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re: UGA vs UT predictions
Posted on 10/30/22 at 5:15 pm to Smokeyone
Posted on 10/30/22 at 5:15 pm to Smokeyone
quote:
Transitive property doesn’t work very well in football.
Transitive property doesn't do a good job of predicting future results. But it's the backbone of any ranking system.
Rankings are based on who you beat, and who they beat. Which is transitive in nature.
But bragging on Pitt is silly. They're 4-4 with losses to GT, UNC and Louisville. They're one of the 4 worst teams in the ACC.
1
Posted on 10/30/22 at 5:16 pm to DawginSC
5 ranked teams, whatcha got?
Posted on 10/30/22 at 5:20 pm to idlewatcher
quote:
Tenner by 3. Despite the dick slapping UGA is doing, they have shown some weaknesses that Hooker will exploit. Not to mention struggling with a UF team who has regressed over the season.
I love the discounting of games by saying the team was better early when one team beat them but now sucks, while saying in the opponent's games they were bad early but are now better.
Oregon? They sucked early, but now they're good. Doesn't mean anything.
Florida? Great when UT played them and won by 5... now they suck when UGA plays below their standard and still wins by 22.
There's another possibility here. Oregon is the same Oregon team and Florida is the same Florida team. UGA won those games big... because they're really good. UT won against UF earlier by a closer margin... because maybe they're not as good.
Posted on 10/30/22 at 5:25 pm to DawgsLife
quote:
There was more than one penalty that I thought went our way that should not have. I
Hope you aren’t talking about the pass interference before halftime
Posted on 10/30/22 at 5:29 pm to djsdawg
Ga's TEs will be the difference.
Posted on 10/30/22 at 5:32 pm to multicampus
quote:
UGA can run the ball.
So can UT. Both average ~200YPG on the ground. Both hold their opponents to under 100YPG rushing.
Biggest statistical difference is pass defense.
Posted on 10/30/22 at 5:39 pm to DoUrden
Tenn by 12
Posted on 10/30/22 at 5:42 pm to ForeverEllisHugh
quote:
So can UT. Both average ~200YPG on the ground. Both hold their opponents to under 100YPG rushing.
Biggest statistical difference is pass defense.
UGA does average a yard more per carry rushing the ball. It's odd to think that UT runs more than UGA does, but it's true.
UT averages about 2.5 more yards per pass attempt. They go for more chunk plays while UGA tends to throw more shorter passes (in fact, we've used passes to the flat as a substitute for running this year).
Overall, UT's getting 7.4 yards per play while UGA is at 7.24. The only offenses ahead of either are OSU (7.75) and TCU (7.57)
Bama for comparison is at 7.03
Posted on 10/30/22 at 5:43 pm to TXTiger81
quote:
Georgia
Tennessee-0
Georgia-3
This will be a boring defensive game.
This post was edited on 10/30/22 at 5:50 pm
Posted on 10/30/22 at 5:45 pm to DoUrden
Vols win bigly.
Posted on 10/30/22 at 5:46 pm to DoUrden
As a Bama fan I have to go with the lesser obnoxious of the two.
And it’s really close but I have to go with Tennessee.
Tennessee hasn’t been anywhere in a long while. Georgia wins a Natty for the first time in over 40 years and they act like they have always been there.
And it’s really close but I have to go with Tennessee.
Tennessee hasn’t been anywhere in a long while. Georgia wins a Natty for the first time in over 40 years and they act like they have always been there.
Posted on 10/30/22 at 5:51 pm to PlayinUnclePlayin
quote:
As a Bama fan I have to go with the lesser obnoxious of the two.
And it’s really close but I have to go with Tennessee.
Tennessee hasn’t been anywhere in a long while. Georgia wins a Natty for the first time in over 40 years and they act like they have always been there.
That is why I do not want Alabama in the playoff again.
Posted on 10/30/22 at 5:53 pm to DawginSC
quote:
UGA does average a yard more per carry rushing the ball. It's odd to think that UT runs more than UGA does, but it's true. UT averages about 2.5 more yards per pass attempt. They go for more chunk plays while UGA tends to throw more shorter passes (in fact, we've used passes to the flat as a substitute for running this year). Overall, UT's getting 7.4 yards per play while UGA is at 7.24. The only offenses ahead of either are OSU (7.75) and TCU (7.57) Bama for comparison is at 7.03
75 SoS vs 19 SoS.
Posted on 10/30/22 at 6:04 pm to Smokeyone
quote:
75 SoS vs 19 SoS.
You realize SOS numbers are not really meaningful comparing something like offensive stats, right?
If comparing offenses and you wanted to adjust for opponents played, you'd do that based on how good the defenses are, not the TEAMS are. There are teams like UT out there who are good on offense but suck on defense.
There's really not an accepted stat for defensive SOS.
Posted on 10/30/22 at 6:05 pm to DoUrden
Vols 27
UGA 23
UGA 23
Posted on 10/30/22 at 6:08 pm to DawginSC
quote:
You realize SOS numbers are not really meaningful comparing something like offensive stats, right? If comparing offenses and you wanted to adjust for opponents played, you'd do that based on how good the defenses are, not the TEAMS are. There are teams like UT out there who are good on offense but suck on defense. There's really not an accepted stat for defensive SOS.
Here you go, I’ll spoon feed it to you:
Total D (P5 only)
Pitt 39
Bama 14
UK 20
Florida 117
LSU 35
Oregon 76
Auburn 94
UofSC 51
Vandy 123
Mizzou 19
UGAs O is overrated.
Posted on 10/30/22 at 8:29 pm to djsdawg
quote:
Hope you aren’t talking about the pass interference before halftime
I saw 3 or 4 plays. Right now I don't remember exactly which plays or when they occurred.
Posted on 10/30/22 at 8:36 pm to DoUrden
Saturday is going to register on California seismic meters. Sanford is going to be deafening.
Posted on 10/30/22 at 8:38 pm to Deacon Reds
quote:
Sanford is going to be deafening
I'm sure rocky top won't be played that loud. Played often but not that loud.
Posted on 10/30/22 at 8:38 pm to DoUrden
UGA 45
Tenn 40
Tenn 40
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