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Why Drew Lock will win the Heisman in 2018

Posted on 8/13/18 at 12:54 am
Posted by Sean Bean
USA
Member since May 2018
490 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 12:54 am
Unlike last season, the hype train is officially rolling going into 2018.

Drew grabbed the bull by the horns last season on his way to easily breaking the SEC's single-season passing TD record with 44 TDs.

He will likely become only the 3rd SEC QB to throw for 100+ passing TDs in his career, in a conference where defense is king. Going into this year, his sights are squarely set on Aaron Murray's record of 121 (Drew is at 71 currently... reach that, and the award is his).

His 62 completions of 20+ yards last year is the 3rd highest mark in the SEC since 2010. Only Swag Kelly and Johnny Football have had higher marks in that span. That big play ability will place him on your College Gameday Final highlight reel week in and week out, merely adding gasoline to his Heisman campaign.

For those that still aren't convinced, thinking he's a system guy or something silly like that: During his 2017 season, Lock threw a TD on 10.5% of his pass attempts. Cam Newton is the only SEC QB to have a higher single season rate since 2010 (10.7%). Across the nation, Baker Mayfield (twice), Russell Wilson, and Jake Browning are the only P5 QBs to have higher rates.

As we all know, the Heisman is in many ways a team accomplishment. Well, in 2017 Lock was sacked on only 2.6% of his dropbacks. This is the 3rd best rate in a single season among SEC QBs since '10 (in 2016, he was sacked on only 2.9%, both are top-5 in SEC). A testament to the Missouri Tiger's excellent offensive line play. Well, Missouri's O-line returns 93.8% of its starts from a season ago. Only 3 SEC schools return more for 2018.

More to come...

This post was edited on 8/13/18 at 12:58 am
Posted by ZOU
STL
Member since Oct 2014
1841 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 1:04 am to
I understand why many on this site point to his below average stats against ranked opponents. I get it. He hasn’t been good against most ranked opponents he’s played against.

But then people forget that Mizzou recruits like garbage and has Barry Odom as head coach. Kid is throwing to 3 star WRs that only got offered by Rutgers and his defense is littered with fringe 3 stars who wouldn’t make the squad at Baylor. Joking aside, his supporting cast on both sides of the ball is trash yet he’s shown he’s an elite player.

He’s a great talent that many trash without taking into consideration the players he’s working with.
This post was edited on 8/13/18 at 1:07 am
Posted by Mr. Elvert
Dallas
Member since Oct 2012
14993 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 1:06 am to
Sounds like excuses, boo
Posted by ZOU
STL
Member since Oct 2014
1841 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 1:11 am to
Nope. Clucker Maty Mauk made most A&M fans resort to cuckoldery after the Mizzou beatdown in 2014. A&M hasn’t recovered since, and I doubt they will within the next few years after watching Lock get taken in 1st round in the draft. Sad really.
Posted by Sean Bean
USA
Member since May 2018
490 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 1:15 am to
quote:

He hasn’t been good against most ranked opponents he’s played against.


If we look at the same stats from the OP but extrapolate SEC stats ONLY... here is what we get:

**all stats are since 2010 and in SEC play**

Pass TDs in SEC play in 2017: 25 (most by any SEC QB since '10)
Completions of 20+ yds in SEC play in 2017: 35 (6th best since '10)
TD Rate: 9.9% of pass attempts went for a TD (best in SEC since '10)
Sack Rate: 2.7% (5th best among SEC schools since '10)

I know its not ranked opponents, but still solid right?
This post was edited on 8/13/18 at 1:17 am
Posted by Mr. Elvert
Dallas
Member since Oct 2012
14993 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 1:18 am to
That’s a nice non sequitur bro
Posted by koreandawg
South Korea
Member since Sep 2015
9017 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 1:50 am to
You don't win the Heisman on an 8 win team any more. Show me where there are ten wins or more on their schedule.
Posted by BamaBo7
Madison,MS
Member since Jan 2017
5686 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 1:59 am to
Who??
Posted by cajuntiger1010
Member since Jan 2015
9248 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 2:29 am to
and I will win the lottery
Posted by bcoop199
Kansas City, MISSOURI
Member since Nov 2013
6669 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 2:39 am to
He won't win the Heisman but here's a stat that shows how badly he was hurt with drops.

LINK
Posted by DirtyDawg
President of the East Cobb Snobs
Member since Aug 2013
15539 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 2:42 am to
I'm seeing best case scenario 8 wins on their schedule. Defense is Big 12 level weak, no SEC caliber rushing attack, and they lost their biggest deep threat for Lock.
Posted by TigerProwl24
Gulf Coast
Member since May 2015
3975 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 4:59 am to
1. Mizzou won't be good enough for him to win the Heisman.

2. Mizzou might not be good enough for him to win 1st team All-SEC honors, with Tua, Stidham, Fitz and Fromm.

Posted by coozie
Member since May 2018
228 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 5:33 am to
Lock is a very good QB. But Mizzou will not be good enough for him to win the Heisman.

Also, holy hell what a cupcake division the East has been for years.
Posted by GlossuRabban
West Cobb
Member since Apr 2018
2570 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 5:48 am to
quote:

You don't win the Heisman on an 8 win team any more
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
119220 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 5:49 am to
He isn't Paul Hornung, a 6-6 team isn't going to win a heisman just because the QB was their only weapon.
Posted by Solo Cam
Member since Sep 2015
32640 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 6:21 am to
Lock is gonna be the 1st overall pick but he’s not going to win the heisman. Missouri isn’t going to win enough.
Posted by FredBear
Georgia
Member since Aug 2017
15010 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 6:28 am to
quote:

Also, holy hell what a cupcake division the East has been for years.



While this is technically true I could not help but notice that when we played Miss St last year you looked a lot like a cupcake yourself.

31-3 is not exactly a nail biting game.
Posted by crispyUGA
Upstate SC
Member since Feb 2011
15919 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 6:44 am to
Reasons he won’t win the Heisman:

1.) Derek Dooley
Posted by higgs_boson
State College, PA
Member since Sep 2014
22455 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 7:21 am to
quote:

You don't win the Heisman on an 8 win team any more.


While this is messed up, it is the truth.
Posted by VolsOut4Harambe
Atlanta, GA
Member since Sep 2017
12856 posts
Posted on 8/13/18 at 7:27 am to
Derek Dooley is his OC.

Won’t happen baw
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