Favorite team:Alabama 
Location:TX
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Number of Posts:1527
Registered on:2/2/2013
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Bama is -200 to make it so basically a lock
Ish

re: Various updated CFP projections

Posted by tmjones2 on 12/1/24 at 7:27 am
I just don't see how SMU can be in with a loss.

They've beaten nobody, have lost to every ranked team they played, and their conference champ would have 2 losses, both to teams we beat.

Doesn't mean I think we really deserve to be in but they've got absolutely nothing

re: Various updated CFP projections

Posted by tmjones2 on 12/1/24 at 7:17 am
On Fanduel our yes/no playoffs odds are the exact same as the Clemson/SMU money line so it seems to me if SMU wins, we're in.

But somehow SMU's "yes" to make the playoffs is -290 (they're only -104 to win the game).

Not really sure how that math adds up unless somehow we're in with an SMU loss (hence the matching odds) and SMU can still replace someone else to get in... but I have no idea who that could possibly be.

Also worth nothing that Miami is basically dead (10 to 1 to make the playoffs)
and Scar is nearly 4 to 1 to make it.

Ole miss is nearly 30 to 1 so they're also pretty much dead

Unfortunately the way the talking heads have it is wildly different than what the betting markets have so we probably won't learn anything until it's all said and done
Go look at the national championship odds and get back to us

Are we sure a 2 loss SMU is a lock? Looking at their schedule I genuinely don’t know if they’ve beaten a single .500 team.

re: Dominos falling….

Posted by tmjones2 on 11/30/24 at 5:01 pm
We were around 29% based on the drake kings odds before the day started. Have to think we’re at least a little higher now
Our title odds have moved from 40 to 1 to 22 to 1 so I have to think somehow Georgia losing is good
quote:

Their offense is legitimately skull fricking us,

I mean we’ve stopped them 3 times this drive, four if you count the make a wish foundation ref with that spot
Am I crazy or was that spot off two full yards

re: Get Your Ole Miss +1200 Bets In

Posted by tmjones2 on 9/1/24 at 8:42 am
Think about what an awful bet that is. If the 12 team playoff started today and they were already in, are they even better than 12 to 1 to win?
What do people expect the offense is going to dominate on every single play?
R E L A X
Ryan Williams has been out there like every play. Absolutely insane we have a SEVENTEEN year on the field.
I’ve been asleep since January who am I watching out for today other than Ryan Williams
Glad to know the Bama bump still exists post-saban, guess that means nothing else will change
There are plenty of things to ridicule Bama about right now, why waste your time rambling about an obvious Bama W?
How many players has Bama actually lost post Saban? Downs is the only one that really hurts. Most are guys that have never seen the field anyway.

Honestly thought it would be a lot worse. Still a top 5 roster in CFB
I’ve been seeing your garbage rambling posts for years and this is honestly the first good one.

Good work

re: Alabama recruits itself.

Posted by tmjones2 on 1/19/24 at 7:02 pm
I mean the roster still looks pretty good
Not a single guy has transferred to Ole Miss and Kiffin isn't Saban so no idea how you could conclude these guys would stay.