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re: What's the % chance that Ole Miss beats Bama
Posted on 9/26/13 at 2:35 pm to poncho villa
Posted on 9/26/13 at 2:35 pm to poncho villa
quote:
I'm going with 4.5%
FIFY
1
Posted on 9/26/13 at 2:36 pm to DanMullins4Life
think you missed the "or a top 5 defense" part...
Posted on 9/26/13 at 2:37 pm to QuackAttack716
12%
Bama's gotta make mistakes and we have to be flawless. No pics for Dr. Bro
Bama's gotta make mistakes and we have to be flawless. No pics for Dr. Bro
Posted on 9/26/13 at 2:41 pm to RebFeBrees
quote:
Mett a
quote:
??
Mehhhhhhh
He hopes that JJ/JL were once in a generation bad, i.e. all future quarterbacks in this generation will be better.
Posted on 9/26/13 at 3:06 pm to lowspark12
-0%
Posted on 9/26/13 at 3:10 pm to McRebel42
quote:
Using the record of Alabama vs. Ole Miss (46-9-2) I came up with the % chance that Ole Miss has in beating Bama. Using (9/46) then subtracting (.02) for the ties I came up with this:
Did you factor in the refs?
Posted on 9/26/13 at 3:11 pm to poncho villa
30%
Posted on 9/26/13 at 3:16 pm to poncho villa
50%
Posted on 9/26/13 at 3:20 pm to PeaRidgeWatash
quote:
Did you factor in the refs?
frick i almost forgot ...let me do some calculations.
Okay here it is ...
Ole Miss actually has an 4.39130434782609% chance of beating Alabama.
This post was edited on 9/26/13 at 3:21 pm
Posted on 9/26/13 at 3:25 pm to McRebel42
quote:
frick i almost forgot ...let me do some calculations. Okay here it is ... Ole Miss actually has an 4.39130434782609% chance of beating Alabama.
- Much harder to win when holding is legal for their offense and the refs spot the ball wherever it feels right.
Posted on 9/26/13 at 3:29 pm to PeaRidgeWatash
quote:
Much harder to win when holding is legal for their offense and the refs spot the ball wherever it feels right.
Yeah we found that out last year first hand.
But I feel confident in my new number I factored in the use of refs, plus since the game is in T-Town, I made sure to count for Bama being able to use the best men for the job ... not some of their scrubs they send to Oxford that just frick up the replay booth. I meant a full on hand squad, from the head ref all the way down to the waterboy.
Posted on 9/26/13 at 3:31 pm to poncho villa
Bama is the weakest they've been under Saban except perhaps his first year. OTOH I wasn't impressed the one time I've seen Ole Miss-Vandy gave them all they wanted. I'll give them a 30% shot.
Posted on 9/26/13 at 3:53 pm to poncho villa
10-20%
Posted on 9/26/13 at 4:15 pm to molsusports
It could go only 1 of 2 ways, so therefor I will go with: 50% 
Posted on 9/26/13 at 4:15 pm to Billy Mays
quote:
20%
Posted on 9/26/13 at 4:18 pm to Nuts4LSU
quote:
knows LSU had one of those, and HOPES we had both, in 2011
Posted on 9/26/13 at 4:24 pm to poncho villa
25%
I hope they both lose!
I hope they both lose!
Posted on 9/26/13 at 4:25 pm to poncho villa
33.3% repeating
Posted on 9/26/13 at 4:26 pm to poncho villa
20%. They play 10 times I think Ole Miss wins twice.
Posted on 9/26/13 at 4:30 pm to poncho villa
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