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The case against A&M

Posted on 9/29/25 at 8:59 am
Posted by Projectpat
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2011
11067 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 8:59 am
Recognizing that being undefeated is a nice place to be, it’s still early in the season and while A&M may be a decent team, being ranked 5/6 is grossly overrated. Let’s look at our body of work:

Game 1 UTSA - Allowed their RB to rush for 177 yards, only ran for 108 total ourselves, didn’t cover the spread

Game 2 Utah St - Didn’t cover the spread

Game 3 @Notre Dame - tough environment but a not impressive 1 point win (because of a fumbled extra point snap), allowed 429 yards (6 ypp)

Game 4 Auburn - 13 penalties committed, 3/14 on 3rd down, Auburn had the ball at the end for a potential game winning drive, didn’t cover the spread

Now let’s look at the back half of the season - after Miss St and Florida at home (could lose either one), we have three in a row on the road (Arkansas, LSU, Mizzou - likely lose 2/3) and then later Texas on the road.

Being 4-0 is great, but don’t be surprised to see a 7-5 A&M team at the end of the season

This post was edited on 9/29/25 at 9:00 am
Posted by MtVernon
Member since Jul 2024
10238 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:02 am to
I refuse to accept this response thread.
Posted by Projectpat
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2011
11067 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:05 am to
Sad to say we were posting at the same time. I’ll give you attention on the next one.
Posted by Drydock
Osage County
Member since Oct 2013
8488 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:05 am to
Sir, this is the Rant. Reason and humility have no place here.
Posted by FootballFrenzy
Chief of the Grammar Police
Member since Oct 2023
8692 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:06 am to
Let me preface what I’m about to say: we do not deserve a top-ten ranking as of now.
quote:

Game 1 UTSA - Allowed their RB to rush for 177 yards, only ran for 108 total ourselves, didn’t cover the spread

75 of those came on one play, and Elko put a heavy emphasis on the passing game so Reed and his new WRs could start building chemistry.

quote:

Game 2 Utah St - Didn’t cover the spread

No rebuttal.
quote:

Game 3 @Notre Dame - tough environment but a not impressive 1 point win (because of a fumbled extra point snap), allowed 429 yards (6 ypp)

Game 4 Auburn - 13 penalties committed, 3/14 on 3rd down, Auburn had the ball at the end for a potential game winning drive, didn’t cover the spread

Beating ND in their house is no easy feat.

We dominated Auburn. If we didn’t keep shooting ourselves in the leg, we would’ve won something like 29-3.

BAS is a toxic girlfriend. My glasses are not maroon-colored, but it’s okay to be hopeful.
We’re making progress. If Jimbo was in charge, we’d be 2-2.

Our defense is still a huge question mark, but if we can put a complete game together against State, we can start thinking about 9-3 or better.
This post was edited on 9/29/25 at 9:09 am
Posted by jangalang
Member since Dec 2014
50288 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:18 am to
quote:

We dominated Auburn. If we didn’t keep shooting ourselves in the leg, we would’ve won something like 29-3.

lol
Posted by FootballFrenzy
Chief of the Grammar Police
Member since Oct 2023
8692 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:19 am to
You disagree?
Posted by Projectpat
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2011
11067 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:20 am to
I do think we’d be 2-2 with Jimbo, but he’d also end up at 5-7 whereas Elko improves us to 7-5
This post was edited on 9/29/25 at 9:21 am
Posted by Tridentds
Sugar Land
Member since Aug 2011
23441 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:22 am to
At this point Ags are honestly a top 15 team. Next Next 4 games will determine if we are top 10 or maybe even top 5.

Not nearly consistent enough on offense for me to consider us a top 5 team. Not even close. That’s my opinion at this time.
Posted by FootballFrenzy
Chief of the Grammar Police
Member since Oct 2023
8692 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:24 am to
We lit up everyone except Auburn, who has one of the best defenses in the SEC, and we moved the ball on them plenty. This is a high-powered offense, but they need discipline and Reed has to get better at the deep ball.
Posted by Quicksilver
Poker Room
Member since Jan 2013
12351 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:27 am to
A&M is set up nicely since they avoid Bama, UGA, Ole Miss, and Tennessee. State is a darling team right now but A&M is more talented across the board and should win that one. A&M can drop LSU and Mizzou and still make the playoff if they beat what may be a middling Texas team. Nice spot to be in.
This post was edited on 9/29/25 at 9:28 am
Posted by AGGIES
Member since Jul 2021
10855 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:27 am to
It’s ok to be optimistic and want to bury the BAS.

But for the purposes of tRant, I kind of like the OP approach…

Just let them make the case for why other teams should be Top 10.

Our schedule is tough enough that if we are able to win the games, that stuff takes care of itself.

Posted by Sooner1984
Boone's Farm, Texas
Member since Jan 2017
660 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:33 am to
When asking if you should be a top 10 team you must also ask "then who should be?" when doubting your team. If you can easily find those 10, then you might be right. But you usually can't.
Posted by Dallaswho
Texas
Member since Dec 2023
3383 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:34 am to
quote:

but don’t be surprised to see a 7-5 A&M team at the end of the season


Nice try.
Posted by Projectpat
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2011
11067 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 9:41 am to
quote:

When asking if you should be a top 10 team you must also ask "then who should be?" when doubting your team. If you can easily find those 10, then you might be right. But you usually can't.


The Top 25 ratings are always past results oriented, as they should be, because you can’t judge teams based on games that haven’t happened.

ESPN’s FPI is more potential oriented, which is why it appears to be a bit wonky, but it’s probably more accurate. E.g. right now it has 2-2 Notre Dame at #6 and 4-0 A&M at #16. Odd with a traditional Top 25 mindset, but it will likely be more accurate at the end of the season in that Notre Dame has a higher chance of winning out than A&M does of finishing with less than 3 losses

All that to say - should A&M be ranked in the top 10 now? Yes. Will they be at the end of the season? Obviously not.
This post was edited on 9/29/25 at 9:44 am
Posted by Corriente Kid
Central Texas
Member since Aug 2021
675 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 10:09 am to
Unless there are significant injuries, I see A&M at 10-2, or 9-3 at worst.
Posted by Hugh McElroy
Member since Sep 2013
19463 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 10:12 am to
This thread is bizarro world. Up is down, down is up. Cats and dogs, living together. Mass hysteria.
This post was edited on 9/29/25 at 10:14 am
Posted by Open Dore Policy
The Commodore State
Member since Oct 2012
5445 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 10:13 am to
quote:

Game 2 Utah St - Didn’t cover the spread


Case for you here - Vanderbilt also didn't cover the spread and Utah State is now 5-0 against the spread this year.

Bronco Mendenhall doing work over there in Logan.
Posted by MtVernon
Member since Jul 2024
10238 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 10:17 am to
A&M:

5% chance: 12-0
15% chance: 11-1
80% chance: 10-2
0% chance: 9-3
-100% chance: 8-4

Book it.
This post was edited on 9/29/25 at 10:18 am
Posted by Projectpat
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2011
11067 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 10:29 am to
quote:

5% chance: 12-0 15% chance: 11-1 80% chance: 10-2 0% chance: 9-3 -100% chance: 8-4


I added up these %s on my iPhone calculator and it said 0%. What gives buddy?
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