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re: UGA's front-end schedule may have made you laugh...but, not the back-end part
Posted on 10/26/23 at 1:16 pm to Crimson_Chaos
Posted on 10/26/23 at 1:16 pm to Crimson_Chaos
quote:
I don't think there is any way that you make a believable argument that UGAs schedule is difficult... much less as difficult as ALs.
Texas seems to be the outlier. At least so far this season.
And you lost to the outlier. LSU may prove to be very good, or they could still end up losing 4 games.
Tell us who Alabama plays that is so much better than our schedule other than the team that beat you.
Right now...at this point...Missouri looks to be as good as LSU. I guess the tipping point is the team that beat you.
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Posted on 10/26/23 at 1:16 pm to meansonny
quote:
Since you are too lazy to be honest... there is no difference going in to week 9.
You asked a hypothetical and I answered it. There is USUALLY a reason a team is #26 and not #20. This year there isn't. But hey, congratulations on the gargantuan strength of schedule bump you will achieve this weekend with the demanding almost ranked team you will be facing.
Posted on 10/26/23 at 1:17 pm to Crimson_Chaos
quote:
I hate LSU, but comparing FL - LSU this year is just nonsense...
On paper it's not far off.
As I said, I believe UF's results are fool's gold, but right now both team's best wins aren't all that awe inspiring (Tennessee for UF vs Mizzou for LSU). Neither has a second win of note (Auburn for LSU? South Carolina for UF?).
If both lose their next game (UF to UGA, LSU to Bama), neither will be ranked. Rightfully so.
Posted on 10/26/23 at 1:22 pm to Crimson_Chaos
quote:
I hate LSU, but comparing FL - LSU this year is just nonsense...
Why? They got beat by 2 of the 3 good teams they have played this year. (Ole Miss and FSU) They did beat a good Missouri team in a fairly close game, but then you want to belittle Georgia's schedule while we play Missouri, too.
You guys need to make up your mind. Is Missouri good or, no?
Florida dominated Tennessee. So, in your mind is Tennessee as good or worse than Missouri? Because that is the difference in their wins/losses.
Posted on 10/26/23 at 1:23 pm to JetDawg
It’s almost like they were going to play an SEC schedule all along
Posted on 10/26/23 at 1:28 pm to WhiskeyRiverBlues
quote:
You can BET that we have our game against you in Neyland circle mutts. You ain't escaping with a win this year.
do you believe 5% of the crap you spew here?
Posted on 10/26/23 at 1:35 pm to DawgsLife
quote:
Right now...at this point...Missouri looks to be as good as LSU.
Who lost by 10 at home to LSU, were out scored 32-14 in the second half and 22-7 in the fourth quarter. That's like saying Tennessee is as good as Bama.
This post was edited on 10/26/23 at 6:23 pm
Posted on 10/26/23 at 1:42 pm to cyarrr
quote:
That's like saying Tennessee is as good as Bama
Eh. Is it wrong that I think Bama would only win 6 out of 10 at a neutral site?
Posted on 10/26/23 at 2:01 pm to DawgsLife
quote:
Alabama has played exactly 3 tough games this year, so far...
Ole Miss
Texas
Tennessee
We play two of those teams and Alabama lost to the third.
alabama sagarin strength of schedule #2
georgia sagarin stength of schedule #94
:lol: :lol:Posted on 10/26/23 at 2:06 pm to narddogg81
There is a reason this clown thread has over 20 downvotes. I've never seen a team try so hard to justify their strength of schedule. Anyone can pull specific numbers to justify a point - i.e., Jalen Milroe's passer rating.
Lets's all pull up a chair and cheer on GA through this incredible gauntlet!
Lets's all pull up a chair and cheer on GA through this incredible gauntlet!
Posted on 10/26/23 at 2:10 pm to DawginSC
We would beat them 80 percent of the time on a neutral field.
Imagine falling down 20-7 to Joe Milton at home lmfao.
Imagine falling down 20-7 to Joe Milton at home lmfao.
Posted on 10/26/23 at 2:11 pm to Crimson_Chaos
quote:
Lets's all pull up a chair and cheer on GA through this incredible gauntlet!
Sounds good to me.
The reality is that if UGA wins the national title this year, when we look back on their schedule it will end up being the toughest of any team in college football this year.
Not because of the regular season, but because the playoff will mean two wins over top 5 opponents. That's the great thing about the playoff, whoever wins ends up earning it. Pretenders who get in due to weak schedules get bounced.
Posted on 10/26/23 at 2:16 pm to WhiskeyRiverBlues
quote:
We would beat them 80 percent of the time on a neutral field.
Meh. I don't think Bama is awesome, but I feel the same about UT. It's a coinflip at best, but I'd still give Bama an edge because while I think Milroe is not a plus or a minus, Milton is a negative for UT.
Bama was able to shut down UT's running backs and that's not something that would be different if it were at home or at a neutral site. Bama was -1 in the turnover margin too.
Heck, the more I look at this now, I'm starting to think Bama winning 6 out of 10 is a bit unfair to Bama. I'll switch to 7 out of 10.
Posted on 10/26/23 at 2:22 pm to DawginSC
I won't disagree with this...
The playoffs guarantee a small amount of equity in SOS. My only point was that we don't need to be justifying the regular season SOS so vehemently. The playoffs will expose it one way or another (ala TCU last year).
The playoffs guarantee a small amount of equity in SOS. My only point was that we don't need to be justifying the regular season SOS so vehemently. The playoffs will expose it one way or another (ala TCU last year).
This post was edited on 10/26/23 at 2:27 pm
Posted on 10/26/23 at 3:03 pm to cyarrr
quote:
Who lost by 10 at home to LSU, were out scored 32-14 in the second half and 22-7 in the forth quarter. That's like saying Tennessee is as good as Bama.
I mean there are countless examples of teams playing twice and losing one and winning one. One such example is 2011 LSU and Alabama. Alabama blew you away the second game.
If only football were stagnant. But. It isn't.
LSU is ranked #15 and Missouri is ranked #16. Doesn't seem like much of a difference.
Posted on 10/26/23 at 3:05 pm to WhiskeyRiverBlues
quote:Prove it.
We would beat them 80 percent of the time on a neutral field.
quote:Imagine having a 20-7 lead and blowing it.
Imagine falling down 20-7 to Joe Milton at home lmfao.
Posted on 10/26/23 at 3:18 pm to Crimson_Chaos
quote:
I won't disagree with this...
The playoffs guarantee a small amount equity in SOS. My only point was that we don't need to be justifying the regular season schedule so vehemently. It is what it is, and the playoffs will expose it one way or another
My only issue with strength of schedule wonks is that I feel like the number overall is kind of meaningless. What should matter are the number of opponents played who can put a scare in a nationally relevant team.
For example, if you play #75 and another team plays #150... a team in competition for a national title isn't going to lose to either. Sure, it matters to Sagarin because his formula is based on finding advantageous point spreads in gambling, so those kind of differences matter. But Bama or UGA won't be losing to either of those teams, so in terms of how tested a team are, there is no difference.
There is some point where teams become difficult enough opponents where the differences in quality start to matter. But I'm guessing that there are usually less than 50 teams that don't qualify as auto-wins for national title contenders each season. SOS metrics treat a 3 point gambling difference for teams in the 150-200 range the same as a 3 point different for teams from 50 to 1. That's just not reality.
Posted on 10/26/23 at 3:52 pm to JetDawg
If you have to say your schedule is tough, it isn’t tough.
Posted on 10/26/23 at 3:59 pm to Crimson_Chaos
You can prove Alabama is better than Georgia by beating us in the SECCG.
Until then we are better than you and you are just a bunch of wannabes.
Until then we are better than you and you are just a bunch of wannabes.
This post was edited on 10/26/23 at 4:01 pm
Posted on 10/26/23 at 6:36 pm to DawgsLife
quote:
LSU is ranked #15 and Missouri is ranked #16. Doesn't seem like much of a difference.
Vegas disagrees.
LSU was favored by 5.5 at Missouri.
Since 3 points is generally given to the home team, LSU would have likely been favored by 8.5 on a neutral field and by 11.5 at home.
The way LSU’s offense is clicking and the team having played somewhat better on defense the last few weeks, there is no reason to believe the point spread would not be the same or higher.
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