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Message

re: Vegas sharps slamming money on LSU +14

Posted on 11/1/18 at 5:45 pm to
Posted by AuburnDeep
Jefferson County, AL
Member since Sep 2015
1208 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 5:45 pm to
This guy is a clear alter.
Posted by coachcrisp
pensacola, fl
Member since Jun 2012
30607 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 5:47 pm to
You're full of shite. The line opened at Ala-14...it's now 14 1/2 and 15 at Wynn's, Westgate Superbook and Stations. You obviously don't realize that the line moves in the direction that the money moves.
Posted by TidalSurge1
Ft Walton Beach
Member since Sep 2016
36467 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 5:55 pm to
I've never bet on sports and therefore never bothered to learn about it. I have question. If the point spread is Bama -14 (instead of -14.5) and Bama wins by 14, do those who bet on Bama or on LSU at that spread win or lose their bets?
This post was edited on 11/1/18 at 6:02 pm
Posted by coachcrisp
pensacola, fl
Member since Jun 2012
30607 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 6:01 pm to
Bama stupid money. This is not a large betting oool compared to some
........................................................




MIRAGE-MGM LINE MOVEMENTS
Money Line Spread Total 1st Half 2nd Half
Date Time Fav Dog Fav Dog Over Under Fav Dog Fav Dog
10/29 3:14pm ALA-13.5 -110 LSU+13.5 -110
10/29 5:15pm ALA-14 -110 LSU+14 -110
10/31 11:46am ALA-650 LSU+475 ALA-14 -110 LSU+14 -110
10/31 12:06pm ALA-700 LSU+500 ALA-14.5 -110 LSU+14.5 -110
11/01 5:10am ALA-700 LSU+500 ALA-14.5 -110 LSU+14.5 -110
11/01 11:42am ALA-700 LSU+500 ALA-14.5 -110 LSU+14.5 -110 53.5 -110 53.5 -110
11/01 1:36pm ALA-700 LSU+500 ALA-14.5 -110 LSU+14.5 -110 53.5 -110 53.5 -110 ALA-7.5 LSU+7.5
11/01 5:39pm ALA-700 LSU+500 ALA-14.5 -110 LSU+14.5 -110 53.5 -110 53.5 -110 ALA-7.5 LSU+7.5
11/01 5:46pm ALA-700 LSU+500 ALA-14.5 -110 LSU+14.5 -110 53.5 -110 53.5 -110 ALA-7.5 LSU+7.5

you're an idiot...you can see exactly how the line moved. the "smart money" (professional gamblers) pick the "mistakes" and bet them hot off the press before the other big bettors move it first.
Posted by coachcrisp
pensacola, fl
Member since Jun 2012
30607 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 6:04 pm to
quote:

I've never bet on sports and therefore never bothered to learn about it. I have question. If the point spread is Bama -14 (instead of -14.5) and Bama wins by 14, do those who bet on Bama or on LSU at that spread win or lose their bets?

The "14" bettors "push" or tie and no $$$ changes hands. You can actually buy a 1/2 point for 10% of the bet (a VERY stupid move).
Posted by AU4real35
Member since Jan 2014
16065 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 6:05 pm to
Obviously, you don’t understand how it works. If the higher percentage money is being laid on the underdog and the line isn’t moving toward their favor, Vegas is confident in their line.
Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 6:06 pm to
quote:

The "14" bettors "push" or tie and no $$$ changes hands.
Not exactly

Juice is paid
Posted by tmjones2
TX
Member since Feb 2013
1511 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 6:09 pm to
Even if that were true, which it's not, you're happy about a 10 point loss?

OK.
Posted by TidalSurge1
Ft Walton Beach
Member since Sep 2016
36467 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 6:09 pm to
What is the typical juice cost (%age) for a push?
This post was edited on 11/1/18 at 6:13 pm
Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 6:12 pm to
So like you'll see Bama -14 (-110), meaning if you lose, you owe 110% of your bet.

So on a push you'd owe the 10% extra
Posted by coachcrisp
pensacola, fl
Member since Jun 2012
30607 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 6:12 pm to
quote:

quote:
The "14" bettors "push" or tie and no $$$ changes hands.
Not exactly

Juice is paid
Not at any respectable book it isn't. You may want to shop your bookies or get a credit line at a Vegas or Biloxi casino book.
Posted by coachcrisp
pensacola, fl
Member since Jun 2012
30607 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 6:15 pm to
quote:

What is the typical juice cost (%age) for a push?
I'm gonna give you a great piece of advice.....DON'T learn any more about sports betting!
Posted by olgoi khorkhoi
priapism survivor
Member since May 2011
14919 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 6:29 pm to
quote:

Would you say LSU’s defense is better or worse than UGA’s 2017 defense.



Game planning and practice must not be all that important in your mind, because UGA spent a month preparing for a different QB and offense. Hell, they didn't get to make adjustments at halftime.
Posted by Hussss
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
6746 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 6:30 pm to
Never in my life heard of anyone paying “juice” or vig on a push

Now I know locals that count a push against you in a parlay
This post was edited on 11/1/18 at 6:31 pm
Posted by Supermoto Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2010
9954 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 6:37 pm to
quote:

I'd take Tua over Saban's best D all day long.

Tua is a stud and Bama has a solid team. But tell me, who the frick have yall played so far?? LSU will be your FIRST test.
GEAUX TIGERS!
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40960 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 6:39 pm to
quote:

So on a push you'd owe the 10% extra


Not sure where you’re betting but this is not how things work.
Posted by bbvdd
Memphis, TN
Member since Jun 2009
25124 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 6:45 pm to
quote:

Hell, they didn't get to make adjustments at halftime.


Don’t know why because there were more than a few that thought it could be a very real possibility

ETA: even at that, UGA had a better d-line than LSU does this year.

LSU has not gotten to the QB this year.
This post was edited on 11/1/18 at 6:47 pm
Posted by coachcrisp
pensacola, fl
Member since Jun 2012
30607 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

Now I know locals that count a push against you in a parlay

That's wrong,too. The only time a push should hurt you is if you've bet a "teaser"....just saying.
Posted by 4quartaBamaball
Milky Way Galaxy
Member since Nov 2015
1623 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 7:10 pm to
You morons say this every year and every year you take an L. STFU
Posted by spacewrangler
In my easy chair with my boots on..
Member since Sep 2009
9754 posts
Posted on 11/1/18 at 7:14 pm to
This is such a dumb argument. Most of these guys have played in big games before including last year in the CFPO. It's not like they're all freshmen facing the first P5 team. Sure L7u will be the biggest test year to date but I guarantee these players are not intimidated nor will they be unprepared for the environment . Plus, they practice against players that are better at most every position than what L7u will put out on the field.

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