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Posted on 11/13/13 at 10:08 am to coachcrisp
quote:
coachcrisp
The "quote" function is your friend.

Use it.

Posted on 11/13/13 at 10:16 am to WDE24
Nice thread!
A robust concoction of insincerity, poor mouthing and false humility.
I am jealous!
Too bad Mighty Auburn is looking forward at the Alabama game and thus crowning themselves tSEC 2013 champions.

A robust concoction of insincerity, poor mouthing and false humility.
I am jealous!
Too bad Mighty Auburn is looking forward at the Alabama game and thus crowning themselves tSEC 2013 champions.

Posted on 11/13/13 at 10:17 am to BarberitosDawg
quote:
Too bad Mighty Auburn is looking forward at the Alabama game
your thread already failed...give it up.
Posted on 11/13/13 at 10:18 am to parkjas2001
That thread told me nothing. I have known that for quite sometime now. That thread doesn't change the fact that he explained exactly what Alabama is in that sentence. 

Posted on 11/13/13 at 10:23 am to parkjas2001
Sorry for posting too....we have a big game coming up soon...we can start the jabs now. 

Posted on 11/13/13 at 10:26 am to piggidyphish
quote:
I promise...we will talk about you after this game.

Posted on 11/13/13 at 10:29 am to jsmoove
AU is a bad matchup for UGA....not the other way around. UGA WR corps is still depleted and we are one ankle turn away from JJ Green and Brendan Douglas. AU has a fast QB and if there is anything UGA has struggled with for what seems like a decade it's a speedy QB. I expect this weekend to be torture if Gurley is hobbled and after watching him vs app state I can't see him being healtly this week. AU 40-17
Posted on 11/13/13 at 10:34 am to TG3
TG3 is absolutely obsessed with dual threat QBs. 

Posted on 11/13/13 at 10:34 am to BarberitosDawg
quote:
Too bad Mighty Auburn is looking forward at the Alabama game and thus crowning themselves tSEC 2013 champions.
Ignoring all the falacies of this statement, I applaud your resiliance. If at first you don't succeed, try again. You've got moxy kid.
Posted on 11/13/13 at 10:37 am to McKeezy
I think Auburn will be able to run on UGA. They'll have to pass, but the idea that AU needs a big passing day to win is unrealistic, I think.
Of course, if AU turns the ball over that'll change and you'll either need some ST big plays or a real jolt in the passing game. But I think in most scenarios, AU can win with a decent passing performance and more of the same on the ground. Obviously UGA will give up less, but there is a lot of gray area between a marginally good day on the ground and Auburn's average.
Of course, if AU turns the ball over that'll change and you'll either need some ST big plays or a real jolt in the passing game. But I think in most scenarios, AU can win with a decent passing performance and more of the same on the ground. Obviously UGA will give up less, but there is a lot of gray area between a marginally good day on the ground and Auburn's average.
Posted on 11/13/13 at 10:41 am to Pettifogger
i think UGA will keep 9 or 10 in the box most of the game and force Marshall to throw. I'm not sure if Marshall's right arm and the AU receivers can lead the fighting Malzahn's to a win, but UGA is pretty damn bad this year and they will probably do something to give up some easy points to AU.
if both teams play their A game, I think UGA wins. But I haven't seen UGA play their A game in a long time.
if both teams play their A game, I think UGA wins. But I haven't seen UGA play their A game in a long time.
Posted on 11/13/13 at 10:42 am to StringedInstruments
quote:This is what i question this AU team about as well.
But can we go up against the power team that tackles well in space and has an offense that can eat clock while wearing down our defense?
UGA can run it and run it well - they can eat clock which keeps the ball away from AU's strength (offense.) AU defense will have a huge challenge ~ the JHS atmosphere will be electric for sure.
Posted on 11/13/13 at 10:47 am to WDE24
it's certainly not an ideal matchup, but I think we'll be able to get yards on the ground... and if their pass defense is as bad as others have suggested, hitting some big pass plays could open up the running game even more.
IMO, both teams will move the ball and score points... this game will come down (like most games involved evenly matched teams) to wins turnover margin and makes the fewest mistakes.
Also, home field should play a role as well.
IMO, both teams will move the ball and score points... this game will come down (like most games involved evenly matched teams) to wins turnover margin and makes the fewest mistakes.
Also, home field should play a role as well.
Posted on 11/13/13 at 10:52 am to RT1941
quote:Statistically, this is completely false. They haven't averaged more than 5 ypc since the beginning of October (last time AU rushed for less than 5 ypc was at LSU in the end of September). They are also at the bottom of the league in 3rd down conversion percent (11th, 39.6%). Their average TOP (8th in the SEC) is also only 4 seconds longer than Auburn's per game.
UGA can run it and run it well - they can eat clock
This post was edited on 11/13/13 at 10:54 am
Posted on 11/13/13 at 10:54 am to AUsteriskPride
I think Auburn stands a really good chance in this game. While Georgia has one of the top rushing defenses in the SEC in terms of rushing yards given up, they are in the bottom third of the SEC in terms of rushing touchdowns allowed with 17. All 17 of these rushing touchdowns came in either SEC play or their game against Clemson.
I went through all of Georgia's games against SEC opponents + Clemson, removed their statistics against Georgia from the equation, and compared the rushing yards and touchdowns that Georgia allowed to their opponents average yards and touchdowns against other opponents.
Georgia has only held their opponents significantly below their season average in rushing three times this year(^1), but two of those occasions have come in big games for the Dawgs: Missouri (104 yards below their average), LSU (120 yards below their average), and Vandy (23 yards below their average). Conversely, Georgia has not allowed any team it has faced to grossly exceed its average rushing yards per game, with only South Carolina (28 yards or ~114% above their average) and Clemson (24 yards or ~114% above their average) exceeding their average rushing yards against other opponents by 10% in the Georgia game.
While Georgia is holding opponents to 85% of their average rushing yardage, they are also allowing their opponents to score ~11% more rushing TDs than their average (2.43 compared to 2.18). Georgia has only held their opponent below their average in rushing touchdowns twice this season: LSU (allowing 2 TDs to a rushing attack averaging 3) and Clemson (allowing 2 TDs to a rushing attack averaging 2.22). Georgia's opponents have significantly exceeded their average in rushing TDs in four games so far: Missouri (giving up 3 TDs to a rushing attack averaging 2.56), Tennessee (giving up 2 TDs to a rushing attack averaging 1.44), Florida (giving up 2 TDs to a rushing attack averaging 1.25), and Vandy (giving up 4 TDs to a rushing attack averaging 2.88).
I did the same for Auburn's rushing attack. Auburn's opponents (sans Ark. State, W. Carolina, and FAU), have averaged giving up 1.62 rushing TDs per game. Auburn has averaged scoring 3.00 TDs against them, which exceeds their opponents average by 1.37 TDs per game. Only Mississippi State has had any success in holding Auburn below their average in either TDs (0 vs. 3.00) or yards (120 vs. ~281).
I think Auburn has a good chance of rushing for between 240 yards and 325 yards (their average +/- 15%) and scoring 3-4 rushing TDs. I'm not sure that this will be enough to beat Georgia, so either the special teams will have to put up some points or Marshall will have to connect with Coates for a score or two to beat the Dawgs.
^1 Georgia also limited Florida to ~1 yard below its season average, by holding Florida to 145 yards against its average of 146.
I went through all of Georgia's games against SEC opponents + Clemson, removed their statistics against Georgia from the equation, and compared the rushing yards and touchdowns that Georgia allowed to their opponents average yards and touchdowns against other opponents.
Georgia has only held their opponents significantly below their season average in rushing three times this year(^1), but two of those occasions have come in big games for the Dawgs: Missouri (104 yards below their average), LSU (120 yards below their average), and Vandy (23 yards below their average). Conversely, Georgia has not allowed any team it has faced to grossly exceed its average rushing yards per game, with only South Carolina (28 yards or ~114% above their average) and Clemson (24 yards or ~114% above their average) exceeding their average rushing yards against other opponents by 10% in the Georgia game.
While Georgia is holding opponents to 85% of their average rushing yardage, they are also allowing their opponents to score ~11% more rushing TDs than their average (2.43 compared to 2.18). Georgia has only held their opponent below their average in rushing touchdowns twice this season: LSU (allowing 2 TDs to a rushing attack averaging 3) and Clemson (allowing 2 TDs to a rushing attack averaging 2.22). Georgia's opponents have significantly exceeded their average in rushing TDs in four games so far: Missouri (giving up 3 TDs to a rushing attack averaging 2.56), Tennessee (giving up 2 TDs to a rushing attack averaging 1.44), Florida (giving up 2 TDs to a rushing attack averaging 1.25), and Vandy (giving up 4 TDs to a rushing attack averaging 2.88).
I did the same for Auburn's rushing attack. Auburn's opponents (sans Ark. State, W. Carolina, and FAU), have averaged giving up 1.62 rushing TDs per game. Auburn has averaged scoring 3.00 TDs against them, which exceeds their opponents average by 1.37 TDs per game. Only Mississippi State has had any success in holding Auburn below their average in either TDs (0 vs. 3.00) or yards (120 vs. ~281).
I think Auburn has a good chance of rushing for between 240 yards and 325 yards (their average +/- 15%) and scoring 3-4 rushing TDs. I'm not sure that this will be enough to beat Georgia, so either the special teams will have to put up some points or Marshall will have to connect with Coates for a score or two to beat the Dawgs.
^1 Georgia also limited Florida to ~1 yard below its season average, by holding Florida to 145 yards against its average of 146.
Posted on 11/13/13 at 11:09 am to WDE24
quote:
Maybe I am being a pussy and unable to shake the effects of the last couple of seasons, but I'm officially worried.
I mean it in the nicest way possible when I say you should invest in a full case of vagisil.
You are going to beat Georgia. I'll be mildly surprised if it is under 10 points. I wouldn't be at all surprised if it is a Bama/LSU style curb stomp at the end.
They can't stop anyone (healthy D or not) and with their injuries, they lack the firepower on offense to win a shootout.
AU 42
UGA 30
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