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Strange Week 2 Lines
Posted on 9/12/17 at 2:22 pm
Posted on 9/12/17 at 2:22 pm
Betting lines are more accurate typically than pollsters and pundits.
Given that...
Florida is a 5.5 fav over Tennessee. Even if you factor in the 3'ish point "home field", that means bettors still think Florida is 2-3 points better on a neutral field. This despite the fact Florida has played 1 game and looked absolutely dreadful.
Clemson is only a 3 point favorite @ Louisville. Louisville has looked pretty mediocre the past couple of weeks against meh competition and Clemson just beat a ranked team last week, and was dominating on defense.
I would have personally expect the Tenn @ Florida to be a pick em and Clemson to be say a 6-7 point fav a Louisville.
Given that...
Florida is a 5.5 fav over Tennessee. Even if you factor in the 3'ish point "home field", that means bettors still think Florida is 2-3 points better on a neutral field. This despite the fact Florida has played 1 game and looked absolutely dreadful.
Clemson is only a 3 point favorite @ Louisville. Louisville has looked pretty mediocre the past couple of weeks against meh competition and Clemson just beat a ranked team last week, and was dominating on defense.
I would have personally expect the Tenn @ Florida to be a pick em and Clemson to be say a 6-7 point fav a Louisville.
9
Posted on 9/12/17 at 2:24 pm to IAmReality
quote:
Florida is a 5.5 fav over Tennessee. Even if you factor in the 3'ish point "home field", that means bettors still think Florida is 2-3 points better on a neutral field. This despite the fact Florida has played 1 game and looked absolutely dreadful.
They saw UT's offense vs GT and figured UF's defense can score more points.
Posted on 9/12/17 at 2:25 pm to IAmReality
quote:
Florida is a 5.5 fav over Tennessee. Even if you factor in the 3'ish point "home field", that means bettors still think Florida is 2-3 points better on a neutral field. This despite the fact Florida has played 1 game and looked absolutely dreadful.
Hard to predict what will happen in this one. Stoppable force meets movable object when UF has the ball. I guess they think more highly of UF's ability to stop UT than vice versa.
quote:
Clemson is only a 3 point favorite @ Louisville. Louisville has looked pretty mediocre the past couple of weeks against meh competition and Clemson just beat a ranked team last week, and was dominating on defense.
Not that weird imo. Clemson is coming off a physical game and didn't move the ball that well. You have to guess Petrino and Jackson will figure out ways to score.
This post was edited on 9/12/17 at 2:27 pm
Posted on 9/12/17 at 2:30 pm to IAmReality
quote:
Florida is a 5.5 fav over Tennessee. Even if you factor in the 3'ish point "home field", that means bettors still think Florida is 2-3 points better on a neutral field. This despite the fact Florida has played 1 game and looked absolutely dreadful.
Meaning the guys in Vegas are trying to get people on Tennessee, and when they do that they aren't planning on those people winning.
Posted on 9/12/17 at 2:35 pm to IAmReality
Texas A&M v ULaLa is -24 Aggies
This is free money people. Somehow the spread has moved from -22 to -24 because people are idiots. There is no way in hell we cover that.
This is free money people. Somehow the spread has moved from -22 to -24 because people are idiots. There is no way in hell we cover that.
Posted on 9/12/17 at 2:49 pm to AggieDub14
quote:
This is free money people. Somehow the spread has moved from -22 to -24 because people are idiots. There is no way in hell we cover that.
You're about to face the worst defense in the entire country. First two weeks below
Southeastern - 514 total yards, 363 rushing, 48 points
Tulsa - 667 total yards, 424 rushing, 66 points
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:01 pm to the_watcher
They're about to face the worst offense.
UCLA first half doesn't count since we lost Starkel. We sucked a fat chode against Nichols State (FCS).
UCLA first half doesn't count since we lost Starkel. We sucked a fat chode against Nichols State (FCS).
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:04 pm to AggieDub14
Is Hubenak finally starting this week or does Sumlin still not get it?
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:07 pm to IAmReality
Louisville probably should have beat them last season at Clemson. The WR decided to be a pussy and not fight for a 1st down. i dont see this line as being weird at all at Louisville. Jackson will rip shite
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:14 pm to bigman334
especially when you consider Clemson barely beat a Shite auburn team
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:15 pm to AggieDub14
quote:
They're about to face the worst offense.
You mean the 59th ranked offense? LINK
quote:
We sucked a fat chode against Nichols State (FCS).
Their defense is better than ULL's
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:44 pm to bigman334
quote:
i dont see this line as being weird at all at Louisville. Jackson will rip shite
Louisville looked like shite last weekend vs. UNC. Jackson had a good stat line against a D that gave up 35 to Cal. Clemson rolls.
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:49 pm to the_watcher
You ignored part of my post. You can't count the first half of the UCLA game. Our starting QB is out.
This post was edited on 9/12/17 at 3:50 pm
Posted on 9/12/17 at 4:03 pm to IAmReality
quote:
Louisville has looked pretty mediocre the past couple of weeks against meh competition
They crushed UNC. They still have the best college QB.
Posted on 9/12/17 at 4:07 pm to AggieDub14
quote:
You ignored part of my post. You can't count the first half of the UCLA game. Our starting QB is out.
Did you or did you not rush for 286 yards in the first half vs UCLA?
Did you or did you not throw for 56 yards in the first half vs UCLA?
Has Sumlin taught Hubenek and Mond how to hand the ball off?
Posted on 9/12/17 at 4:10 pm to madddoggydawg
quote:
Louisville looked like shite last weekend vs. UNC. Jackson had a good stat line against a D that gave up 35 to Cal. Clemson rolls.
They scored 47 points and had SEVEN HUNDRED AND FIVE YARDS of total offense.
Posted on 9/12/17 at 5:10 pm to the_watcher
No, he hasn't. They keep passing the thing.
Posted on 9/12/17 at 6:54 pm to IAmReality
Take a 3 team ML parlay of Purdue, Tennessee, and Miss State and make some jack.
Posted on 9/12/17 at 8:25 pm to the_watcher
quote:
They scored 47 points and had SEVEN HUNDRED AND FIVE YARDS of total offense.
Eventually you face a good defense and one player can't do everything.
See: the shite-stomping Mr. Heisman received from LSU last January.
Clemson rolls.
Posted on 9/12/17 at 8:34 pm to madddoggydawg
What does that have to do with you claiming a team "looked like shite" in a game in which they won, gained 705 yards of offense, and scored 47 points?
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