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SOGGY NCAA Tournament Projections - As of 1-26-23
Posted on 1/26/23 at 10:05 am
Posted on 1/26/23 at 10:05 am
We're 8 conference games into the season for most, it's almost BXII/SEC Challenge time and we're about to turn the calendar over to February. Fun times all around.
- The 3 SEC teams at the bottom/just out of this have tons of upward mobility. Arkansas, Kentucky and A&M all had OOC and/or early SEC struggles that have limited their resumes, but all are playing better now and have tons of resume opportunities moving forward. I'd expect Arkansas and Kentucky to be single digit seeds in 2 weeks and A&M to be there along with them soon.
- Tennessee's metrics are great but their resume is not quite at the same level at this point. Obviously a huge chance to boost that with a win Saturday over Texas and more coming up (@ Florida, Auburn, Mizzou, Bama, @ Kentucky, @ A&M, Arkansas, Auburn).
- Iowa State at home is massive for Mizzou. A win there would be a huge gold star come March.
- Florida is not dead. They've won 5 of 6 and have a massive 4 game stretch coming up (@ Kansas St, vs Tennessee, @ Kentucky, @ Alabama) followed by a pretty soft finish. If they can somehow split those 4 (14-10) they could finish with 18-19 wins and be right back in the discussion.
- The 3 SEC teams at the bottom/just out of this have tons of upward mobility. Arkansas, Kentucky and A&M all had OOC and/or early SEC struggles that have limited their resumes, but all are playing better now and have tons of resume opportunities moving forward. I'd expect Arkansas and Kentucky to be single digit seeds in 2 weeks and A&M to be there along with them soon.
- Tennessee's metrics are great but their resume is not quite at the same level at this point. Obviously a huge chance to boost that with a win Saturday over Texas and more coming up (@ Florida, Auburn, Mizzou, Bama, @ Kentucky, @ A&M, Arkansas, Auburn).
- Iowa State at home is massive for Mizzou. A win there would be a huge gold star come March.
- Florida is not dead. They've won 5 of 6 and have a massive 4 game stretch coming up (@ Kansas St, vs Tennessee, @ Kentucky, @ Alabama) followed by a pretty soft finish. If they can somehow split those 4 (14-10) they could finish with 18-19 wins and be right back in the discussion.
This post was edited on 1/26/23 at 10:06 am
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Posted on 1/26/23 at 10:09 am to SummerOfGeorge
We will probably not even be a 3 seed at this pace
Posted on 1/26/23 at 10:14 am to Jrv2damac
Going forward Aggies schedule is manageable with a big test AT Arky and a hard game AT Missouri when they will probably need a win but getting Tennessee and Alabama at home down the stretch
Auburn's schedule gets mean Aggies on the road home and home with Tennessee home and home with Bama LOTS of opportunity for the seed to go in either direction there
Kentucky gets Tennessee and Auburn at home going forward their final game at Arkansas will be interesting
Arkansas hosts Texas A&M and if they want to pick up wins the next couple of weeks are crucial before a brutal At Alabama At Tennessee one two punch before a hosting Kentucky kicker as the final three games of the regular season
Auburn's schedule gets mean Aggies on the road home and home with Tennessee home and home with Bama LOTS of opportunity for the seed to go in either direction there
Kentucky gets Tennessee and Auburn at home going forward their final game at Arkansas will be interesting
Arkansas hosts Texas A&M and if they want to pick up wins the next couple of weeks are crucial before a brutal At Alabama At Tennessee one two punch before a hosting Kentucky kicker as the final three games of the regular season
This post was edited on 1/26/23 at 10:15 am
Posted on 1/26/23 at 10:16 am to SummerOfGeorge
Forgot to highlight Auburn.
Also, Oral Roberts will be the hardest out underdog for anyone round 1
Also, Oral Roberts will be the hardest out underdog for anyone round 1
This post was edited on 1/26/23 at 10:18 am
Posted on 1/26/23 at 10:17 am to Wallacewade04
quote:
a brutal At Alabama At Tennessee one two punch before a hosting Kentucky kicker as the final three games of the regular season
responding to my own post I know I know
but what a way to end the season gooood lord Hogs that is rough
Posted on 1/26/23 at 10:18 am to SummerOfGeorge
No LSU?
Posted on 1/26/23 at 10:21 am to 1BIGTigerFan
You’re gonna be even more surprised when the NIT projections come out…
Posted on 1/26/23 at 10:22 am to Flipper94
Let’s just hope their grades are high enough to make the CBI
Posted on 1/26/23 at 10:34 am to SummerOfGeorge
Our next four games are against 3 top 5 teams and @ Kentucky.
I’ll be happy if we win one of those.
I’ll be happy if we win one of those.
Posted on 1/26/23 at 10:39 am to SummerOfGeorge
Kentucky too high
Posted on 1/26/23 at 10:50 am to diddlydawg7
quote:
Let’s just hope their grades are high enough to make the CBI
Auburn/Georgia for the NIT title at MSG?
Posted on 1/26/23 at 10:56 am to SummerOfGeorge
If we play like we did at Ole Miss, it should be a competitive game for us this Saturday.
Posted on 1/26/23 at 11:03 am to SummerOfGeorge
Sounds great to me 
Posted on 1/26/23 at 11:08 am to SummerOfGeorge
only one team from the state of Oklahoma, and it's neither OU or OK State.
Just hate to see it
Just hate to see it
Posted on 1/26/23 at 11:37 am to SummerOfGeorge
Last week, UConn was on the two line.
This week, Kansas is the third overall team.
Something tells me that this criteria isn't the best when it comes to making a bracket.
This week, Kansas is the third overall team.
Something tells me that this criteria isn't the best when it comes to making a bracket.
Posted on 1/26/23 at 11:41 am to TrumpedUpVol
quote:
Last week, UConn was on the two line.
This week, Kansas is the third overall team.
Something tells me that this criteria isn't the best when it comes to making a bracket.
Kansas is 16-4, has 6 Q1 wins and is 10-0 vs Q2-Q4. So they are #2 nationally in number of Q1 wins and have 0 bad or even good but not great losses.
Lunardi has Houston and Tennessee as #1 seeds right now
Houston : 4 Q1 wins, 1 non-Q1 loss, 9 Q4 wins
Tennessee : 3 Q1 wins, 2 non-Q1 losses, 6 Q4 wins
Kansas : 6 Q1 wins, 0 non-Q1 losses, 3 Q4 wins
This post was edited on 1/26/23 at 11:43 am
Posted on 1/26/23 at 12:18 pm to Jrv2damac
no way aggies don't make the dance imho
Posted on 1/26/23 at 12:30 pm to SummerOfGeorge
It's still early ...
Big 12 seeds
1. Kansas
2. Texas
3. Baylor
3. Iowa State
4. TCU
4. Kansas State
11. West Virginia
6 of Top 16 seeds, 37.5%
7 of 10 to the big dance
Brutal schedule, play everybody twice
Lots of scars come March
Big 12 seeds
1. Kansas
2. Texas
3. Baylor
3. Iowa State
4. TCU
4. Kansas State
11. West Virginia
6 of Top 16 seeds, 37.5%
7 of 10 to the big dance
Brutal schedule, play everybody twice
Lots of scars come March
Posted on 1/26/23 at 12:45 pm to Ptins944
I used to always think that last place in the Big 12 could finish in the top 5 in all but 1 other league any given year, but that is not the case this year.
Tech is inexperienced and just plain bad, and WVU is coached very poorly despite being pretty talented.
Tech is inexperienced and just plain bad, and WVU is coached very poorly despite being pretty talented.
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