would say the solution to this is for On3, 247, etc. to spend more time talking to more staffs, not just a select few, to get broader feedback and cut through some of that bias. They will never be able to rank kids at scale just watching film themselves.
Posted by TrussvilleTide
The Endless Void
Member since Sep 2021
4069 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 11:28 am to
quote:

I forgot the name of the guy who has created most of the recruiting sites, but he's straight up said that they look at the offer list and use that as a rating tool.



Shannon Terry.

Yeah thats what a lot of people (IMO Rightly) believe is still the case.

Charles Power was adamant that they actually evaluate all the prospects they rank, but also they can't really admit they don't evaluate everyone even if it were true.

I know in the Jamonta Waller case that got a lot of traction he was offered by pretty much everyone but is an unranked 3 star on ON3. The other sites for example have him ranked nationally at 66, 29, and 17 overall. Charles Power says its because of his height and speed, which they have as 6'-0.5" where the other sites say they verified him around 6'2" with decent speed, and all the scouting reports talk about his athleticism.

They also missed a Florida OL recruit's height and weight by like an inch and a half and 40 pounds. They had him at like 290lbs, and the father of the recruit replied to a tweet ON3 put out about his son and said his son hasn't weighed under 300 since middle school
Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
38150 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 11:30 am to
Uga only accepts studs, so it makes sense. It’s okay to cheat off of Kirby as a recruiting service.
Posted by DawgsLife
Ellijay, Ga.
Member since Jun 2013
60633 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 11:59 am to
We've felt like he was way underrated for awhile and hoped we would get him. But yes, to jump that much with no camps etc is strange. Maybe they have been watching more film of him and thinking of bumping him for a while? I have no idea.
Posted by DawgsLife
Ellijay, Ga.
Member since Jun 2013
60633 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 12:02 pm to
quote:

Charles Power was adamant that they actually evaluate all the prospects they rank, but also they can't really admit they don't evaluate everyone even if it were true.



Saw an article that said in 2021 there were close to 970,000 kids playing football.

Another poster mentioned 100,000 were seniors. With the services trying to rank seniors and juniors it's inevitable some drop through the cracks and they have to do something to lighten the load on rankings.
Posted by TrussvilleTide
The Endless Void
Member since Sep 2021
4069 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 12:07 pm to
Yeah, and he claimed they start evaluations as Sophomores I believe? So they are doing 3 classes at a time. With two people.
Posted by RammerJammer91
Member since Jan 2016
5397 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 12:11 pm to
To be fair to Chris Cole, he was criminally underrated from the beginning. Watch his film when you get a chance. He's a stud.
Posted by bayou85
Concordia
Member since Sep 2016
9572 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

So, a recruit has jumped 130 spots in 12 days without any games played nor attended camps


Josh Pate has talked about this phenomenon. Its recruiting site scouts watching film and whatnot. So many kids they do this all year long.
Posted by Miznoz
#1 SEC RANT Influencer
Member since Dec 2018
4216 posts
Posted on 8/8/23 at 12:44 pm to
They do this shite, and then 10 years later point back to the data and say how good they are at predicting

and you morons let them charge you 10 bucks a month for it
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