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Torvik chances of each team winning SEC Tourney
Posted on 3/12/24 at 3:42 pm
Posted on 3/12/24 at 3:42 pm
30.6%- Auburn
27.7%- Tennessee
15.4%- Alabama
12.5%- Kentucky
6.2%- Florida
2.5%- South Carolina
2.3%- Miss State
1.8%- Texas A&M
1.0%- OM + LSU + Ark + MIZ + Van
27.7%- Tennessee
15.4%- Alabama
12.5%- Kentucky
6.2%- Florida
2.5%- South Carolina
2.3%- Miss State
1.8%- Texas A&M
1.0%- OM + LSU + Ark + MIZ + Van
This post was edited on 3/12/24 at 4:01 pm
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Posted on 3/12/24 at 3:43 pm to AUTiger789
Uh...I sense bias. How the HELL is Auburn ahead of Tennessee and Kentucky?
Posted on 3/12/24 at 3:43 pm to AUTiger789
MSU?
Posted on 3/12/24 at 3:44 pm to BayouBlitz
quote:
MSU?
I guess they must have a 0% chance.
Posted on 3/12/24 at 3:47 pm to FootballFrenzy
quote:
Uh...I sense bias. How the HELL is Auburn ahead of Tennessee and Kentucky?
Torvic has loved Auburn's efficiency on both sides of the court all year long. It's not the gospel...
Posted on 3/12/24 at 3:59 pm to FootballFrenzy
quote:
Uh...I sense bias. How the HELL is Auburn ahead of Tennessee and Kentucky?
It’s their metric. Ask them. They have Auburn #5 and Tennessee #6. Similar to KenPom which has Auburn #4 and Tennessee #5.
Posted on 3/12/24 at 4:00 pm to FootballFrenzy
quote:
Uh...I sense bias.
No bias. I read that Auburn’s 23-0 against Q2 & below teams + their strong avg margin of victory significantly offsets their 1-7 record vs Q1 teams according to Torvik’s formula.
TN is still Vegas’ favorite, but the Gators at +1800 are intriguing.
Posted on 3/12/24 at 4:00 pm to BayouBlitz
quote:
MSU?
Sorry. Added.
Posted on 3/12/24 at 4:15 pm to AUTiger789
quote:
1.0% LSU
Posted on 3/12/24 at 5:36 pm to FootballFrenzy
quote:
Uh...I sense bias.
Posted on 3/12/24 at 5:42 pm to AUTiger789
I am an Auburn fan and do not buy into this metric. Based on what I saw down the stretch Tennessee and Kentucky have the best chance to win the SEC tournament and I would put Auburn at #5 or #6.
The more important outcome will be to evaluate how these teams are playing going into the REAL tournament after this one.
The more important outcome will be to evaluate how these teams are playing going into the REAL tournament after this one.
Posted on 3/12/24 at 5:49 pm to AUTiger789
Looks like MIZ > GA. Checks out.
Posted on 3/12/24 at 5:53 pm to FootballFrenzy
quote:
How the HELL is Auburn ahead of Tennessee and Kentucky?
Per their own metrics, South Carolina is ranked #39, Tennessee is #6, and Auburn is #5.
Mississippi State is #38, so Tennessee presumably has a more difficult first game than Auburn.
On the bottom half, Florida is ranked #22, Kentucky #20, and Alabama #15.
So their algorithm is suggesting that it's more likely they advance over #39 and #6, then face a lower-rated team in the championship game.
Auburn is the highest ranked SEC team in their system, but it's also in how the bracket is arranged statistically — finishing tied for second in wins doesn't necessarily make you the second-best team in the league (cough cough 'Cocks).
This post was edited on 3/12/24 at 5:56 pm
Posted on 3/12/24 at 5:54 pm to AUTiger789
quote:
1.0%- OM
Soooo you’re telling me there’s a chance
Posted on 3/12/24 at 6:07 pm to Lawyered
quote:
Soooo you’re telling me there’s a chance
If you add the numbers, all of those bottom teams combine for 1%.
Georgia is 0 as 100.0 is accounted for.
Posted on 3/12/24 at 7:23 pm to FootballFrenzy
The Pearls are in th4 bag,man.
Posted on 3/12/24 at 7:59 pm to jvilardo
quote:
The Pearls are in th4 bag,man.
I challenge you to explain this once you're sober.
Posted on 3/12/24 at 9:19 pm to AUTiger789
Bama too high but I am hopeful.
Posted on 3/12/24 at 9:44 pm to paperwasp
That's amazing. The SEC as a whole has just moved leaps forward in NCAAM in the last few years.
Posted on 3/13/24 at 5:57 am to jangalang
But...but ... Kentucky is playing the best basketball at this point in time.
It's the Cats' tourney to lose
It's the Cats' tourney to lose
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